TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Bologna FC 1909 vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$88,647
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$105,259

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,647 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed Under56c8,506$4,737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,737.0234239.2%134 W · 208 L+0.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over51c8,257$4,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,072.341,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5634…d81abacked Under47c6,000$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,799.863243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over36c5,783$2,082 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,701.3218923.8%45 W · 144 L-13.2wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-30.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1103…bb2fbacked Under40c2,205$888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$888933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa374…9709backed Under39c1,900$741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7414242.9%18 W · 24 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over41c1,667$683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$983.4732650.6%165 W · 161 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd54a…f538backed Under47c1,598$746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$745.95944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-19.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under68c1,577$1,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,066.9813839.9%55 W · 83 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Over46c1,542$715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$827.648354.2%45 W · 38 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x64e7…50d1backed Under19c1,211$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked Under59c1,111$658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$658.046155.7%34 W · 27 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under37c1,061$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.72,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under19c1,053$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200387.9%3 W · 35 L-5.0wins-0.13per pick21cpaid-56.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Under67c1,010$676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$676.492369.6%16 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Over37c1,000$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63012357.7%71 W · 52 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d13…643cbacked Under42c999.99$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4202075%15 W · 5 L+3.6wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+32%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7d06…755bbacked Under36c689.51$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25030%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under64c635.11$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.4727453.3%146 W · 128 L+18.0wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under17c635.05$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.2331738.8%123 W · 194 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a7a…7f10backed Under48c597.92$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-19.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Over32c500$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3405721.1%12 W · 45 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick23cpaid+64.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under33c459.73$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.5822545.3%102 W · 123 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Under45c444.44$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004647.8%22 W · 24 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbc71…2c40backed Under22c440.26$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Over32c420.61$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.177045.7%32 W · 38 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Over63c417.02$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.857762.3%48 W · 29 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under16c405.47$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.3743058.6%252 W · 178 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x41f7…9bf9backed Over54c370.37$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.371100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6945…729cbacked Over75c360.46$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.351258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+3.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Over61c311$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.291872.2%13 W · 5 L+5.1wins+0.28per pick44cpaid+56.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Over30c299.37$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.689826.5%26 W · 72 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under32c289.91$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.8439740.6%161 W · 236 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Over34c286.29$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.953348.5%16 W · 17 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd96a…d8cebacked Under8c274.35$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.322321.7%5 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick18cpaid-22%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under65c252.33$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.0139354.2%213 W · 180 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under15c249.01$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.358548.2%41 W · 44 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9e7…4697backed Under19c220$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.82857.1%16 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under18c216.28$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.9217354.3%94 W · 79 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee19…555ebacked Under17c200$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346048.3%29 W · 31 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee00…0b46backed Under65c183.68$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.39650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bf4…952ebacked Over53c182.9$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.962470.8%17 W · 7 L+3.9wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+29.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf7a6…aed7backed Under46c181.08$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$842360.9%14 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ad5…b130backed Over34c173.53$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.531136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+36.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under64c171.18$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.5636456.3%205 W · 159 L+19.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ca8…7e67backed Under18c159.99$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.81136.4%4 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick25cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Under67c159.35$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.673655.6%20 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0a8…2282backed Over57c153.63$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.061241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-35.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Over37c150$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.524953.8%134 W · 115 L+20.7wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+12%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x25c5…0031backed Under38c149$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.621338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a98…3f93backed Over34c147.06$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.063043.3%13 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e16…4698backed Under63c142.86$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-27.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4e8c…79bdbacked Under62c128.01$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807248.6%35 W · 37 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e3b…5a53backed Over34c125.29$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.69742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9836…5765backed Under66c112.64$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.341154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick57cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Under64c110.11$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.476936.2%25 W · 44 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef3a…dc6bbacked Under71c100$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+33.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x140e…cf85backed Under67c100$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over32c94.23$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.7432854.3%178 W · 150 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Over38c90$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.85846.6%27 W · 31 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4060…e63cbacked Over34c88.24$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.241931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-31.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2633…44fcbacked Under60c83.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2546…5155backed Over61c83$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.373060%18 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9f3…51f6backed Under32c80$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.6333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over77c75.91$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.7719042.6%81 W · 109 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x782c…38c2backed Under67c74.63$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.5wins-0.42per pick59cpaid-74%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over54c73.99$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.29875%6 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+36.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8adc…6b14backed Over34c73.53$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.536662.1%41 W · 25 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2102…087dbacked Under68c73.53$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.25per pick60cpaid+51.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Under33c72.38$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0621748.8%106 W · 111 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Over38c66.13$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411668.8%11 W · 5 L+4.6wins+0.28per pick40cpaid+63.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Under25c66$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.52548%12 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d2e…498dbacked Over76c65.79$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over37c63.49$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4068750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under27c63$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.179045.6%41 W · 49 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ce7…3150backed Over34c60.97$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.24944.4%4 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid+9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd881…af24backed Under64c59.37$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381040%4 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-23.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xccf6…b29fbacked Under67c59$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ea9…5b98backed Over62c57.68$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.981369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+37.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Over67c56.76$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.67556%42 W · 33 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86a0…bb4ebacked Over43c55.91$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.961163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+20.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9808…5cfdbacked Under62c53.23$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33650%3 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-25.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x15cf…4d9bbacked Under68c49.99$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.991369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+15.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dfa…0093backed Over53c47.17$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.17250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Under64c45.96$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4121054.3%114 W · 96 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x300b…8e51backed Over41c43.94$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.931020%2 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-53.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaba2…003dbacked Under46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Over33c43.06$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.855754.4%31 W · 26 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5fb0…20b4backed Under26c41.03$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.511442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x16cf…f719backed Under49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Over39c40.34$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.7514442.4%61 W · 83 L-7.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Under64c37.79$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1912351.2%63 W · 60 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb435…b97cbacked Over42c37.66$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.951464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+33.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xab9f…75f1backed Under58c36.61$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.232142.9%9 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick36cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Over69c35$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.853666.7%24 W · 12 L+4.3wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+20.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb847…1974backed Over58c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.6757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+33.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed Under53c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.92360.9%14 W · 9 L+3.6wins+0.16per pick45cpaid+39.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x6769…f8b9backed Under67c29.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204052.5%21 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8862…54dfbacked Over57c23.2$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa52…eababacked Under67c22.39$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-29.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.