Mls · resolved market
Los Angeles FC vs. Real Salt Lake: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd32ae6e0435374b92d0166fb1cb6d7b9fa62bd0104192cacd315d54cce2fa511
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,956
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,490
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,956 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 65c | 12,595$8,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,443.09 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Over | 63c | 4,668$2,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,727.03 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 27c | 3,755$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.88 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 76c | 3,485$2,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838.11 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 36c | 2,739$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.55 | 215 | 47.9%103 W · 112 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 37c | 2,500$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924.96 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed Under | 31c | 2,069$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.06 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 30c | 2,044$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.03 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 35c | 1,971$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.81 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 63c | 1,896$1,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.59 | 333 | 46.8%156 W · 177 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 36c | 1,656$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.71 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6534…7cc7backed Under | 37c | 1,350$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.5 | 201 | 33.3%67 W · 134 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa36f…180bbacked Under | 37c | 1,117$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.37 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Under | 36c | 1,000$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 35c | 951.62$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.07 | 263 | 45.2%119 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb73…53b0backed Under | 26c | 900$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.85 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 37c | 832.11$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.19 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 35c | 805$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.75 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7391…5375backed Over | 63c | 793.65$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.65 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +65%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 34c | 444.47$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.64 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…f166backed Over | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 40c | 298.61$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.84 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa797…dedebacked Over | 64c | 293.5$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.37 | 146 | 57.5%84 W · 62 L | +14.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 36c | 252.5$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.9 | 472 | 40.7%192 W · 280 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 36c | 247.95$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.26 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 64c | 236$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.96 | 328 | 48.8%160 W · 168 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 76c | 226.89$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.45 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Under | 28c | 221.61$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Under | 35c | 190.23$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.58 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Over | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 99 | 40.4%40 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked Over | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 56 | 76.8%43 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 74cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed Under | 36c | 138.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Under | 35c | 138$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.3 | 529 | 23.8%126 W · 403 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 36c | 135$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.1 | 351 | 49.6%174 W · 177 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 58c | 129.97$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.29 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9900…5cc9backed Over | 71c | 115.11$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.04 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 77c | 114.99$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.2 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.7 | 352 | 47.7%168 W · 184 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8db…7c68backed Under | 38c | 99.98$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.99 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Over | 61c | 98.25$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.1 | 126 | 67.5%85 W · 41 L | +11.2wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 15c | 90.06$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 70c | 70.47$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.47 | 444 | 47.3%210 W · 234 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa87d…ff4dbacked Over | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 35c | 59.8$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.93 | 233 | 50.6%118 W · 115 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Under | 37c | 56.55$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.92 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0df0…1376backed Under | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3596…8507backed Over | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 59c | 48.34$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.99 | 222 | 69.4%154 W · 68 L | +31.4wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x90b3…8b6dbacked Over | 65c | 46.23$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.23 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2126…aeebbacked Over | 75c | 46.09$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.62 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x056b…5a03backed Under | 37c | 46.05$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 62c | 46.04$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.41 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 26c | 42.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 37c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 204 | 49%100 W · 104 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Under | 30c | 35.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5525…7d01backed Over | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over | 66c | 30.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.45 | 314 | 46.5%146 W · 168 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x648f…bb7bbacked Over | 63c | 23.94$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.86 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba3…97cebacked Over | 64c | 21.43$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.71 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa625…fac6backed Over | 64c | 21.43$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.71 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Over | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 143 | 49%70 W · 73 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Over | 75c | 18.66$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.64 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles FC vs. Real Salt Lake: O/U 2.5this page
- Los Angeles FC vs. Real Salt Lake: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Los Angeles FC vs. Real Salt Lake: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Los Angeles FC vs. Real Salt Lake: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Los Angeles FC vs. Real Salt Lake: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Los Angeles FC vs. Real Salt Lake: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Los Angeles FC vs. Real Salt Lake: O/U 1.5Over won
- Los Angeles FC vs. Real Salt Lake: O/U 3.5Over won
- Los Angeles FC vs. Real Salt Lake: O/U 4.5Under won
- Los Angeles FC vs. Real Salt Lake: O/U 5.5Under won
- Los Angeles FC vs. Real Salt Lake: Real Salt Lake O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Los Angeles FC (-1.5)Los Angeles FC won
- Spread: Los Angeles FC (-2.5)Real Salt Lake won
- Spread: Real Salt Lake (-1.5)Los Angeles FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.