Serie A · resolved market
Bologna FC 1909 vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x256298fa620a7dc99cfd35ec83467e8c0aa7a39d9e8c49c72ebce686c1c45d6b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,999
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,222
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,999 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under | 11c | 5,212$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.75 | 38 | 7.9%3 W · 35 L | -5.0wins | -0.13per pick | 21cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 79c | 5,194$4,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,077.72 | 138 | 39.9%55 W · 83 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 21c | 2,863$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.23 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 21c | 2,526$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.64 | 274 | 53.3%146 W · 128 L | +18.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae06…c8c8backed Over | 79c | 2,030$1,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 79c | 1,521$1,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.87 | 342 | 39.2%134 W · 208 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Under | 21c | 1,389$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.59 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 20c | 1,352$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.3 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 21c | 620.49$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.99 | 328 | 54.3%178 W · 150 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 21c | 460$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.85 | 364 | 56.3%205 W · 159 L | +19.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 80c | 333.01$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.86 | 397 | 40.6%161 W · 236 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x823f…0490backed Under | 22c | 280$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 26cpaid | +86.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 21c | 202.73$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.57 | 393 | 54.2%213 W · 180 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Over | 78c | 133.48$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.81 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Over | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97ff…d970backed Over | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cca…69d2backed Over | 80c | 80.94$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7a…3ce8backed Over | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -29%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5c4…2853backed Under | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa529…677ebacked Over | 79c | 32.91$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.91 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 73cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x018a…5e65backed Over | 79c | 31.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x508b…9c09backed Over | 79c | 25.23$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.3 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Over | 75c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 98 | 26.5%26 W · 72 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed Over | 79c | 14.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 71cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9d…51d4backed Over | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…287dbacked Over | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 1.5this page
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. FC Internazionale Milano: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 0.5Over won
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 2.5Over won
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 3.5Over won
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 4.5Over won
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 5.5Over won
- Spread: Bologna FC 1909 (-1.5)FC Internazionale Milano won
- Spread: Bologna FC 1909 (-2.5)FC Internazionale Milano won
- Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)Bologna FC 1909 won
- Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-2.5)Bologna FC 1909 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.