CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Fluxo vs Isurus - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd9c4f1ee4f199457e4555373ea2333f82940bd36297fd56fc50706efc8a45344
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Isurusof Fluxo, Isurus
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,345
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,907
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,345 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Fluxo | 56c | 1,535$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.33 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Fluxo | 71c | 1,416$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.41 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6421…045dbacked Isurus | 38c | 794.17$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.17 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…3eb8backed Isurus | 32c | 720.85$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.41 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Fluxo | 35c | 699.99$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.65 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Isurus | 38c | 543.33$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.33 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91e8…f1abbacked Isurus | 51c | 512.7$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.7 | 186 | 54.8%102 W · 84 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6668…9b4dbacked Isurus | 30c | 500$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…6a8bbacked Fluxo | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 752 | 45.5%342 W · 410 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbf…0eb4backed Fluxo | 73c | 495.01$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.65 | 371 | 57.7%214 W · 157 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf369…8283backed Isurus | 43c | 452.75$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.92 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | +8.0wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Isurus | 28c | 445.75$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.74 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe559…b262backed Isurus | 21c | 305$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.95 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b84…b851backed Isurus | 32c | 299.87$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.99 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +79.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Isurus | 44c | 272.59$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.65 | 190 | 50%95 W · 95 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Fluxo | 63c | 246.66$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.46 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Isurus | 64c | 196.55$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.87 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Isurus | 38c | 188.64$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.52 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfda…5504backed Fluxo | 69c | 184.32$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.18 | 251 | 42.6%107 W · 144 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Isurus | 29c | 180$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.8 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Isurus | 29c | 159$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.89 | 122 | 44.3%54 W · 68 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0c…dac0backed Fluxo | 75c | 129.61$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.06 | 414 | 75.4%312 W · 102 L | +22.1wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Isurus | 37c | 117.77$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.69 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…d3aebacked Fluxo | 60c | 106.5$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.9 | 250 | 42.4%106 W · 144 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Fluxo | 68c | 102.01$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.62 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed Fluxo | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 559 | 41%229 W · 330 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65ce…b90bbacked Fluxo | 75c | 100$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 162 | 40.1%65 W · 97 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x611f…1f84backed Isurus | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Isurus | 33c | 95.01$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.12 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…98abbacked Isurus | 33c | 88.69$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.69 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Isurus | 44c | 86.34$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.93 | 752 | 45.3%341 W · 411 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x312c…ceecbacked Isurus | 29c | 65.06$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.24 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Isurus | 38c | 55$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.96 | 514 | 46.9%241 W · 273 L | -22.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Fluxo | 61c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.25 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Isurus | 29c | 44.77$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.81 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57e6…9622backed Fluxo | 72c | 41$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…51f3backed Fluxo | 52c | 30.24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 229 | 54.6%125 W · 104 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Fluxo | 72c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.48 | 491 | 49.9%245 W · 246 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Fluxo | 44c | 29.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 597 | 3%18 W · 579 L | -221.0wins | -0.37per pick | 40cpaid | -90.7%equal weight | 11-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Fluxo | 51c | 20.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 1,068 | 55%587 W · 481 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…db20backed Fluxo | 80c | 18.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 163 | 61.3%100 W · 63 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d98…7900backed Isurus | 76c | 13.22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.21 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Fluxo vs Isurus - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Fluxo vs Isurus (BO3) - CCT South America Series 4 PlayoffsIsurus won
- Counter-Strike: Fluxo vs Isurus - Map 1 WinnerFluxo won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map Handicap: FX (-1.5) vs Isurus (+1.5)Isurus won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.