Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Level UP vs Team AION - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x07fdc63b8ba6604cb4a029648e790c2b944635e88e15d6c0af5851f752278db6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team AIONof Level UP, Team AION
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $62,307
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,165
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,307 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Level UP | 50c | 8,973$4,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,497.78 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked Team AION | 48c | 7,801$3,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,093.88 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Team AION | 46c | 4,849$2,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,609.5 | 254 | 46.1%117 W · 137 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08ee…ffe2backed Team AION | 61c | 2,961$1,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,162.57 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…1e8abacked Level UP | 55c | 2,814$1,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,551.4 | 150 | 50%75 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe59f…0d08backed Team AION | 43c | 2,716$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,540.6 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe23b…7c42backed Team AION | 30c | 2,013$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,412.6 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed Level UP | 54c | 1,484$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.1 | 574 | 49%281 W · 293 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Level UP | 55c | 1,462$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.77 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83e4…bd22backed Team AION | 54c | 1,454$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.29 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x070f…ed83backed Level UP | 53c | 1,382$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.08 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc15f…223dbacked Team AION | 67c | 1,051$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.52 | 117 | 47.9%56 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Level UP | 58c | 1,046$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.3 | 801 | 59.1%473 W · 328 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Team AION | 39c | 1,031$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.88 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aff…b136backed Level UP | 26c | 1,005$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.24 | 324 | 45.1%146 W · 178 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd0…cdd6backed Team AION | 42c | 999.99$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.93 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Team AION | 33c | 952.28$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.03 | 381 | 45.7%174 W · 207 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35f1…e67bbacked Level UP | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +4.7wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…38e8backed Level UP | 4c | 890.66$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.99 | 332 | 3%10 W · 322 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d40…dd57backed Team AION | 50c | 766.04$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.04 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51be…12c2backed Level UP | 43c | 723.73$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 192 | 51%98 W · 94 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Level UP | 42c | 719.94$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.85 | 1,707 | 41.2%704 W · 1,003 L | -43.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Level UP | 72c | 705.5$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.96 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Team AION | 68c | 600$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.79 | 921 | 56.5%520 W · 401 L | +78.5wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Level UP | 52c | 509.44$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.58 | 1,461 | 48.5%709 W · 752 L | +28.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59cb…57d1backed Level UP | 59c | 471.5$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48f7…3aebbacked Level UP | 61c | 434.69$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.94 | 669 | 48.4%324 W · 345 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2802…347dbacked Team AION | 20c | 417$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.6 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9a…d10fbacked Team AION | 20c | 417$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.6 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Level UP | 52c | 324.32$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.02 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Level UP | 7c | 320.62$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.27 | 340 | 41.2%140 W · 200 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0698…b91dbacked Level UP | 74c | 311.27$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.75 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe846…252bbacked Team AION | 15c | 300$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 103 | 49.5%51 W · 52 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d4…0289backed Team AION | 29c | 293.42$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.66 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Team AION | 20c | 250$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 502 | 47.6%239 W · 263 L | +31.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…9bb3backed Team AION | 20c | 250$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | +7.8wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4e…852fbacked Team AION | 20c | 250$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | +5.9wins | +0.14per pick | 24cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xad2a…99a3backed Team AION | 22c | 250$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 237 | 36.7%87 W · 150 L | -17.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7020…d655backed Team AION | 51c | 246.04$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.89 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team AION | 37c | 241.01$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.42 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23b5…97e1backed Team AION | 20c | 240$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39e2…c00ebacked Level UP | 65c | 237.15$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17b0…2c88backed Level UP | 76c | 230$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde30…3159backed Level UP | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 195 | 47.2%92 W · 103 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3d…9488backed Level UP | 76c | 200$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Team AION | 44c | 194.04$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.44 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44b1…bf04backed Team AION | 42c | 178.69$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.24 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd09f…521abacked Team AION | 35c | 176.62$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.62 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f4…c1e4backed Level UP | 66c | 171.63$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.95 | 426 | 39.4%168 W · 258 L | -39.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x14ea…a68ebacked Level UP | 76c | 164.47$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b00…3d66backed Team AION | 28c | 159.52$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.52 | 109 | 35.8%39 W · 70 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Level UP | 20c | 140.17$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.51 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed Level UP | 55c | 138$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.9 | 461 | 49.7%229 W · 232 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3066…693abacked Level UP | 62c | 129.03$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 548 | 48.5%266 W · 282 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…d03fbacked Team AION | 57c | 116.17$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.95 | 179 | 65.4%117 W · 62 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8efb…c0e6backed Team AION | 48c | 114.17$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.6 | 222 | 59%131 W · 91 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5867…2e20backed Level UP | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 253 | 39.1%99 W · 154 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Team AION | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.27 | 421 | 46.6%196 W · 225 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Team AION | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.1 | 569 | 48.7%277 W · 292 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2911…922ebacked Level UP | 30c | 95.18$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.1 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x880d…39bcbacked Level UP | 67c | 90$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.3 | 327 | 56.9%186 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed Team AION | 47c | 77$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.64 | 125 | 47.2%59 W · 66 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc37d…e586backed Team AION | 33c | 76.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 387 | 59.4%230 W · 157 L | +26.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7578…926ebacked Level UP | 63c | 73.51$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x401d…23c6backed Level UP | 55c | 73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.15 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x912e…0eaebacked Level UP | 56c | 72.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.88 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | -8.3wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf07b…def2backed Team AION | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.43 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a2…a9bfbacked Level UP | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 194 | 55.7%108 W · 86 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed Level UP | 45c | 65.22$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.22 | 814 | 45.1%367 W · 447 L | -27.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabd9…dc3abacked Team AION | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.01 | 188 | 33.5%63 W · 125 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ab…4122backed Level UP | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Level UP | 68c | 56.44$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.53 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b3f…6816backed Team AION | 51c | 55.37$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.13 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec96…f5d7backed Level UP | 76c | 52.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 372 | 53%197 W · 175 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb844…dee6backed Level UP | 50c | 52.22$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95e9…67b6backed Level UP | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 185 | 50.8%94 W · 91 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93b6…5d73backed Level UP | 70c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 133 | 36.8%49 W · 84 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31dc…cd45backed Level UP | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…157cbacked Level UP | 67c | 42.31$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.35 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +5.4wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3c…0629backed Team AION | 38c | 36.7$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.7 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec24…d744backed Level UP | 54c | 36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa7…1323backed Level UP | 57c | 33.89$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 60 | 71.7%43 W · 17 L | +6.9wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Level UP | 54c | 20.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 304 | 51.6%157 W · 147 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb2…9ef0backed Level UP | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…08e7backed Level UP | 76c | 15.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 382 | 44.5%170 W · 212 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…db20backed Level UP | 68c | 14.71$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x012b…7c42backed Level UP | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.4wins | -0.26per pick | 57cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Level UP vs Team AION - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Level UP vs Team AION (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group BLevel UP won
- Dota 2: Level UP vs Team AION - Game 1 WinnerLevel UP won
- Game 1: Any Player Rampage?No won
- Game 2: Any Player Rampage?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.