CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: FX (-1.5) vs Isurus (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x84f92deaeff491ded60dde067db130e0cb267c85b96bc0a790b22d7c2fbe75ff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Isurusof Fluxo, Isurus
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,737
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,566
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,737 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Fluxo | 52c | 24,753$12,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,868.04 | 5,028 | 55%2,763 W · 2,265 L | +112.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked Isurus | 48c | 15,000$7,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,799.99 | 754 | 52.7%397 W · 357 L | +27.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54ea…f74abacked Isurus | 47c | 3,043$1,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,608.73 | 253 | 44.3%112 W · 141 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Fluxo | 52c | 2,517$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300.42 | 2,610 | 51.7%1,349 W · 1,261 L | +16.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Isurus | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 1,080 | 50.9%550 W · 530 L | +38.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Fluxo | 51c | 1,169$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.09 | 1,998 | 53.7%1,073 W · 925 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Isurus | 49c | 1,105$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.55 | 1,017 | 53.4%543 W · 474 L | +65.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Fluxo | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 590 | 55.3%326 W · 264 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Isurus | 47c | 940.81$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.11 | 610 | 47.7%291 W · 319 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe82a…1101backed Isurus | 49c | 792.62$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.65 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0caa…c16cbacked Isurus | 47c | 640.87$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.87 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Isurus | 50c | 630.52$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.78 | 246 | 46.7%115 W · 131 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffca…0b64backed Isurus | 46c | 510$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.4 | 521 | 50.3%262 W · 259 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Isurus | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 5,810 | 37.8%2,196 W · 3,614 L | +78.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8976…7367backed Isurus | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 156 | 48.1%75 W · 81 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7029…1136backed Isurus | 49c | 467.6$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.48 | 213 | 51.2%109 W · 104 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Isurus | 49c | 357.55$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.35 | 610 | 54.6%333 W · 277 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked Isurus | 48c | 355.25$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.73 | 384 | 44.3%170 W · 214 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e0…708fbacked Isurus | 47c | 342.55$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.55 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +5.2wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed Fluxo | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 554 | 41.2%228 W · 326 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2167…fa33backed Isurus | 48c | 269.58$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.48 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa371…eaa5backed Isurus | 49c | 248.98$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.98 | 150 | 47.3%71 W · 79 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cec…d241backed Isurus | 49c | 244.9$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.9 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04a7…164bbacked Fluxo | 53c | 240$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.2 | 334 | 59%197 W · 137 L | +24.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Isurus | 48c | 226.73$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.9 | 323 | 45.2%146 W · 177 L | +12.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Isurus | 49c | 220.92$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.67 | 200 | 45%90 W · 110 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x292a…d1acbacked Isurus | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed8…7559backed Fluxo | 55c | 216.82$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.1 | 216 | 50%108 W · 108 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57e6…9622backed Fluxo | 52c | 215$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.41 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x009c…049bbacked Isurus | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 100 | 44%44 W · 56 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7955…ce08backed Isurus | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Isurus | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 317 | 44.8%142 W · 175 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed Fluxo | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 738 | 54.5%402 W · 336 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x327a…3480backed Isurus | 52c | 193.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.99 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Isurus | 49c | 193.1$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.28 | 445 | 52.4%233 W · 212 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Isurus | 49c | 172.99$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.53 | 170 | 34.7%59 W · 111 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Isurus | 45c | 172.81$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.05 | 1,768 | 59.2%1,047 W · 721 L | +105.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Isurus | 48c | 160$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.63 | 2,599 | 47.8%1,242 W · 1,357 L | -30.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked Isurus | 50c | 158.82$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.82 | 140 | 68.6%96 W · 44 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Fluxo | 52c | 152.74$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.86 | 982 | 48.3%474 W · 508 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Isurus | 49c | 140.59$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.7 | 415 | 55.4%230 W · 185 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Isurus | 49c | 130$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.3 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c8…7c4cbacked Fluxo | 53c | 120$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 324 | 47.2%153 W · 171 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1273…8eddbacked Isurus | 49c | 110.37$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.29 | 207 | 57.5%119 W · 88 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc59…35f7backed Isurus | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Fluxo | 52c | 100.03$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.34 | 673 | 50.1%337 W · 336 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Fluxo | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 358 | 57.8%207 W · 151 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1c…6b60backed Isurus | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.96 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad3…1af6backed Isurus | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97ee…1f82backed Isurus | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 76 | 36.8%28 W · 48 L | -10.8wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x312c…ceecbacked Isurus | 49c | 82.89$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.1 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20f4…8b5ebacked Isurus | 50c | 79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -5.9wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Fluxo | 52c | 74.48$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.88 | 447 | 47.2%211 W · 236 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecf…af11backed Isurus | 47c | 74$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.54 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked Isurus | 49c | 67.35$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.35 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d90…42bebacked Isurus | 47c | 65.7$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.7 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 37cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe863…52febacked Isurus | 49c | 56.11$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.58 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc545…3e4cbacked Isurus | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c62…ca89backed Fluxo | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Fluxo | 51c | 46.51$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 1,828 | 47.6%871 W · 957 L | -54.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a2…362bbacked Isurus | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa7…8332backed Isurus | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2175…4b33backed Isurus | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62cd…7b19backed Isurus | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4e…417cbacked Isurus | 47c | 39.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.19 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee16…16a2backed Isurus | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 297 | 52.2%155 W · 142 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa01f…8192backed Isurus | 49c | 31.16$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.89 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde36…f41cbacked Fluxo | 51c | 30.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Fluxo | 61c | 30.64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.64 | 2,429 | 44.6%1,083 W · 1,346 L | -63.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3b…05aabacked Isurus | 49c | 30.36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Fluxo | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.69 | 491 | 49.9%245 W · 246 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc6…9c5cbacked Isurus | 46c | 28.07$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.16 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Fluxo | 47c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8e…b38fbacked Fluxo | 53c | 20.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: FX (-1.5) vs Isurus (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Fluxo vs Isurus (BO3) - CCT South America Series 4 PlayoffsIsurus won
- Counter-Strike: Fluxo vs Isurus - Map 1 WinnerFluxo won
- Counter-Strike: Fluxo vs Isurus - Map 2 WinnerIsurus won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.