Premier League · resolved market
Will Cardiff City FC vs. Wrexham AFC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbfb0eb096dc0f4aa98329fa2bf86e572eca9d0fc8ae50f9be86d68b8a3c00bca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,340
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,192
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,340 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 75c | 7,402$5,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,562.14 | 812 | 34.7%282 W · 530 L | -24.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 28c | 6,000$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,320 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 24c | 4,447$1,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,369.05 | 755 | 42.3%319 W · 436 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73e5…e3d8backed No | 72c | 2,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 23c | 1,770$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,356.99 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 72c | 1,728$1,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,244.05 | 1,179 | 50%590 W · 589 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 78c | 1,576$1,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,224.01 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 72c | 1,500$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 808 | 53.6%433 W · 375 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 72c | 1,385$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.93 | 696 | 51.1%356 W · 340 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…8d12backed No | 76c | 1,053$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.3wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf1…0db6backed No | 72c | 999.96$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.97 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 77c | 802.18$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.68 | 182 | 53.8%98 W · 84 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Yes | 28c | 799.99$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.99 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 28c | 785.64$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.66 | 214 | 40.7%87 W · 127 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3761…203cbacked Yes | 20c | 750$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb05…accbbacked No | 73c | 609.62$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 23c | 480.49$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.71 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…74c8backed Yes | 23c | 438.43$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 27c | 408.01$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.85 | 2,530 | 47.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L | +43.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1443…9e05backed Yes | 28c | 400$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6bf…16b9backed Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.14 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc3…0670backed Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.14 | 88 | 31.8%28 W · 60 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 15c | 263.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.07 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 28c | 255.07$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.65 | 532 | 40%213 W · 319 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x405e…9c34backed Yes | 28c | 249.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.99 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -49%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Yes | 75c | 188$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.38 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | +7.0wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8944…da4bbacked Yes | 14c | 179.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +257.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 23c | 165.51$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.81 | 772 | 36.4%281 W · 491 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bea…038ebacked No | 13c | 158.97$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.04 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 16cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…f368backed Yes | 21c | 139.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.6 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 40cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93f9…9ccbbacked Yes | 20c | 135.64$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.98 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked No | 40c | 135.36$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.39 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +114.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Yes | 75c | 132.84$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.94 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +61%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…981dbacked No | 73c | 125$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ec…a9c4backed Yes | 80c | 124.88$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.98 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 18c | 116.27$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.73 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c04…1844backed Yes | 23c | 108.7$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.7 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…efaebacked No | 38c | 104.79$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.17 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed No | 79c | 100$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.4 | 110 | 49.1%54 W · 56 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 60 | 61.7%37 W · 23 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b0f…c7e8backed Yes | 25c | 96$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Yes | 43c | 87$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.49 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked No | 16c | 86.65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 20cpaid | -81.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.2 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed No | 34c | 74$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.53 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 21c | 71.15$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.12 | 541 | 32.9%178 W · 363 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked No | 78c | 70.78$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.21 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 23c | 66$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.82 | 284 | 43.7%124 W · 160 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Yes | 71c | 65.4$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.97 | 140 | 55%77 W · 63 L | +18.4wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6b80…8b39backed Yes | 24c | 61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.36 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed Yes | 28c | 58.07$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.81 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x468b…68a5backed No | 29c | 57$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 22c | 51.22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.75 | 407 | 21.9%89 W · 318 L | -53.3wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked No | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd355…e402backed Yes | 25c | 47.76$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.86 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Yes | 79c | 42$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 28 | 85.7%24 W · 4 L | +7.2wins | +0.26per pick | 60cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Yes | 66c | 37.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | +21.4wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2167…5dedbacked No | 73c | 34.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Yes | 68c | 32.3$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 186 | 51.6%96 W · 90 L | +13.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 72c | 27.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 75c | 27.44$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.58 | 571 | 50.4%288 W · 283 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 72c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1,589 | 53.3%847 W · 742 L | +39.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed No | 72c | 24.88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.91 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 63c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.82 | 412 | 43.4%179 W · 233 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed No | 79c | 16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 84 | 65.5%55 W · 29 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2568…ef92backed No | 73c | 15.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 141 | 62.4%88 W · 53 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 74c | 15.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39f9…fcc3backed No | 79c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 72c | 14.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Cardiff City FC vs. Wrexham AFC end in a draw?this page
- Will Cardiff City FC win on 2026-08-17?No won
- Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-08-17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.