Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd0afa36670d553020e2c4b200836c7d1ac309a0c22b9e1117aa7e281a20daa56
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,313
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,738
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,313 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Under | 54c | 1,888$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.49 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 47c | 1,479$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.43 | 1,113 | 39%434 W · 679 L | -44.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 65c | 1,183$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.02 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Under | 45c | 912.19$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.02 | 527 | 50.5%266 W · 261 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35c8…ce5cbacked Under | 34c | 709.41$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.44 | 488 | 44.3%216 W · 272 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed Over | 77c | 672.8$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.55 | 697 | 41.5%289 W · 408 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Under | 55c | 629.67$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.32 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 53c | 600$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.71 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Under | 34c | 539.26$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.35 | 379 | 48.3%183 W · 196 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51ba…3ca5backed Over | 50c | 401.06$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.61 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1636…977bbacked Over | 46c | 303.57$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.93 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9179…2f34backed Over | 73c | 248.36$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.14 | 371 | 61.7%229 W · 142 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…42e4backed Over | 45c | 244.44$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.44 | 264 | 40.9%108 W · 156 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50ab…70a2backed Over | 50c | 238.37$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.11 | 347 | 43.5%151 W · 196 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ec…c574backed Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 130 | 46.2%60 W · 70 L | -12.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -18%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8838…b9febacked Over | 46c | 210.48$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.66 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked Under | 51c | 190.23$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.17 | 281 | 49.8%140 W · 141 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 41c | 157.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.05 | 2,202 | 33.3%733 W · 1,469 L | -72.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Under | 54c | 153$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.62 | 637 | 42.7%272 W · 365 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15fc…fec7backed Over | 65c | 146.15$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.15 | 152 | 53.9%82 W · 70 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Under | 36c | 122.89$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.49 | 283 | 29.7%84 W · 199 L | -32.5wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x37d9…30debacked Under | 36c | 119.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5427…94c0backed Over | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d89…a792backed Over | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked Over | 45c | 106.32$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.48 | 356 | 42.4%151 W · 205 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 44c | 102.21$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.22 | 2,311 | 39.4%910 W · 1,401 L | -83.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…2b03backed Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked Over | 55c | 98$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.2 | 389 | 31.9%124 W · 265 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9c1…026dbacked Over | 49c | 94.78$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.34 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 40c | 93.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.53 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.96 | 493 | 46.5%229 W · 264 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over | 45c | 85$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.35 | 612 | 56.2%344 W · 268 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8038…9547backed Over | 54c | 82.2$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.64 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Under | 54c | 63$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.12 | 1,156 | 45.1%521 W · 635 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 31c | 60.07$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.22 | 1,134 | 31%352 W · 782 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 55c | 59$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.52 | 1,464 | 43.4%636 W · 828 L | -32.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7f…6d8dbacked Over | 35c | 56.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.36 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 25cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Under | 55c | 55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.48 | 399 | 51.1%204 W · 195 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 55c | 53.38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.23 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Over | 50c | 51.28$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.75 | 1,356 | 51.1%693 W · 663 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Under | 30c | 50.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 140 | 42.1%59 W · 81 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe057…c942backed Over | 64c | 49.98$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f3…b3eebacked Over | 44c | 45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9468…dc7dbacked Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…62c5backed Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…0950backed Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fc…b1b4backed Over | 45c | 39.04$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.47 | 217 | 51.2%111 W · 106 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…f9e4backed Over | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20aa…b3dcbacked Over | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b6…f6ffbacked Under | 51c | 32.32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.48 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca5f…41f5backed Over | 35c | 31.49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.55 | 211 | 55%116 W · 95 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc28b…3683backed Over | 50c | 30.29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.29 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Over | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 464 | 52.4%243 W · 221 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…0dfcbacked Over | 39c | 26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.86 | 198 | 35.4%70 W · 128 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 54c | 23.1$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 2,679 | 35.7%957 W · 1,722 L | -153.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b75…535cbacked Over | 49c | 22.95$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.81 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Under | 60c | 19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 158 | 23.4%37 W · 121 L | -21.3wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- First Blood in Game 1?ThunderTalk Gaming won
- First Blood in Game 2?ThunderTalk Gaming won
- Game Handicap: WE (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5)ThunderTalk Gaming won
- LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group AscendThunderTalk Gaming won
- LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 WinnerThunderTalk Gaming won
- LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 WinnerTeam WE won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.