Asian League · resolved market
Gwangju FC vs. Incheon United FC: O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8c6a5a05a65f97dcde3ba4ced96b649c3e04bd0c5258b4fb33d53f4373179942
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,865
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,950
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,865 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Under | 1c | 3,666$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.66 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +13.5wins | +0.20per pick | 14cpaid | +156.5%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5f…5449backed Under | 1c | 3,664$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.64 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 7cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Under | 1c | 3,525$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.25 | 199 | 65.3%130 W · 69 L | +27.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Under | 34c | 399.98$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.75 | 117 | 31.6%37 W · 80 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 58c | 387.8$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.15 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdff2…2e27backed Over | 67c | 134$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.79 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +4.3wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b13…37dbbacked Under | 57c | 129.99$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.69 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 42c | 93.5$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.31 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c7a…bdb5backed Over | 69c | 91.32$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.39 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 44c | 74.65$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.96 | 345 | 60%207 W · 138 L | +49.3wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 17c | 74.62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdf…b8a0backed Under | 69c | 60$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.1 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb239…80b4backed Under | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…5b51backed Under | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 92 | 41.3%38 W · 54 L | -8.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0482…f72abacked Over | 77c | 49.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb83b…dedfbacked Under | 72c | 49.84$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec1e…0d9cbacked Over | 66c | 45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +4.4wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +1,035.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 31c | 44.72$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.89 | 216 | 52.3%113 W · 103 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 23c | 44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 585 | 42.7%250 W · 335 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Over | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 130 | 51.5%67 W · 63 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 44c | 40.6$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.74 | 375 | 62.7%235 W · 140 L | +61.4wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x696a…4715backed Under | 53c | 18.87$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Gwangju FC vs. Incheon United FC: O/U 0.5this page
- Gwangju FC vs. Incheon United FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Gwangju FC vs. Incheon United FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Gwangju FC vs. Incheon United FC: Gwangju FC 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Gwangju FC vs. Incheon United FC: Incheon United FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Gwangju FC vs. Incheon United FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Gwangju FC vs. Incheon United FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Gwangju FC vs. Incheon United FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Incheon United FC (-1.5)Gwangju FC won
- Spread: Incheon United FC (-2.5)Gwangju FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.