Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: EDG (-1.5) vs FunPlus Phoenix (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x308653a0f9cd7df63fc2b5898c38201fde509c905f4240df7814c27c6e152c02
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FunPlus Phoenixof EDward Gaming, FunPlus Phoenix
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,478
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,918
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,478 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked FunPlus Phoenix | 54c | 4,306$2,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,985.76 | 289 | 55.7%161 W · 128 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed EDward Gaming | 44c | 4,261$1,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,893.43 | 396 | 46%182 W · 214 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0993…525fbacked FunPlus Phoenix | 55c | 2,878$1,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,295.26 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +6.1wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked EDward Gaming | 42c | 800$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c15…5b4bbacked EDward Gaming | 46c | 600$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ec…c574backed FunPlus Phoenix | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.47 | 348 | 57.5%200 W · 148 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed EDward Gaming | 46c | 501$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.46 | 201 | 60.2%121 W · 80 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde41…58bdbacked EDward Gaming | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -3.8wins | -0.18per pick | 42cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x59d3…c92fbacked EDward Gaming | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 60cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb11…7901backed EDward Gaming | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2131…7325backed EDward Gaming | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -35%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc36…d35dbacked EDward Gaming | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd5…28f2backed FunPlus Phoenix | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -4.4wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -29%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked EDward Gaming | 41c | 444$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.04 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed FunPlus Phoenix | 57c | 400$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 271 | 45%122 W · 149 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…a142backed EDward Gaming | 45c | 397.17$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.8 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed EDward Gaming | 44c | 371.14$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.59 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x987e…8d7abacked FunPlus Phoenix | 57c | 351.02$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.02 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed EDward Gaming | 29c | 338.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.98 | 321 | 41.7%134 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a4…8427backed EDward Gaming | 44c | 320.45$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82a1…e38bbacked EDward Gaming | 45c | 312$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.4 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03c5…5f61backed EDward Gaming | 42c | 304.67$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.96 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2405…e055backed FunPlus Phoenix | 56c | 292.75$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.81 | 149 | 55.7%83 W · 66 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked FunPlus Phoenix | 56c | 280$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.2 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked EDward Gaming | 43c | 279.3$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.81 | 125 | 50.4%63 W · 62 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked EDward Gaming | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 344 | 43.3%149 W · 195 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb758…dd73backed FunPlus Phoenix | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 253 | 47%119 W · 134 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…f7dbbacked EDward Gaming | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 162 | 41.4%67 W · 95 L | -11.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed EDward Gaming | 47c | 192.37$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.94 | 639 | 55.6%355 W · 284 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd94a…fe08backed FunPlus Phoenix | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.36per pick | 53cpaid | +84.2%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed EDward Gaming | 44c | 160$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.4 | 666 | 50.8%338 W · 328 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3449…4030backed EDward Gaming | 45c | 154.22$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.4 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed EDward Gaming | 44c | 150$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 223 | 46.6%104 W · 119 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…31e6backed EDward Gaming | 44c | 150$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 361 | 45.7%165 W · 196 L | +22.8wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed FunPlus Phoenix | 64c | 120.99$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.09 | 492 | 55.3%272 W · 220 L | +23.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x119d…bec3backed EDward Gaming | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x558d…180ebacked EDward Gaming | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked FunPlus Phoenix | 68c | 110.01$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.6 | 553 | 48.3%267 W · 286 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e0…016abacked EDward Gaming | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked FunPlus Phoenix | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.25 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74aa…2c3fbacked EDward Gaming | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed FunPlus Phoenix | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.25 | 796 | 50%398 W · 398 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25a4…69f6backed EDward Gaming | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked FunPlus Phoenix | 57c | 96.12$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.45 | 164 | 51.8%85 W · 79 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84a…02febacked EDward Gaming | 41c | 85.7$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.14 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked FunPlus Phoenix | 67c | 81.03$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.36 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed FunPlus Phoenix | 76c | 72.68$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.44 | 101 | 59.4%60 W · 41 L | +11.4wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed EDward Gaming | 43c | 44.28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 930 | 49.4%459 W · 471 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e33…45f6backed FunPlus Phoenix | 58c | 31.03$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.03 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: EDG (-1.5) vs FunPlus Phoenix (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: EDward Gaming (-3.5) vs FunPlus Phoenix (+3.5)FunPlus Phoenix won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: EDward Gaming (-3.5) vs FunPlus Phoenix (+3.5)EDward Gaming won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5Over won
- Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group AlphaEDward Gaming won
- Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs EDward Gaming - Map 1 WinnerFunPlus Phoenix won
- Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs EDward Gaming - Map 2 WinnerEDward Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.