CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: JustP (-1.5) vs Inner Circle Academy (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x37d7f46c538f9ae4a9aab79bc7e20c722cf4575597f1107ec961b753c2e84515
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Just Playersof Just Players, Inner Circle Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,792
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,023
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,792 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Just Players | 37c | 16,558$6,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,356.45 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked Inner Circle Academy | 63c | 15,000$9,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,402.98 | 756 | 52.6%398 W · 358 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Inner Circle Academy | 59c | 1,405$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.94 | 668 | 51.8%346 W · 322 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Inner Circle Academy | 63c | 1,218$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.32 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Just Players | 38c | 1,063$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.13 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Just Players | 39c | 962.31$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.35 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Just Players | 37c | 700$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.04 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Inner Circle Academy | 63c | 692$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.96 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Just Players | 34c | 513.66$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.23 | 619 | 48%297 W · 322 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2405…e055backed Inner Circle Academy | 64c | 508.56$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.48 | 159 | 48.4%77 W · 82 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd5…28f2backed Just Players | 39c | 500$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Inner Circle Academy | 60c | 490.47$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.2 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Inner Circle Academy | 59c | 465.36$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.68 | 247 | 46.6%115 W · 132 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Inner Circle Academy | 64c | 300$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 991 | 48.3%479 W · 512 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Inner Circle Academy | 64c | 213.04$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.77 | 422 | 55.7%235 W · 187 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked Inner Circle Academy | 64c | 185.98$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.03 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57e6…9622backed Inner Circle Academy | 64c | 121$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.44 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Just Players | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 659 | 46.6%307 W · 352 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Just Players | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Inner Circle Academy | 64c | 80$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 185 | 36.2%67 W · 118 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Just Players | 37c | 80$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.49 | 217 | 50.7%110 W · 107 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Just Players | 38c | 73.6$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.87 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Just Players | 38c | 66.49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.22 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Inner Circle Academy | 61c | 60$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff0…0a65backed Just Players | 37c | 58.22$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.68 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1273…8eddbacked Inner Circle Academy | 64c | 49.2$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.49 | 209 | 57.4%120 W · 89 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8e…b38fbacked Just Players | 37c | 43.27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.26 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1f…1e14backed Just Players | 37c | 41.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.34 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Inner Circle Academy | 67c | 40.43$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.08 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b8…6983backed Inner Circle Academy | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Just Players | 40c | 32.42$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.45 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa01f…8192backed Inner Circle Academy | 64c | 30.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.66 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3b…05aabacked Inner Circle Academy | 64c | 30.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6279…2627backed Inner Circle Academy | 64c | 26.56$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb627…d968backed Inner Circle Academy | 64c | 21.94$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 186 | 63.4%118 W · 68 L | +14.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12ac…cae8backed Inner Circle Academy | 64c | 17.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe573…ae05backed Inner Circle Academy | 64c | 16.36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d29…872abacked Inner Circle Academy | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18de…0b64backed Inner Circle Academy | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -21%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: JustP (-1.5) vs Inner Circle Academy (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Just Players vs Inner Circle Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Group StageJust Players won
- Counter-Strike: Just Players vs Inner Circle Academy - Map 1 WinnerJust Players won
- Counter-Strike: Just Players vs Inner Circle Academy - Map 2 WinnerJust Players won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.