Mls · resolved market
Los Angeles FC vs. Real Salt Lake: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x94ed46b228176f136bb9011e3112e68853f9c8119c92492fec59a5c794d490a0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,481
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,832
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,481 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 63c | 15,959$10,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,909.57 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 37c | 6,700$2,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,491.85 | 215 | 47.9%103 W · 112 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 63c | 5,370$3,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,997.27 | 333 | 46.8%156 W · 177 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 38c | 3,596$1,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,372.52 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 37c | 3,576$1,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,332.04 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 37c | 2,400$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888.87 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 37c | 1,954$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.79 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 37c | 1,593$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.06 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6534…7cc7backed No | 38c | 1,320$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.6 | 201 | 33.3%67 W · 134 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 37c | 992$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.04 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 29c | 914.51$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.63 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 62c | 702.66$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.96 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 37c | 597.22$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.05 | 270 | 47%127 W · 143 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 59c | 465.25$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.51 | 366 | 46.7%171 W · 195 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 63c | 411.48$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.37 | 352 | 47.7%168 W · 184 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 38c | 294.23$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.43 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 65c | 243.8$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.25 | 444 | 47.3%210 W · 234 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf731…e5c2backed Yes | 62c | 241.94$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.94 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 63c | 218.49$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.72 | 314 | 46.5%146 W · 168 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 64c | 185.65$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.47 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa498…245ebacked Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…f166backed Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea4f…613fbacked Yes | 63c | 160.29$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.29 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 62cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Yes | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 99 | 40.4%40 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed No | 37c | 144.24$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.37 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | -10.9wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 63c | 127$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.99 | 328 | 48.8%160 W · 168 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf15e…80b5backed No | 37c | 118$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.74 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 47c | 108.79$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.04 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 28c | 106.12$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.16 | 198 | 47.5%94 W · 104 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 40c | 97.65$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.58 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 40c | 89.14$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.44 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…3c2bbacked Yes | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d64…a518backed Yes | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6637…481dbacked Yes | 66c | 76.16$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.16 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 35cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 62c | 64.89$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.66 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Yes | 48c | 57.75$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.92 | 222 | 69.4%154 W · 68 L | +31.4wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe454…8b7dbacked Yes | 65c | 53.61$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.61 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 70c | 52.58$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.59 | 472 | 40.7%192 W · 280 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 132 | 59.1%78 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2064…0ab1backed No | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66bf…07e8backed Yes | 59c | 49.15$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.15 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa87d…ff4dbacked Yes | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked No | 43c | 43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 202 | 52%105 W · 97 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 62c | 40.61$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.43 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 38c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 204 | 49%100 W · 104 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x807f…9615backed No | 53c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.19per pick | 54cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x13d0…4a70backed No | 38c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -4.3wins | -0.33per pick | 48cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7c5f…b904backed Yes | 76c | 39.61$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -34%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed No | 40c | 38.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 233 | 50.6%118 W · 115 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 42c | 37.48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 40c | 36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked No | 54c | 31.22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.97 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1d…8986backed Yes | 59c | 31$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.71 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed No | 66c | 30.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.29 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed No | 36c | 27.78$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Yes | 47c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac25…147abacked Yes | 66c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4196…76c9backed Yes | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles FC vs. Real Salt Lake: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Los Angeles FC vs. Real Salt Lake: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Los Angeles FC vs. Real Salt Lake: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Los Angeles FC vs. Real Salt Lake: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Los Angeles FC vs. Real Salt Lake: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Los Angeles FC vs. Real Salt Lake: O/U 1.5Over won
- Los Angeles FC vs. Real Salt Lake: O/U 2.5Over won
- Los Angeles FC vs. Real Salt Lake: O/U 3.5Over won
- Los Angeles FC vs. Real Salt Lake: O/U 4.5Under won
- Los Angeles FC vs. Real Salt Lake: O/U 5.5Under won
- Los Angeles FC vs. Real Salt Lake: Real Salt Lake O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Los Angeles FC (-1.5)Los Angeles FC won
- Spread: Los Angeles FC (-2.5)Real Salt Lake won
- Spread: Real Salt Lake (-1.5)Los Angeles FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.