TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Bologna FC 1909 vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$62,479
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$71,787

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,479 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Over41c5,917$2,416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,500.682,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under62c3,128$1,929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,928.9134239.2%134 W · 208 L+0.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa374…9709backed Under50c2,500$1,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,240.394242.9%18 W · 24 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over18c2,000$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,64018923.8%45 W · 144 L-13.2wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-30.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xffe9…a70ebacked Under49c1,986$973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$973.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under49c1,641$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.533441.2%14 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over35c1,636$579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,057.591,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa084…bb99backed Under26c1,417$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.381030%3 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20a8…d960backed Under51c1,134$579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$578.53333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-47.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under69c1,075$741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$741.2632650.6%165 W · 161 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde19…3c92backed Under52c1,066$554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554.520%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under70c1,060$741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$741.269650%48 W · 48 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over51c952.67$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.814339.5%17 W · 26 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Under76c923.03$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7004647.8%22 W · 24 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x54a3…1c90backed Under50c800$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Over16c788.17$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662.067045.7%32 W · 38 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe85d…ad4bbacked Over51c645.1$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.1540%2 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick29cpaid-17.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7066…50e5backed Over79c632.91$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.912065%13 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Under51c588.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004738.3%18 W · 29 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Over32c570$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.61872.2%13 W · 5 L+5.1wins+0.28per pick44cpaid+56.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under50c556.11$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.4210759.8%64 W · 43 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Over16c507.8$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.176936.2%25 W · 44 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Over16c500$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4205721.1%12 W · 45 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick23cpaid+64.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7a6…aed7backed Under46c487.67$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2222360.9%14 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over28c451.3$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.929862.4%186 W · 112 L+34.5wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+31.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x07f5…d680backed Under71c444.87$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.861855.6%10 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick65cpaid-23.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6afa…e227backed Under23c444.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001560%9 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10d4…69ebbacked Over37c400$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2522045%9 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca6e…af60backed Under69c400$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee19…555ebacked Under34c400$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1366048.3%29 W · 31 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under71c399.59$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.6619952.8%105 W · 94 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6aa1…a420backed Over49c307.02$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.025038%19 W · 31 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+30.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Over17c299.05$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.219826.5%26 W · 72 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9146…6ab0backed Under59c284.71$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30d5…36bfbacked Over48c273.51$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.23837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-23.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over19c266.07$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.5527453.3%146 W · 128 L+18.0wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under60c260.92$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.4939740.6%161 W · 236 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4871…0742backed Under80c250$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001250%6 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-30.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under53c247.33$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.338548.2%41 W · 44 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over80c225$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4519353.9%104 W · 89 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9201…3d5cbacked Over51c220$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.8450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf72…af1abacked Over50c220$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1101553.3%8 W · 7 L+2.6wins+0.17per pick36cpaid+45.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa516…235cbacked Under39c203.33$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-0.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Over16c200.1$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.084955.1%27 W · 22 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+18.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f6d…3070backed Under70c200$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.421833.3%6 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59db…1d13backed Under58c199.98$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.992055%11 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0684…d1fabacked Over51c156.86$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.862352.2%12 W · 11 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+21.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9df2…99f5backed Over16c156.24$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.245052%26 W · 24 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+17.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over16c143.25$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.667051.4%36 W · 34 L+6.7wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+19.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Under80c137$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.614651.4%75 W · 71 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4c9…9ee4backed Over53c132.11$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.63847.4%18 W · 20 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+14.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d4c…2e02backed Over77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.876357.1%36 W · 27 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-4.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x811c…fd36backed Over34c126.57$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.592268.2%15 W · 7 L+2.6wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcbf0…fdbebacked Under80c125$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-29.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Under51c124.11$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.5521748.8%106 W · 111 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over75c122.67$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.6710361.2%63 W · 40 L-7.3wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-12.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x133b…5856backed Over36c121.07$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.131833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick39cpaid+13.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x119d…bec3backed Under49c106.12$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over32c104.03$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.4631738.8%123 W · 194 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1118…028cbacked Over50c88$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7978…dad7backed Over50c84$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-50%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99f1…09d2backed Over49c81.63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.63425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-49%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Over49c81.63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.6315238.8%59 W · 93 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0ee…2e1dbacked Over17c81.21$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.4366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick37cpaid+175.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Under63c81.13$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.4514442.4%61 W · 83 L-7.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7737…7851backed Under54c74.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.49333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick64cpaid-54.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x12d2…17afbacked Under80c67.58$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.75450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under72c67.04$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.273441.2%14 W · 20 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+21.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9c3…443ebacked Under80c57.5$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ea9…5b98backed Over40c52.71$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.711369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+37.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b81…88e7backed Over21c50$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.52751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15cf…4d9bbacked Under63c50$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.51369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+15.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over50c49.45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.7822545.3%102 W · 123 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa529…677ebacked Over75c43.73$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.932176.2%16 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick73cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Over43c41.8$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.0310353.4%55 W · 48 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Over51c40.43$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.817762.3%48 W · 29 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8634…1b5bbacked Under66c39.77$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.25333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e39…fe16backed Under52c38.19$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.861330.8%4 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick22cpaid+67.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd966…8136backed Under42c36.93$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.68633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-36.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20fe…884cbacked Over73c27.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.4887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.30per pick58cpaid+54.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x508b…9c09backed Over79c25.34$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.34580%4 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick70cpaid+12.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86da…1cf6backed Under48c25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1220%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xee59…e42abacked Under50c20.2$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.130%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x27b1…6a0bbacked Under80c14.38$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.510262.7%64 W · 38 L+6.6wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa91f…0d67backed Over80c12.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.