Asian League · resolved market
Gwangju FC vs. Incheon United FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe193134385fbd5e588f22373741a86b686f5145709c498afe2264d2b54e56edb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,476
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,730
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,476 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 43c | 6,171$2,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,653.24 | 828 | 42.4%351 W · 477 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 57c | 3,049$1,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,306.34 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 41c | 2,204$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.48 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 57c | 1,973$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.39 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 57c | 1,973$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.39 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 58c | 1,973$1,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.95 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 57c | 1,687$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.53 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 41c | 1,633$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.53 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…487dbacked Under | 60c | 948.43$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb511…e800backed Under | 59c | 748.45$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.45 | 12 | 100%12 W · 0 L | +6.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +116.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Over | 41c | 485.35$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.99 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 58c | 412$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.16 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e24…dbd6backed Over | 42c | 305.4$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +73.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 40c | 232$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.39 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 42c | 226.74$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.23 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed Over | 41c | 195.12$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 43c | 154.28$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.34 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee9c…c449backed Over | 42c | 83.81$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.86 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Under | 70c | 77.19$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.21 | 86 | 67.4%58 W · 28 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 57c | 70$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.1 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Over | 40c | 64.69$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.88 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Over | 43c | 62.68$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.95 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ab…0dc8backed Over | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 41c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.29 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 40c | 49.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 405 | 50.6%205 W · 200 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 42c | 41.29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.45 | 319 | 60.2%192 W · 127 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc1…eebebacked Over | 28c | 39.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Over | 42c | 39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.36 | 181 | 61.9%112 W · 69 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6c…116fbacked Under | 60c | 37.1$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.66 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7525…fd3cbacked Under | 59c | 36.7$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.87 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +119.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8613…2f76backed Over | 42c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Under | 59c | 34.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.11 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Over | 41c | 29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 193 | 54.4%105 W · 88 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Under | 57c | 27.62$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 74 | 28.4%21 W · 53 L | -10.1wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -32%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Over | 41c | 27.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2481…878dbacked Under | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 79c | 18.53$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.96 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Gwangju FC vs. Incheon United FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Gwangju FC vs. Incheon United FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Gwangju FC vs. Incheon United FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Gwangju FC vs. Incheon United FC: Gwangju FC 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Gwangju FC vs. Incheon United FC: Incheon United FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Gwangju FC vs. Incheon United FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Gwangju FC vs. Incheon United FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Gwangju FC vs. Incheon United FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Incheon United FC (-1.5)Gwangju FC won
- Spread: Incheon United FC (-2.5)Gwangju FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.