CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Fluxo vs Isurus - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4f33296f94cc517d562c1c21723552f9845b03eeca3ff3bf922fd7bc5b909a5c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fluxoof Fluxo, Isurus
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,827
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,057
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,827 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Fluxo | 68c | 1,946$1,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.73 | 1,431 | 39%558 W · 873 L | -41.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Fluxo | 71c | 1,169$829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.52 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…6a8bbacked Isurus | 38c | 720.49$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.2 | 755 | 45.6%344 W · 411 L | -21.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Isurus | 35c | 699.71$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.06 | 2,456 | 44.5%1,093 W · 1,363 L | -67.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Isurus | 31c | 560.52$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Isurus | 34c | 518.08$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.15 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6668…9b4dbacked Isurus | 29c | 500$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Fluxo | 65c | 422.52$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.06 | 1,041 | 53.1%553 W · 488 L | +63.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Isurus | 32c | 216.15$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.04 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Isurus | 33c | 209.24$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.13 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6c…0c16backed Isurus | 38c | 184.61$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 209 | 35.9%75 W · 134 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Isurus | 29c | 180$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd09f…521abacked Fluxo | 51c | 174.71$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 115 | 36.5%42 W · 73 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Isurus | 22c | 155.5$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.06 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Isurus | 27c | 108.58$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.16 | 817 | 44.7%365 W · 452 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Isurus | 33c | 106.31$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.53 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Fluxo | 67c | 102$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.66 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x611f…1f84backed Isurus | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Isurus | 30c | 82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.53 | 122 | 44.3%54 W · 68 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Fluxo | 80c | 77.11$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.58 | 2,143 | 47.3%1,013 W · 1,130 L | -61.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6987…846bbacked Fluxo | 72c | 66.65$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x443c…d83abacked Fluxo | 68c | 57.89$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.67 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +11.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Isurus | 29c | 52.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.32 | 111 | 55%61 W · 50 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Isurus | 29c | 52.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 1,895 | 47.8%906 W · 989 L | -50.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Isurus | 35c | 51$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 514 | 46.9%241 W · 273 L | -22.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x312c…ceecbacked Isurus | 29c | 43.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Fluxo | 70c | 42.16$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.7 | 491 | 49.9%245 W · 246 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Fluxo | 78c | 38.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.47 | 224 | 49.6%111 W · 113 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57e6…9622backed Fluxo | 72c | 37$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.24 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed Fluxo | 75c | 35.33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.83 | 75 | 68%51 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Isurus | 35c | 28.18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 531 | 45.4%241 W · 290 L | -18.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Fluxo | 68c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 456 | 39.3%179 W · 277 L | -29.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Fluxo vs Isurus - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Fluxo vs Isurus (BO3) - CCT South America Series 4 PlayoffsIsurus won
- Counter-Strike: Fluxo vs Isurus - Map 2 WinnerIsurus won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map Handicap: FX (-1.5) vs Isurus (+1.5)Isurus won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.