TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-08-17?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$137,501
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$149,090

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $137,501 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 164 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked No31c10,158$3,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,006.414,69641.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L+21.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Yes67c10,000$6,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,699.9920545.4%93 W · 112 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No35c7,746$2,681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,065.6475542.3%319 W · 436 L+1.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67e3…51c9backed Yes36c6,805$2,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,449.88560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick38cpaid+47.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Yes68c6,035$4,121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,121.21666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+46.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes36c5,972$2,126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,126.1713742.3%58 W · 79 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Yes60c5,242$3,145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,144.545757.9%33 W · 24 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4bc5…e563backed No33c4,563$1,525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,038.13757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Yes5c4,191$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.266121.3%13 W · 48 L+5.9wins+0.10per pick12cpaid+183%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No31c3,749$1,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,592.7877236.4%281 W · 491 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No64c3,627$2,324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,303.051,17950%590 W · 589 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes61c3,361$2,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,035.6395332.5%310 W · 643 L-8.3wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70a6…a2ebbacked Yes59c3,329$1,964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,964.15366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+34.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed No66c1,667$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566.6719652%102 W · 94 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa57…a128backed Yes64c1,563$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005058%29 W · 21 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No65c1,549$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548.4280853.6%433 W · 375 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x811a…9a3cbacked Yes6c1,535$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No36c1,419$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$910.5154132.9%178 W · 363 L-28.6wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-31.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No64c1,365$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.8369651.1%356 W · 340 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes69c1,354$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$939.936,04745.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L-21.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbcba…c950backed Yes67c1,203$805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805.06475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+65.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No32c1,189$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$807.687044.3%31 W · 39 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No41c1,125$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$663.8145249.6%224 W · 228 L+13.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked No65c999.99$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3506225.8%16 W · 46 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick19cpaid-9.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No19c945$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$765.9696445.4%438 W · 526 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42ef…1576backed No65c941.98$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.694365.1%28 W · 15 L+3.9wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+9.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5c5f…5449backed Yes5c913.33$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.250%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6bf…16b9backed Yes35c857.14$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+60.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0b0…5294backed Yes60c830$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick62cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed No64c795.31$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.312231.8%7 W · 15 L-4.7wins-0.21per pick53cpaid-45.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2ef9…11b4backed No65c769.23$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.231963.2%12 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46ca…ac4cbacked Yes68c748.62$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508.66875%6 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+18.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a49…737abacked Yes62c701.46$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick66cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No21c676$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.5441243.4%179 W · 233 L-1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes35c652.65$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.5653240%213 W · 319 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+3.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0612…8d12backed Yes79c632.9$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.9930%0 W · 3 L-2.3wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No38c606.87$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.9881234.7%282 W · 530 L-24.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-26.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Yes36c600$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2164341.9%18 W · 25 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No64c600$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21614158.2%82 W · 59 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes35c593$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.5575850%379 W · 379 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2759…2b38backed Yes35c581.3$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.459141.8%38 W · 53 L+9.8wins+0.11per pick31cpaid+27%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8c35…78abbacked Yes70c549.22$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.65714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick12cpaid+257.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No57c493.56$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.441,61534.9%564 W · 1,051 L-28.7wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb697…5d0cbacked Yes35c488.57$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-41.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed No64c437.12$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.367361.6%45 W · 28 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbe9f…014abacked No19c432.13$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.692941.4%12 W · 17 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick30cpaid+114.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaaf1…0db6backed No65c428.61$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.012339.1%9 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No64c416.99$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.1284549%414 W · 431 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed Yes57c414.52$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.285429.6%16 W · 38 L-4.7wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-39.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No64c400.98$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.72,53047.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L+43.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed No64c400$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1447959.5%47 W · 32 L+6.4wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+22.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfec6…b86cbacked Yes77c383.69$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.44450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+54.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes77c324.41$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.037844.9%35 W · 43 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1530…6aaabacked No51c317.6$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.251464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+99.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes36c315.91$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.6321440.7%87 W · 127 L+1.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed No23c308.25$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.0412531.2%39 W · 86 L-11.7wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-44.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes36c300$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10837740.3%152 W · 225 L-16.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked No36c300$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19215740.8%64 W · 93 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes58c299.98$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.37032.9%23 W · 47 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-35.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Yes70c295.08$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.459358.1%54 W · 39 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No65c290.16$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.556544.6%29 W · 36 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x78f9…c92dbacked Yes36c277.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10040%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Yes70c265.88$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.199660.4%58 W · 38 L+7.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd75a…d264backed Yes6c265$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-52.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50cc…a534backed No66c257.58$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.581764.7%11 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes35c256.65$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.8357847.8%276 W · 302 L+18.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf94d…ea56backed Yes78c245.07$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0c5…8c8abacked Yes35c240$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8412935.7%46 W · 83 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed No21c230.12$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.55856.9%33 W · 25 L+5.6wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+21.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes70c212$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.7828443.7%124 W · 160 L-10.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd74…bedabacked No19c209.99$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.095129.4%15 W · 36 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick31cpaid+3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No35c200.18$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.311,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcaf…c830backed Yes54c200$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.622944.8%13 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No64c200$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7214355.9%80 W · 63 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed No65c200$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702528%7 W · 18 L-4.6wins-0.19per pick47cpaid-39.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed No64c200$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7214354.5%78 W · 65 L+0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No64c200$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7214459%85 W · 59 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3ce6…1e03backed Yes64c200$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Yes70c199.55$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.6712654%68 W · 58 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x488c…a2dabacked No65c194$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.922156.1%124 W · 97 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked No44c178.26$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.634040%16 W · 24 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-15.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed No37c177.97$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.998465.5%55 W · 29 L+6.4wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+10.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x698f…ae41backed Yes35c171.26$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.94742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90b4…470dbacked Yes65c160.48$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.66520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-64.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd094…271bbacked Yes35c157.87$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5520027%54 W · 146 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa494…4a1fbacked No64c156$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.167261.1%44 W · 28 L+5.0wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes59c152$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.0811049.1%54 W · 56 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f6b…9fe4backed Yes36c138.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b03…b127backed Yes36c138.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501936.8%7 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x545b…7e82backed Yes36c137.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.67728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3600…d8a6backed Yes58c132.78$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.01728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.29per pick58cpaid-42.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5891…4912backed No65c103.05$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.07475%3 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick74cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b0f…c7e8backed Yes36c101.25$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.453321.2%7 W · 26 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed No64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3610543.8%46 W · 59 L-8.9wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-20%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3d29…65e7backed No23c100$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+68.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed No64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3610860.2%65 W · 43 L+7.9wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+15.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1d1d…f2dfbacked No51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed No49c98.3$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.5313633.8%46 W · 90 L-9.9wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-36.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked No23c96.47$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.975464.8%35 W · 19 L+5.3wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+27.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd32e…b577backed No19c95.81$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.66366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+127.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.