Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: WE (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0aa96e2acae95769b2a5bb83d77b9001aa18323408f1a1327c3e05feedd27411
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ThunderTalk Gamingof Team WE, ThunderTalk Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,602
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $77,866
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,602 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 57c | 22,071$12,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,385.34 | 960 | 48.8%468 W · 492 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5e…7315backed Team WE | 42c | 19,225$8,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,070.25 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0993…525fbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 58c | 15,000$8,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,300 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…73fdbacked Team WE | 42c | 10,000$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,199.99 | 325 | 55.7%181 W · 144 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf377…4159backed Team WE | 42c | 10,000$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,199.95 | 207 | 48.8%101 W · 106 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 58c | 6,500$3,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,729.98 | 595 | 54.1%322 W · 273 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Team WE | 45c | 3,239$1,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,458.86 | 273 | 46.9%128 W · 145 L | -14.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Team WE | 42c | 3,147$1,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,321.88 | 639 | 44.6%285 W · 354 L | -18.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbadb…31a7backed Team WE | 43c | 3,000$1,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,287.87 | 172 | 41.9%72 W · 100 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 58c | 3,000$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +7.2wins | +0.22per pick | 46cpaid | +130.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 58c | 3,000$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260 | 1,029 | 52.3%538 W · 491 L | +27.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb496…1f45backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 54c | 2,223$1,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,013.42 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb0…57e0backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 58c | 2,208$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927.21 | 74 | 63.5%47 W · 27 L | +7.7wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Team WE | 42c | 2,187$919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918.56 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd599…bf55backed Team WE | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 179 | 33%59 W · 120 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d01…27cbbacked Team WE | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 292 | 36%105 W · 187 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1316…48a4backed Team WE | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860 | 474 | 55.3%262 W · 212 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Team WE | 43c | 1,860$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 225 | 47.6%107 W · 118 L | -11.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 77c | 1,679$1,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.79 | 527 | 50.5%266 W · 261 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 60c | 1,678$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.56 | 1,047 | 50.3%527 W · 520 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 58c | 1,188$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.72 | 281 | 49.8%140 W · 141 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5055…b09bbacked Team WE | 44c | 1,126$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 137 | 35%48 W · 89 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…9bdabacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 321 | 45.5%146 W · 175 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a90…d8debacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 60c | 998.72$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.72 | 141 | 60.3%85 W · 56 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 58c | 900$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +7.1wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8c2f…d8c2backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 58c | 844.33$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.62 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…8a9bbacked Team WE | 43c | 697.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 509 | 56.2%286 W · 223 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13ba…53e4backed Team WE | 43c | 697.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 119 | 43.7%52 W · 67 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 59c | 650.93$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.88 | 960 | 54.2%520 W · 440 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5102…7b08backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 58c | 580$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.6 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x282f…7c4ebacked Team WE | 42c | 527.71$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.64 | 143 | 42%60 W · 83 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bae…cec4backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.24 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…f1f3backed Team WE | 41c | 499.98$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.99 | 246 | 48.4%119 W · 127 L | -13.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ab…3bb3backed Team WE | 46c | 441.45$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Team WE | 42c | 399.99$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 890 | 50.6%450 W · 440 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0160…1224backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 59c | 373$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.93 | 236 | 39.8%94 W · 142 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Team WE | 43c | 363$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.09 | 460 | 50.7%233 W · 227 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…5172backed Team WE | 43c | 348.84$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 436 | 40.6%177 W · 259 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f4…148cbacked Team WE | 43c | 325.58$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 56c | 308.44$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.71 | 406 | 37.7%153 W · 253 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…2075backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 59c | 305.17$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.17 | 270 | 50.7%137 W · 133 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x070f…ed83backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 58c | 300$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 59c | 282.08$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.65 | 388 | 50.8%197 W · 191 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…5478backed Team WE | 41c | 275.17$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.82 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68e9…845cbacked Team WE | 43c | 254.99$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.65 | 155 | 36.1%56 W · 99 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…cd9dbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 59c | 253.4$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.4 | 225 | 62.2%140 W · 85 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a76…29dcbacked Team WE | 45c | 246.07$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 137 | 64.2%88 W · 49 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…42e4backed Team WE | 43c | 244.19$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 264 | 40.9%108 W · 156 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd94a…fe08backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 58c | 241.38$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.38 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 58c | 240$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.8 | 356 | 42.4%151 W · 205 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb627…2d13backed Team WE | 43c | 235$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 515 | 52.6%271 W · 244 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x500f…4c28backed Team WE | 43c | 232.