TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: EDward Gaming (-3.5) vs FunPlus Phoenix (+3.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
FunPlus Phoenixof EDward Gaming, FunPlus Phoenix
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,066
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,028

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,066 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x71a5…b594backed EDward Gaming47c473.58$223 inLost-$222.5811654.3%63 W · 53 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2405…e055backed EDward Gaming44c473.58$208 inLost-$208.3814955.7%83 W · 66 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6326…6329backed EDward Gaming43c391.37$168 inLost-$168.2911843.2%51 W · 67 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2140…0e12backed EDward Gaming46c205.81$95 inLost-$94.7819546.2%90 W · 105 L+0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed EDward Gaming45c136.91$61 inLost-$61.4317740.1%71 W · 106 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5556…2759backed FunPlus Phoenix55c119.06$65 inWon+$53.5863955.6%355 W · 284 L+1.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc59…35f7backed FunPlus Phoenix53c94.34$50 inWon+$44.344146.3%19 W · 22 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d40…dd57backed FunPlus Phoenix57c83.25$47 inWon+$35.81850%9 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ad3…1af6backed FunPlus Phoenix53c75.47$40 inWon+$35.473345.5%15 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf908…0aafbacked FunPlus Phoenix53c75.47$40 inWon+$35.4713243.2%57 W · 75 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc269…7841backed FunPlus Phoenix57c66.84$38 inWon+$28.841070%7 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+25.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b3c…9f22backed FunPlus Phoenix53c39.62$21 inWon+$18.6212149.6%60 W · 61 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2175…4b33backed FunPlus Phoenix53c37.74$20 inWon+$17.743043.3%13 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x62cd…7b19backed FunPlus Phoenix53c37.74$20 inWon+$17.743148.4%15 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.