Serie A · resolved market
Spread: Bologna FC 1909 (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f4ec4e4c439a12f737d18683a72eec94543be5af947e21db302247fba6d3861
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FC Internazionale Milanoof Bologna FC 1909, FC Internazionale Milano
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,740
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,552
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,740 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed FC Internazionale Milano | 77c | 2,479$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.01 | 342 | 39.2%134 W · 208 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Bologna FC 1909 | 21c | 1,853$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.97 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bologna FC 1909 | 28c | 1,744$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.31 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed FC Internazionale Milano | 64c | 469.78$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.78 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75fc…0a4cbacked FC Internazionale Milano | 39c | 462$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.82 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +48%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Bologna FC 1909 | 12c | 448.44$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.81 | 189 | 51.3%97 W · 92 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Bologna FC 1909 | 23c | 435.2$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.6 | 98 | 26.5%26 W · 72 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed FC Internazionale Milano | 46c | 421.74$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.74 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Bologna FC 1909 | 10c | 409.98$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.6 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Bologna FC 1909 | 12c | 300$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 57 | 21.1%12 W · 45 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Bologna FC 1909 | 11c | 287.08$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.58 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa1…a420backed FC Internazionale Milano | 36c | 191.67$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.67 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked FC Internazionale Milano | 63c | 134$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.02 | 217 | 48.8%106 W · 111 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed FC Internazionale Milano | 76c | 128.26$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.78 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…535dbacked FC Internazionale Milano | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked FC Internazionale Milano | 39c | 80$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.8 | 345 | 53.9%186 W · 159 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8634…1b5bbacked FC Internazionale Milano | 43c | 61.05$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c25…6bbcbacked Bologna FC 1909 | 22c | 57.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked FC Internazionale Milano | 73c | 43.28$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 467 | 42.8%200 W · 267 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed FC Internazionale Milano | 77c | 33.94$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.81 | 397 | 40.6%161 W · 236 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19a4…a65bbacked FC Internazionale Milano | 78c | 26.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.91 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Bologna FC 1909 (-1.5)this page
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. FC Internazionale Milano: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 0.5Over won
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 1.5Over won
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 2.5Over won
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 3.5Over won
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 4.5Over won
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 5.5Over won
- Spread: Bologna FC 1909 (-2.5)FC Internazionale Milano won
- Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)Bologna FC 1909 won
- Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-2.5)Bologna FC 1909 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.