Mls · resolved market
Spread: Los Angeles FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff8a5963e8726511e2468fa33a026053128ffc1acbae4d96526f91156348ceb5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Los Angeles FCof Los Angeles FC, Real Salt Lake
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,048
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,735
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,048 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed Los Angeles FC | 38c | 12,784$4,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,926.07 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +14.3wins | +0.26per pick | 21cpaid | +225.7%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Los Angeles FC | 61c | 8,537$5,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,349.38 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Real Salt Lake | 51c | 7,913$4,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,066.1 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Los Angeles FC | 62c | 7,327$4,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,772.39 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | +18.7wins | +0.19per pick | 26cpaid | +97.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2a05…0dc0backed Real Salt Lake | 24c | 6,889$1,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,622.63 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Real Salt Lake | 62c | 6,451$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,999.76 | 187 | 74.3%139 W · 48 L | +33.5wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…2fc9backed Real Salt Lake | 38c | 5,291$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.88 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Real Salt Lake | 62c | 4,788$2,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,981.47 | 222 | 69.4%154 W · 68 L | +31.4wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Real Salt Lake | 53c | 3,744$1,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,976.13 | 191 | 72.3%138 W · 53 L | +36.8wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xa797…dedebacked Los Angeles FC | 75c | 2,029$1,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.01 | 146 | 57.5%84 W · 62 L | +14.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Real Salt Lake | 66c | 1,667$1,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,108.24 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Los Angeles FC | 37c | 1,641$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,032.8 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Los Angeles FC | 33c | 1,331$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891.84 | 333 | 46.8%156 W · 177 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Real Salt Lake | 54c | 1,247$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.71 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Los Angeles FC | 78c | 1,059$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.93 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x572e…6382backed Real Salt Lake | 68c | 999.99$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4156…997ebacked Los Angeles FC | 78c | 976.53$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.72 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Real Salt Lake | 67c | 760.65$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.64 | 103 | 58.3%60 W · 43 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Real Salt Lake | 66c | 618.58$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.71 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38bd…b8f3backed Los Angeles FC | 35c | 571.43$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Real Salt Lake | 36c | 569.42$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.26 | 256 | 52.3%134 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…b629backed Los Angeles FC | 76c | 513$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.12 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +7.7wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…af29backed Los Angeles FC | 76c | 513$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.12 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +4.8wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Real Salt Lake | 67c | 500$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.54 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d17…5297backed Los Angeles FC | 34c | 441.18$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.18 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Los Angeles FC | 37c | 360$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.24 | 128 | 39.8%51 W · 77 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Los Angeles FC | 76c | 223$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.05 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Real Salt Lake | 57c | 163.16$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c27…54f2backed Los Angeles FC | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.25 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Real Salt Lake | 65c | 150$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Real Salt Lake | 67c | 149.59$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.23 | 233 | 50.6%118 W · 115 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…a736backed Los Angeles FC | 41c | 146.34$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.34 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…ad4bbacked Real Salt Lake | 14c | 137.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 13.6%6 W · 38 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb94…6ef0backed Los Angeles FC | 70c | 128.39$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.71 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Real Salt Lake | 61c | 127.35$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.46 | 472 | 40.7%192 W · 280 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b66…8501backed Los Angeles FC | 34c | 120.59$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.59 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +133.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Real Salt Lake | 67c | 111.98$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.03 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Los Angeles FC | 43c | 110.22$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.38 | 366 | 46.7%171 W · 195 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb109…d40fbacked Los Angeles FC | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Real Salt Lake | 66c | 104$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.84 | 261 | 50.2%131 W · 130 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Real Salt Lake | 55c | 96.36$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 81 | 44.4%36 W · 45 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Real Salt Lake | 55c | 92.73$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Real Salt Lake | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Los Angeles FC | 46c | 85.2$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.96 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Real Salt Lake | 19c | 83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Los Angeles FC | 55c | 82.78$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.64 | 443 | 50.6%224 W · 219 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…5720backed Los Angeles FC | 69c | 82.29$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.91 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Real Salt Lake | 55c | 81.82$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Real Salt Lake | 48c | 79.75$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.53 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Real Salt Lake | 55c | 78.18$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Los Angeles FC | 47c | 75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.69 | 314 | 46.5%146 W · 168 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Real Salt Lake | 70c | 70.57$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe331…0163backed Real Salt Lake | 38c | 65.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Real Salt Lake | 54c | 61.11$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Los Angeles FC | 43c | 51.26$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 273 | 44.3%121 W · 152 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Real Salt Lake | 76c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.88 | 352 | 47.7%168 W · 184 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Los Angeles FC | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.12 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Los Angeles FC | 33c | 43.27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.99 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Real Salt Lake | 67c | 40$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 204 | 49%100 W · 104 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Los Angeles FC | 46c | 38.55$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.79 | 258 | 51.2%132 W · 126 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf72…c8d0backed Los Angeles FC | 48c | 38.31$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa01f…8192backed Real Salt Lake | 68c | 34.91$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Los Angeles FC | 47c | 34.46$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.26 | 206 | 48.5%100 W · 106 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3541…6468backed Real Salt Lake | 36c | 29.09$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Real Salt Lake | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…cc67backed Los Angeles FC | 80c | 22.82$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x13d0…4a70backed Real Salt Lake | 69c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -4.3wins | -0.33per pick | 48cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4993…553fbacked Real Salt Lake | 70c | 14.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Los Angeles FC (-1.5)this page
- Los Angeles FC vs. Real Salt Lake: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Los Angeles FC vs. Real Salt Lake: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Los Angeles FC vs. Real Salt Lake: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Los Angeles FC vs. Real Salt Lake: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Los Angeles FC vs. Real Salt Lake: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Los Angeles FC vs. Real Salt Lake: O/U 1.5Over won
- Los Angeles FC vs. Real Salt Lake: O/U 2.5Over won
- Los Angeles FC vs. Real Salt Lake: O/U 3.5Over won
- Los Angeles FC vs. Real Salt Lake: O/U 4.5Under won
- Los Angeles FC vs. Real Salt Lake: O/U 5.5Under won
- Los Angeles FC vs. Real Salt Lake: Real Salt Lake O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Los Angeles FC (-2.5)Real Salt Lake won
- Spread: Real Salt Lake (-1.5)Los Angeles FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.