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 188 | 49.5%93 W · 95 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Team WE | 43c | 230.05$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.73 | 1,113 | 39%434 W · 679 L | -44.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaaac…8069backed Team WE | 43c | 209.3$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07b6…0ab8backed Team WE | 43c | 205.86$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.52 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked Team WE | 40c | 187.2$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.88 | 389 | 31.9%124 W · 265 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b5…2a6cbacked Team WE | 43c | 175.79$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.99 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x294b…22d2backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 569 | 49.4%281 W · 288 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f8…e0b1backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 524 | 41%215 W · 309 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x987d…1143backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b5…f95bbacked Team WE | 42c | 172.41$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.41 | 675 | 49%331 W · 344 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 362 | 46.4%168 W · 194 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3d…34efbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 60c | 150$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 176 | 48.3%85 W · 91 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…33dabacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 58c | 137.93$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.93 | 145 | 46.9%68 W · 77 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…3d27backed Team WE | 22c | 128.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.07 | 95 | 37.9%36 W · 59 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 57c | 121.42$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.21 | 1,212 | 54.5%660 W · 552 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Team WE | 41c | 121$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.61 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked Team WE | 41c | 120$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd52…aa25backed Team WE | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 124 | 36.3%45 W · 79 L | -16.3wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2d45…1c86backed Team WE | 43c | 102.33$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed Team WE | 41c | 100.14$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.06 | 760 | 28.9%220 W · 540 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed Team WE | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 462 | 48.9%226 W · 236 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…16e6backed Team WE | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 118 | 52.5%62 W · 56 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2458…bd24backed Team WE | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91dc…ca3abacked Team WE | 41c | 86.29$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.38 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d89…a792backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa5…00b2backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 61c | 82.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.24 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 58c | 70$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 617 | 46.5%287 W · 330 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dca…f9edbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 59c | 70$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.7 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…b23ebacked Team WE | 43c | 70$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 1,024 | 45%461 W · 563 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f38…a0edbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 58c | 68.6$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.64 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x119d…bec3backed Team WE | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3c…559ebacked Team WE | 43c | 65.65$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.23 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x083c…65f2backed Team WE | 42c | 64$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.88 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43f7…e591backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 57c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 207 | 48.3%100 W · 107 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2395…3101backed Team WE | 40c | 52.85$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.14 | 82 | 64.6%53 W · 29 L | +7.4wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 58c | 52.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 395 | 55.2%218 W · 177 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66c0…5fc2backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 128 | 62.5%80 W · 48 L | +12.9wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 58c | 50.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.29 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6c…776fbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Team WE | 41c | 47.07$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.07 | 399 | 51.1%204 W · 195 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4db7…1cabbacked Team WE | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2b…51debacked Team WE | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5252…a7cdbacked Team WE | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 644 | 35.4%228 W · 416 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Team WE | 43c | 42.46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 356 | 39.3%140 W · 216 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed Team WE | 42c | 39.82$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 125 | 43.2%54 W · 71 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54fe…8636backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 58c | 37.93$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Team WE | 42c | 35.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 130 | 46.2%60 W · 70 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c1…928cbacked Team WE | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 158 | 62.7%99 W · 59 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked Team WE | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: WE (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5)this page
- First Blood in Game 1?ThunderTalk Gaming won
- First Blood in Game 2?ThunderTalk Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group AscendThunderTalk Gaming won
- LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 WinnerThunderTalk Gaming won
- LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 WinnerTeam WE won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.