Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Resilience - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6b5be2066661e210dccb3d896ec97c2e9999109ff5665ab6fb5f2247ddb8410b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Resilienceof Xtreme Gaming, Team Resilience
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,465
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,227
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,465 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Team Resilience | 42c | 5,108$2,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,963.04 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 64c | 4,819$3,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,083.03 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked Team Resilience | 40c | 1,839$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110.46 | 326 | 52.1%170 W · 156 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Xtreme Gaming | 40c | 1,768$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.02 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Team Resilience | 31c | 1,760$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,214.42 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c07…5feabacked Xtreme Gaming | 68c | 1,500$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,017.07 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | -12.6wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Team Resilience | 35c | 1,293$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.86 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Team Resilience | 35c | 884.25$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.44 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Team Resilience | 43c | 823.51$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.75 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed Xtreme Gaming | 64c | 800$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 65c | 799.99$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.99 | 410 | 55.6%228 W · 182 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e63…9e38backed Xtreme Gaming | 69c | 790.45$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.41 | 345 | 61.2%211 W · 134 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Team Resilience | 37c | 776.61$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.58 | 368 | 51.6%190 W · 178 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Xtreme Gaming | 62c | 748.14$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.85 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked Team Resilience | 40c | 733.12$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.12 | 223 | 40.4%90 W · 133 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 682.22$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.9 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51c9…29e5backed Xtreme Gaming | 61c | 600$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed Team Resilience | 37c | 599.98$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.99 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Xtreme Gaming | 69c | 507.25$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 466 | 64.2%299 W · 167 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -10.4wins | -0.33per pick | 61cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 30-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xc646…e394backed Team Resilience | 38c | 499.96$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.03 | 376 | 55.1%207 W · 169 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Team Resilience | 38c | 450.66$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.57 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf67d…c986backed Xtreme Gaming | 27c | 401.01$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 390 | 42.1%164 W · 226 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed Xtreme Gaming | 65c | 383.46$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.25 | 223 | 63.2%141 W · 82 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Xtreme Gaming | 65c | 374.97$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.81 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb11…66cbbacked Xtreme Gaming | 43c | 330.5$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.83 | 147 | 44.9%66 W · 81 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Team Resilience | 66c | 328.67$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.57 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a84…a46bbacked Team Resilience | 66c | 307.29$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.76 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Xtreme Gaming | 66c | 294.12$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.12 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed Team Resilience | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.02 | 500 | 53%265 W · 235 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce7a…fef0backed Team Resilience | 35c | 281.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.86 | 191 | 45.5%87 W · 104 L | +13.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9120…ae70backed Xtreme Gaming | 59c | 278.55$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.17 | 210 | 62.4%131 W · 79 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Xtreme Gaming | 66c | 265$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.9 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Team Resilience | 69c | 249.32$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.37 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Resilience | 36c | 235.28$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.46 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Team Resilience | 35c | 212.09$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.98 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b8…61dcbacked Xtreme Gaming | 70c | 200$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 180 | 65.6%118 W · 62 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Xtreme Gaming | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.5 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43dc…86e1backed Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 188.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 242 | 44.6%108 W · 134 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed Xtreme Gaming | 56c | 186.29$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.1 | 480 | 54%259 W · 221 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82ef…840bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 55c | 181.81$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8232…d12fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 280 | 62.9%176 W · 104 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed Xtreme Gaming | 64c | 160$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.4 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Team Resilience | 37c | 158.97$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.89 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed Team Resilience | 37c | 151.35$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.35 | 305 | 34.4%105 W · 200 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca3…9613backed Xtreme Gaming | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 147 | 63.3%93 W · 54 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c75…de96backed Team Resilience | 79c | 147.91$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.23 | 224 | 61.2%137 W · 87 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…85c0backed Xtreme Gaming | 66c | 138.52$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 228 | 68%155 W · 73 L | +15.4wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Xtreme Gaming | 31c | 127.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.51 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…eb73backed Team Resilience | 39c | 127.03$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.03 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 110$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.1 | 793 | 43.6%346 W · 447 L | +38.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Xtreme Gaming | 41c | 109.46$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.74 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93fd…a5edbacked Team Resilience | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 406 | 44.6%181 W · 225 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…f7f0backed Xtreme Gaming | 65c | 96.92$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 515 | 50.9%262 W · 253 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 25c | 95.14$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.02 | 245 | 18.8%46 W · 199 L | -31.2wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -46%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce7…cfaabacked Team Resilience | 37c | 72.3$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Xtreme Gaming | 64c | 71.64$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.85 | 562 | 43.2%243 W · 319 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa6…dbd6backed Xtreme Gaming | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 229 | 61.1%140 W · 89 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b41…2c02backed Team Resilience | 38c | 68.42$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.42 | 726 | 37.5%272 W · 454 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked Team Resilience | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 374 | 56.4%211 W · 163 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…fbfabacked Xtreme Gaming | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 302 | 55.3%167 W · 135 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Team Resilience | 38c | 44.94$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.71 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1863…6174backed Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 304 | 60.2%183 W · 121 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc064…6fa8backed Xtreme Gaming | 64c | 39.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…25bdbacked Team Resilience | 37c | 37.27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 102 | 58.8%60 W · 42 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Xtreme Gaming | 51c | 37.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.77 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…c958backed Team Resilience | 37c | 33.55$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.14 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28d9…7275backed Xtreme Gaming | 48c | 33.44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed Xtreme Gaming | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 537 | 57.7%310 W · 227 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56e9…ea02backed Xtreme Gaming | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb308…23a6backed Xtreme Gaming | 69c | 27.54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 169 | 39.6%67 W · 102 L | -15.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Xtreme Gaming | 66c | 22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 464 | 51.5%239 W · 225 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3e…a78abacked Xtreme Gaming | 69c | 21.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 412 | 44.7%184 W · 228 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d9…15e0backed Xtreme Gaming | 62c | 17.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 119 | 58.8%70 W · 49 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3162…d515backed Xtreme Gaming | 64c | 15.71$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 359 | 48.2%173 W · 186 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2338…27f6backed Xtreme Gaming | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Resilience - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Resilience (BO3) - ACL X ESL Challenger China PlayoffsTeam Resilience won
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Resilience - Game 2 WinnerTeam Resilience won
- Game Handicap: Xtreme (-1.5) vs Team Resilience (+1.5)Team Resilience won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.