Asian League · resolved market
Gwangju FC vs. Incheon United FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x39f637935993430bb3ec1d615461b5915558af8454d12a236e9cf142291a03f1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,985
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,376
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,985 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 67c | 1,213$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.33 | 2,467 | 40.3%993 W · 1,474 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb511…e800backed Under | 33c | 906.67$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.47 | 12 | 100%12 W · 0 L | +6.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +116.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x5a4b…5b39backed Over | 69c | 436.23$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 34c | 277$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.93 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 31c | 244.46$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.68 | 1,707 | 50.6%863 W · 844 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x715d…a4babacked Over | 44c | 199.95$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 54c | 129.38$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.94 | 692 | 52.3%362 W · 330 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 56c | 104.4$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.85 | 825 | 42.4%350 W · 475 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Over | 68c | 99.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.99 | 86 | 67.4%58 W · 28 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…cba4backed Under | 54c | 91.05$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.04 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +4.0wins | +0.31per pick | 54cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Under | 50c | 83$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.55 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 32c | 71.55$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.65 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 32c | 71$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.28 | 1,959 | 54.6%1,069 W · 890 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0598…3d83backed Over | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 60c | 46.13$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.29 | 363 | 52.9%192 W · 171 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc1…eebebacked Over | 33c | 45.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…ab49backed Under | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7525…fd3cbacked Under | 33c | 44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.48 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +119.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…0bb1backed Over | 37c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | -6.9wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -41%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 50c | 38.59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 2,397 | 37.8%905 W · 1,492 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fde…095bbacked Over | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under | 68c | 25.16$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.03 | 138 | 61.6%85 W · 53 L | +10.0wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 1,022 | 41.5%424 W · 598 L | -33.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Gwangju FC vs. Incheon United FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Gwangju FC vs. Incheon United FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Gwangju FC vs. Incheon United FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Gwangju FC vs. Incheon United FC: Gwangju FC 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Gwangju FC vs. Incheon United FC: Incheon United FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Gwangju FC vs. Incheon United FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Gwangju FC vs. Incheon United FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Gwangju FC vs. Incheon United FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Incheon United FC (-1.5)Gwangju FC won
- Spread: Incheon United FC (-2.5)Gwangju FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.