Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Resilience (BO3) - ACL X ESL Challenger China Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1941043dc579b293a0214d9b2030006c9a2296fdcb862f03f77f03687de349ef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Resilienceof Xtreme Gaming, Team Resilience
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,753
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,516
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,753 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Team Resilience | 33c | 3,888$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,587.96 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Xtreme Gaming | 34c | 2,610$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$878.43 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Team Resilience | 21c | 2,150$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,707.39 | 562 | 43.2%243 W · 319 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Xtreme Gaming | 46c | 1,868$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862.05 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Team Resilience | 26c | 1,565$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed Team Resilience | 20c | 1,500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b9…150bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 80c | 1,252$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 592 | 54.1%320 W · 272 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed Xtreme Gaming | 65c | 1,145$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.29 | 223 | 63.2%141 W · 82 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed Xtreme Gaming | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 513 | 64.9%333 W · 180 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06dd…6521backed Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 991.52$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e63…9e38backed Team Resilience | 77c | 952.05$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.06 | 345 | 61.2%211 W · 134 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Xtreme Gaming | 74c | 950$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…80c1backed Team Resilience | 26c | 830.98$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.93 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Resilience | 70c | 812.83$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.34 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c2…a16ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 54c | 666.45$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.34 | 381 | 67.2%256 W · 125 L | +13.5wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Xtreme Gaming | 72c | 612$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.64 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed Xtreme Gaming | 74c | 543.69$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.33 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Resilience | 24c | 500$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Xtreme Gaming | 77c | 499.87$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.85 | 713 | 42.5%303 W · 410 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Xtreme Gaming | 54c | 466.16$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.33 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked Team Resilience | 62c | 443.09$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.59 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Team Resilience | 31c | 423.24$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.24 | 366 | 54.1%198 W · 168 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Team Resilience | 25c | 403.2$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.2 | 577 | 35%202 W · 375 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52e5…60babacked Xtreme Gaming | 64c | 376.43$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 89 | 59.6%53 W · 36 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…f7f0backed Xtreme Gaming | 44c | 356.98$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 515 | 50.9%262 W · 253 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f63…f247backed Team Resilience | 71c | 300$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Team Resilience | 24c | 273.75$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.83 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8232…d12fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 80c | 251$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 280 | 62.9%176 W · 104 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5051…82a6backed Xtreme Gaming | 35c | 250$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 204 | 52.5%107 W · 97 L | +12.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa40…9e37backed Team Resilience | 58c | 240$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x730e…fca0backed Xtreme Gaming | 51c | 224$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.06 | 205 | 35.1%72 W · 133 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Xtreme Gaming | 66c | 223.45$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.42 | 466 | 64.2%299 W · 167 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Team Resilience | 57c | 214.91$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.91 | 268 | 43.7%117 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2785…ce75backed Team Resilience | 28c | 208.59$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.18 | 89 | 34.8%31 W · 58 L | -9.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Team Resilience | 59c | 204.49$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.76 | 368 | 51.6%190 W · 178 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x25c5…0031backed Xtreme Gaming | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.7 | 89 | 18%16 W · 73 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc043…ce01backed Team Resilience | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2b…19a4backed Xtreme Gaming | 42c | 178.5$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.97 | 42 | 11.9%5 W · 37 L | -9.6wins | -0.23per pick | 35cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa159…ac8ebacked Team Resilience | 23c | 172.85$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 33cpaid | +137.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Team Resilience | 20c | 172.25$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.8 | 81 | 37%30 W · 51 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Team Resilience | 71c | 172.16$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.68 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Xtreme Gaming | 44c | 161.69$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.86 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Team Resilience | 70c | 159.21$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.26 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4537…fd02backed Xtreme Gaming | 79c | 158.97$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03c7…22f2backed Xtreme Gaming | 32c | 158.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked Team Resilience | 61c | 150$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 700 | 52.3%366 W · 334 L | +47.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Xtreme Gaming | 55c | 150$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…7b4fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 354 | 61.3%217 W · 137 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f59…3a50backed Xtreme Gaming | 59c | 134.7$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 72 | 61.1%44 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Team Resilience | 67c | 127.34$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.38 | 361 | 38.2%138 W · 223 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Team Resilience | 23c | 123.34$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.41 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Team Resilience | 45c | 109.77$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf54e…1297backed Team Resilience | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Team Resilience | 52c | 78.99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.75 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfff2…3f58backed Team Resilience | 20c | 75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…641bbacked Team Resilience | 53c | 61$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.67 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed Team Resilience | 53c | 53.96$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 537 | 57.7%310 W · 227 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d3…c0d1backed Team Resilience | 39c | 52.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.38 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked Xtreme Gaming | 24c | 51.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 107 | 28%30 W · 77 L | -8.2wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…47e7backed Team Resilience | 24c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 408 | 44.1%180 W · 228 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Team Resilience | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 444 | 74.8%332 W · 112 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfae5…f940backed Xtreme Gaming | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3e…a78abacked Xtreme Gaming | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 412 | 44.7%184 W · 228 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a38…2a21backed Xtreme Gaming | 75c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4698…9b1ebacked Team Resilience | 78c | 37.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb684…343cbacked Team Resilience | 53c | 36.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.33 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe4…f12fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 74c | 35.3$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.12 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 75cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc084…433bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 59c | 34.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…44efbacked Xtreme Gaming | 79c | 32.55$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.71 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 41cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked Xtreme Gaming | 77c | 32.47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56e9…ea02backed Xtreme Gaming | 76c | 30.26$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…8872backed Team Resilience | 77c | 30.23$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.85 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f05…eeb3backed Team Resilience | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1912…def8backed Xtreme Gaming | 76c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 146 | 56.2%82 W · 64 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf21d…922bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 76c | 28.95$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64f0…b6c5backed Xtreme Gaming | 80c | 27.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaed7…baa3backed Xtreme Gaming | 77c | 24.68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 316 | 48.7%154 W · 162 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36e8…db37backed Xtreme Gaming | 76c | 23.47$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.84 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c38…fd63backed Xtreme Gaming | 66c | 22.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Xtreme Gaming | 77c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 805 | 44.6%359 W · 446 L | -25.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a98…639dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 79c | 18.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 75cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ee…9a48backed Xtreme Gaming | 78c | 17.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Resilience (BO3) - ACL X ESL Challenger China Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Resilience - Game 1 WinnerTeam Resilience won
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Resilience - Game 2 WinnerTeam Resilience won
- Game Handicap: Xtreme (-1.5) vs Team Resilience (+1.5)Team Resilience won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.