Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Level UP vs Team AION (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x868fee35d42c65e4353fb4b796ec231b3b0809865a3aed792cff9709872e6981
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Level UPof Level UP, Team AION
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $77,355
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $80,509
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,355 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Level UP | 63c | 15,584$9,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,752.48 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked Team AION | 32c | 10,506$3,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,360.19 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Team AION | 8c | 2,969$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.51 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Level UP | 60c | 2,572$1,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,024.26 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Level UP | 66c | 2,456$1,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840.7 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Team AION | 31c | 2,203$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.52 | 378 | 32.5%123 W · 255 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08ee…ffe2backed Team AION | 34c | 2,043$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Team AION | 34c | 2,041$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.06 | 793 | 41.7%331 W · 462 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x401d…23c6backed Team AION | 39c | 1,997$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.5 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe23b…7c42backed Team AION | 35c | 1,720$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.1 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x070f…ed83backed Level UP | 66c | 1,600$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64f4…b38ebacked Team AION | 31c | 1,439$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.12 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0698…b91dbacked Level UP | 69c | 1,345$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.06 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd0…cdd6backed Team AION | 34c | 1,250$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed Level UP | 67c | 1,209$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.26 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Team AION | 19c | 1,179$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.18 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…1e8abacked Team AION | 40c | 1,156$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.73 | 150 | 50%75 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfda…5504backed Level UP | 66c | 1,126$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.99 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63b1…1676backed Level UP | 66c | 999.98$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.99 | 146 | 46.6%68 W · 78 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…38e8backed Team AION | 4c | 990.57$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.12 | 332 | 3%10 W · 322 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39e2…c00ebacked Level UP | 73c | 945.29$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.89 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…bd17backed Team AION | 42c | 932.86$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.03 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae6d…795fbacked Level UP | 70c | 859.51$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.51 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Team AION | 20c | 754.12$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.19 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf206…df39backed Team AION | 36c | 741.1$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.29 | 169 | 63.3%107 W · 62 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa20d…6ba4backed Team AION | 35c | 700$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.6 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4e…852fbacked Team AION | 4c | 690$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | +5.9wins | +0.14per pick | 24cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8840…f51abacked Team AION | 2c | 680.31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | +150%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x880d…39bcbacked Level UP | 67c | 624.95$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.47 | 327 | 56.9%186 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Level UP | 72c | 595.54$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.75 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x035b…c6ddbacked Team AION | 19c | 525.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5a…07b6backed Team AION | 40c | 521.76$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aff…b136backed Team AION | 4c | 499.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 324 | 45.1%146 W · 178 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed Level UP | 74c | 487.95$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 813 | 45.1%367 W · 446 L | -26.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Team AION | 34c | 482.02$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.41 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15ef…647cbacked Team AION | 27c | 423.35$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44b1…bf04backed Team AION | 19c | 398.58$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.56 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Level UP | 67c | 377.19$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.36 | 665 | 45.6%303 W · 362 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Team AION | 22c | 364.06$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.12 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Team AION | 15c | 350.9$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.28 | 438 | 60.5%265 W · 173 L | +44.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d4…0289backed Team AION | 33c | 342.46$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.72 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7020…d655backed Level UP | 72c | 335.61$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.84 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Team AION | 24c | 306.77$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.78 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85fb…89babacked Team AION | 16c | 304.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.84 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc28f…6193backed Team AION | 33c | 303.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -4.7wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xae27…6fb2backed Team AION | 14c | 302.4$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 56 | 21.4%12 W · 44 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb75b…e377backed Team AION | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf34b…bcb3backed Team AION | 33c | 297.81$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.28 | 583 | 56.8%331 W · 252 L | +28.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8412…55f3backed Team AION | 34c | 291.47$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47e8…efdcbacked Level UP | 66c | 288.9$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.24 | 194 | 56.2%109 W · 85 L | +13.