TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Los Angeles FC vs. Real Salt Lake: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$189,054
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$190,271

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $189,054 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x547f…2937backed Under68c130,927$89,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89,469.921752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Over31c100,000$31,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69,0004845.8%22 W · 26 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8d6…e410backed Under0c18,044$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick15cpaid+99%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over34c15,478$5,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,215.1987154.6%476 W · 395 L+34.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb73…53b0backed Under57c5,351$3,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,027.51637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.7wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-32.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over43c4,311$1,874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,437.0653040.6%215 W · 315 L-2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over36c3,803$1,376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,427.2698945.4%449 W · 540 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over41c3,659$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,158.5419044.7%85 W · 105 L+9.4wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over45c3,613$1,638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,975.3899340.1%398 W · 595 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Over33c2,742$915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,826.7814652.1%76 W · 70 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over34c2,289$783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,506.261,44436.8%532 W · 912 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under59c1,888$1,114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,113.6672850.7%369 W · 359 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over54c1,456$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.111,26245.2%571 W · 691 L-28.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over41c1,211$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$714.5533346.8%156 W · 177 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under59c1,206$708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$707.7821547.9%103 W · 112 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Over34c1,177$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$777.065350.9%27 W · 26 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+53.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8400…274cbacked Over52c1,154$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.85366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+16.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under58c1,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58053046.4%246 W · 284 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a8f…e5f5backed Under46c1,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4601154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6102…1913backed Over59c840.37$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.22360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+23.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over41c773.85$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.7373438.1%280 W · 454 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over40c709.59$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.9791553%485 W · 430 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbf1…d61abacked Over38c702.7$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.83333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under67c630.46$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.411747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid+20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c95…10f5backed Under48c625$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-37.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Over41c601.69$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35513347.4%63 W · 70 L-0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Over34c588.24$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.2419645.9%90 W · 106 L+10.5wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+17.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xde24…2b2fbacked Over34c588.23$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.232147.6%10 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over59c573.57$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.71,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19ae…395cbacked Under54c555.56$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under41c528.28$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.921,00946.2%466 W · 543 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19e5…dd71backed Over34c515.41$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.172548%12 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0366…a001backed Under60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-63.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb797…e779backed Under59c500$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2953751.4%19 W · 18 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over42c497$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.2632848.8%160 W · 168 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe843…0699backed Under63c472.71$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x912f…b25bbacked Over58c470$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.47038.6%27 W · 43 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over49c387.25$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.6536247.2%171 W · 191 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9900…5cc9backed Over54c324.62$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.396944.9%31 W · 38 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdda3…b20cbacked Under46c315.74$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6701…d7d2backed Over34c294$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.044955.1%27 W · 22 L+5.0wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+7.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over51c277.44$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13736646.7%171 W · 195 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under59c256$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.0427047%127 W · 143 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under56c247.73$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.613,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5663…f2e5backed Over34c247.65$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.451250%6 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c27…54f2backed Over41c243.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.91127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-30.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under17c234.42$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.8412839.8%51 W · 77 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-19.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under55c234.08$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.571443.7%312 W · 402 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb0cc…f354backed Over59c228$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.834447.7%21 W · 23 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Under49c215.43$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.711633.6%39 W · 77 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-31.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x86a6…1b3ebacked Under66c208$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.282740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-30.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed Over46c206.2$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.473324.2%8 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick24cpaid-49.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaaf5…e71cbacked Over52c199.99$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3662…0e48backed Over54c179.63$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.632100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+67.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over54c177.97$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.3744447.3%210 W · 234 L-1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over43c177.19$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.1882044.5%365 W · 455 L-16.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc820…49debacked Under65c153.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100742.9%3 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.29per pick72cpaid-40.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1e89…85fbbacked Under71c151.82$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.69540%2 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.27per pick67cpaid-41.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5651…e11ebacked Over48c150$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc464…5139backed Over51c147.92$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.921650%8 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4155…fa41backed Over78c122.42$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.947074.3%52 W · 18 L+9.4wins+0.13per pick61cpaid+39%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x48fb…ced4backed Under13c120.12$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.260%0 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under41c120$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.6792346.6%430 W · 493 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74d8…3b2bbacked Under61c114.85$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701060%6 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over54c110.99$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.0668150.8%346 W · 335 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Under48c110.42$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538144.4%36 W · 45 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under59c110$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.435149.6%174 W · 177 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2126…aeebbacked Over52c106$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.932857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid-5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over34c103.76$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.4830957%176 W · 133 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa797…dedebacked Over37c98$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.2214657.5%84 W · 62 L+14.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+19.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Over40c95$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.7930735.2%108 W · 199 L-32.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-34.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8152…5b51backed Under66c94.67$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.674850%24 W · 24 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb70…52c0backed Under45c89.85$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d89…a792backed Over57c87.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.72475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+43.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x167a…d542backed Under51c83.52$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.677367.1%49 W · 24 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over34c83.03$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.9619172.3%138 W · 53 L+36.8wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+41.7%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x5fe0…cc67backed Over34c83$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.782661.5%16 W · 10 L+3.6wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+17.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8087…a213backed Over34c73.84$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.732373.9%17 W · 6 L+4.1wins+0.18per pick56cpaid+32%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7605…7138backed Under59c71$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc36…0665backed Over42c70$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.62330.4%7 W · 16 L-4.1wins-0.18per pick48cpaid-33.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb421…696cbacked Over52c69.85$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.533100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+97.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over58c69$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.9847240.7%192 W · 280 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x648f…bb7bbacked Over41c67.29$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.71050%5 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4c6…f5c0backed Under45c66.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-37.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over30c66$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.25133.3%17 W · 34 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+7.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Under44c63.8$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.2520252%105 W · 97 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Under34c60.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4814549.7%72 W · 73 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d3b…28bdbacked Over41c60.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.156250%31 W · 31 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0159…2b48backed Under60c59.94$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.96966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under58c59.8$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.6823350.6%118 W · 115 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe83a…8355backed Over34c58.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.82862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.18per pick44cpaid+29.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe29c…a31dbacked Over49c57$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.266149.2%30 W · 31 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked Over39c54$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.9412667.5%85 W · 41 L+11.2wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+17.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xef41…2473backed Under47c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.53043.3%13 W · 17 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7077…52b5backed Under60c49.65$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under59c45$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.5324046.7%112 W · 128 L-15.4wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-19.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9a1d…8986backed Over54c44$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.331566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x392a…a334backed Over46c43.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.482360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+23.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0daf…17a9backed Over46c43.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.482462.5%15 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over36c43$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6296756.8%549 W · 418 L+73.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.