TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bologna FC 1909of FC Internazionale Milano, Bologna FC 1909
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$26,455
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$28,180

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,455 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcd65…ee96backed FC Internazionale Milano28c11,762$3,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,250728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Bologna FC 190972c7,771$5,601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,169.861,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Bologna FC 190974c6,478$4,783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,694.812,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7841…7273backed FC Internazionale Milano25c1,733$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.913318.2%6 W · 27 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-33.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked FC Internazionale Milano20c1,509$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.479826.5%26 W · 72 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed FC Internazionale Milano28c1,162$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.2934239.2%134 W · 208 L+0.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Bologna FC 190976c1,133$860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.9627453.3%146 W · 128 L+18.0wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Bologna FC 190971c1,101$782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.368548.2%41 W · 44 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed FC Internazionale Milano24c936.08$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.6613839.9%55 W · 83 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Bologna FC 190976c900$684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.236456.3%205 W · 159 L+19.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked FC Internazionale Milano23c557.28$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.175867.2%39 W · 19 L+8.4wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+32.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x722b…c68bbacked Bologna FC 190976c361.05$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.65250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed Bologna FC 190975c350.7$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.67862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+28.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed FC Internazionale Milano21c300$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$635219.2%10 W · 42 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick26cpaid-42.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfc4b…c865backed FC Internazionale Milano25c268$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$671656.3%9 W · 7 L+2.7wins+0.17per pick39cpaid+45.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Bologna FC 190976c227.4$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.586936.2%25 W · 44 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf18c…0350backed FC Internazionale Milano24c155.75$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.741330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Bologna FC 190976c142.69$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.7422545.3%102 W · 123 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Bologna FC 190976c133.28$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.897762.3%48 W · 29 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked FC Internazionale Milano17c107.34$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7521748.8%106 W · 111 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Bologna FC 190976c100.03$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.0124953.8%134 W · 115 L+20.7wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+12%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Bologna FC 190973c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2715844.9%71 W · 87 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked FC Internazionale Milano25c91.19$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.614442.4%61 W · 83 L-7.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Bologna FC 190975c87.73$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.9318951.3%97 W · 92 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+21.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ea9…5b98backed Bologna FC 190976c73.38$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.611369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+37.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed FC Internazionale Milano25c63$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7521054.3%114 W · 96 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86a0…bb4ebacked Bologna FC 190974c62.74$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.151163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+20.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Bologna FC 190977c47.73$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.035754.4%31 W · 26 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b81…88e7backed Bologna FC 190975c43.49$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.982751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Bologna FC 190978c41.38$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.1917354.3%94 W · 79 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x254b…5eacbacked FC Internazionale Milano25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-48.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x976e…8453backed Bologna FC 190977c40$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.22369.6%16 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick70cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5d5…11f0backed Bologna FC 190976c39.47$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.472445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Bologna FC 190977c37.4$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.5110353.4%55 W · 48 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Bologna FC 190977c31.81$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.353847.4%18 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed Bologna FC 190976c26.64$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.3613157.3%75 W · 56 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb66c…a0f5backed Bologna FC 190976c26.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.268159.3%48 W · 33 L+6.3wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+17.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Bologna FC 190975c24.1$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.0212351.2%63 W · 60 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Bologna FC 190977c23.11$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.3211260.7%68 W · 44 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Bologna FC 190971c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.84940.8%20 W · 29 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-35.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfbc0…749abacked Bologna FC 190977c19.48$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.48366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9cc…59abbacked Bologna FC 190974c18.47$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.861030%3 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-42.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbcfe…4b94backed Bologna FC 190976c18.29$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.35988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.27per pick62cpaid+62.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Bologna FC 190971c15.75$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.499661.5%59 W · 37 L+10.2wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+26.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1d50…d283backed Bologna FC 190971c14.58$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.242263.6%14 W · 8 L+3.5wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+24.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.