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed Team AION | 34c | 283.16$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.17 | 125 | 47.2%59 W · 66 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…e6a6backed Team AION | 4c | 281.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Team AION | 33c | 274.83$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.97 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ad…cc15backed Team AION | 15c | 268.87$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde30…3159backed Team AION | 32c | 256.25$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 195 | 47.2%92 W · 103 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc59…1b00backed Team AION | 8c | 230.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41f4…ee16backed Team AION | 30c | 225.95$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.29 | 385 | 47.5%183 W · 202 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Team AION | 13c | 220$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 215 | 40.9%88 W · 127 L | -12.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf9…ad6ebacked Level UP | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +9.4wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…6d24backed Team AION | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 416 | 32.7%136 W · 280 L | -37.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…d485backed Level UP | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Team AION | 25c | 192.44$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.53 | 312 | 51.3%160 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Team AION | 32c | 192.4$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.13 | 138 | 27.5%38 W · 100 L | -15.0wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4114…f750backed Team AION | 34c | 184.91$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.87 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…d03fbacked Level UP | 66c | 175.55$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.18 | 179 | 65.4%117 W · 62 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94c1…8036backed Level UP | 74c | 174.51$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.24 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80ca…c38fbacked Team AION | 24c | 165.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 46cpaid | -74%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2b…825ebacked Level UP | 64c | 156.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.56 | 106 | 37.7%40 W · 66 L | -9.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Team AION | 31c | 151.98$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.04 | 340 | 41.2%140 W · 200 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6012…6dc3backed Level UP | 73c | 151.14$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Team AION | 31c | 148.96$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.79 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed Team AION | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 460 | 49.8%229 W · 231 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Level UP | 68c | 145.03$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 656 | 47.3%310 W · 346 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35f1…e67bbacked Team AION | 42c | 134.75$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.59 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +4.7wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc269…7841backed Team AION | 24c | 132.45$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -5.9wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd09f…521abacked Team AION | 17c | 130.82$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked Level UP | 62c | 103.99$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.24 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed Level UP | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.1 | 414 | 55.6%230 W · 184 L | +41.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Team AION | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Team AION | 17c | 99.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 421 | 46.6%196 W · 225 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…ccfebacked Level UP | 68c | 99.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.1 | 546 | 59.7%326 W · 220 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48f7…3aebbacked Team AION | 31c | 99.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.38 | 668 | 48.5%324 W · 344 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3c…0629backed Team AION | 37c | 96.5$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.79 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team AION | 33c | 95.01$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.91 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9417…bbd3backed Team AION | 33c | 93.39$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.77 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a06…31d8backed Team AION | 34c | 82.59$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.08 | 416 | 55.3%230 W · 186 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c57…1cefbacked Team AION | 26c | 70$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabd9…dc3abacked Team AION | 37c | 65.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.83 | 187 | 33.2%62 W · 125 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x795d…f703backed Team AION | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b00…3d66backed Team AION | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 109 | 35.8%39 W · 70 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Team AION | 29c | 59.21$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 176 | 47.2%83 W · 93 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Team AION | 32c | 57.49$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.37 | 123 | 53.7%66 W · 57 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x142f…19f9backed Team AION | 34c | 55.88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 234 | 42.7%100 W · 134 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Level UP | 77c | 53.77$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Level UP | 66c | 49.98$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.99 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5867…2e20backed Team AION | 36c | 44.11$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 253 | 39.1%99 W · 154 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Level UP | 76c | 44$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 645 | 47.8%308 W · 337 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…5f74backed Team AION | 29c | 43.12$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe57f…7337backed Team AION | 37c | 35.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -7.3wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2911…922ebacked Team AION | 31c | 33.95$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Level UP vs Team AION (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group Bthis page
- Dota 2: Level UP vs Team AION - Game 1 WinnerLevel UP won
- Dota 2: Level UP vs Team AION - Game 2 WinnerTeam AION won
- Game 1: Any Player Rampage?No won
- Game 2: Any Player Rampage?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.