Premier League · resolved market
Will Cardiff City FC win on 2026-08-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5489d0212ba65eda826a94e7af3695b9fe0cfa66218f9d97b8fb571b4e285fe9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $99,914
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $104,938
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,914 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 39c | 14,238$5,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,489.32 | 155 | 47.1%73 W · 82 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 17c | 9,925$1,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,724.34 | 886 | 35.8%317 W · 569 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ed…9f79backed No | 62c | 8,065$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,064.52 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed No | 76c | 5,851$4,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,426.23 | 205 | 45.4%93 W · 112 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 38c | 4,491$1,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,713.51 | 232 | 43.5%101 W · 131 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0570…465ebacked No | 61c | 4,428$2,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,726.91 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…ddf1backed Yes | 7c | 3,590$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.07 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 62c | 3,243$2,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,241.13 | 809 | 53.6%434 W · 375 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 38c | 3,142$1,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,193.37 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29d2…7babbacked Yes | 1c | 3,000$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 62c | 2,796$1,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,070.51 | 698 | 51.1%357 W · 341 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8aa…7b9bbacked Yes | 39c | 1,881$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.67 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 62c | 1,247$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.48 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Yes | 1c | 1,074$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50ab…144bbacked Yes | 9c | 1,051$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 61c | 1,034$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.28 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dab…55dabacked Yes | 39c | 1,013$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.07 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 594 | 45.5%270 W · 324 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae8…5a42backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf1…0db6backed No | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 19c | 844$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.36 | 489 | 50.1%245 W · 244 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 70c | 613.79$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.53 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 38c | 492$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.96 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb697…5d0cbacked Yes | 38c | 489.47$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 62c | 478.85$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.96 | 592 | 47.6%282 W · 310 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bd…3338backed No | 63c | 476.19$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1171…98dcbacked Yes | 5c | 432$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf4…d0b2backed Yes | 38c | 421.05$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.45per pick | 41cpaid | +121.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed No | 62c | 410$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.8 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…3c32backed Yes | 39c | 402.56$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Yes | 9c | 400$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 14c | 361.34$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.77 | 533 | 44.8%239 W · 294 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 13c | 329.71$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.17 | 578 | 33%191 W · 387 L | -29.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed No | 62c | 327.43$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.42 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90a1…fb15backed Yes | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked No | 61c | 271.96$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.06 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 39c | 270.56$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.52 | 543 | 40.5%220 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 62c | 256.44$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.45 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24bf…b006backed No | 62c | 244.02$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.73 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4061…dde5backed Yes | 8c | 210$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 170 | 62.4%106 W · 64 L | +13.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…a1a8backed No | 62c | 199.99$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 216 | 48.6%105 W · 111 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…ef8ebacked No | 62c | 199.51$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.81 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…3ef8backed No | 62c | 190$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.2 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 61c | 186.44$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.32 | 335 | 51.3%172 W · 163 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd030…bcf3backed Yes | 38c | 157.87$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 62c | 149.99$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.3 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed No | 62c | 145.32$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.52 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa29…9ce5backed Yes | 38c | 138.05$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.46 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 30c | 128.98$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.42 | 296 | 43.6%129 W · 167 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 62c | 121.19$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8a…24c2backed Yes | 39c | 117.07$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.31 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd355…e402backed Yes | 19c | 102.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 62c | 92$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Yes | 38c | 87.39$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.46 | 86 | 64%55 W · 31 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 27c | 85.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 93 | 58.1%54 W · 39 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Yes | 27c | 85.32$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 96 | 60.4%58 W · 38 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked No | 62c | 82.26$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.26 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…7627backed Yes | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x694c…eb70backed Yes | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -3.3wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed No | 62c | 75$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.75 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Yes | 38c | 71.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.17 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Yes | 27c | 70.13$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 29c | 62.46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.35 | 382 | 33.2%127 W · 255 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead9…27d2backed Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b2…c64bbacked Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7d…7161backed Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa146…6163backed Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -31%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f12…3f91backed Yes | 38c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe771…a76abacked Yes | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6204…50a2backed Yes | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43f7…e591backed No | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 65c | 28.9$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.98 | 732 | 58.5%428 W · 304 L | +46.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed No | 62c | 27.81$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…1586backed No | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ff…4e38backed No | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked No | 62c | 16.66$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.33 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +4.9wins | +0.29per pick | 53cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…ac24backed No | 61c | 16.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Cardiff City FC win on 2026-08-17?this page
- Will Cardiff City FC vs. Wrexham AFC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-08-17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.