Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Resilience - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x32c5033783dd152bc2cc18d9a81a7c0f49a47bf21b3c972a5b43bb7cbc9f1183
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Resilienceof Xtreme Gaming, Team Resilience
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $122,510
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $141,210
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $122,510 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9c16…a981backed Xtreme Gaming | 13c | 46,596$5,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,830.75 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Team Resilience | 68c | 5,642$3,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,792.15 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed Team Resilience | 70c | 2,748$1,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.8 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Team Resilience | 41c | 2,374$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,394.52 | 268 | 43.7%117 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…519dbacked Team Resilience | 77c | 2,366$1,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.82 | 127 | 64.6%82 W · 45 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Team Resilience | 36c | 1,957$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,257.06 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed Team Resilience | 52c | 1,912$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.2 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Xtreme Gaming | 49c | 1,766$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858.43 | 466 | 64.2%299 W · 167 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c01…e7d0backed Team Resilience | 41c | 1,671$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.49 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51c9…29e5backed Xtreme Gaming | 60c | 1,670$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Xtreme Gaming | 12c | 1,632$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.85 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c07…5feabacked Xtreme Gaming | 54c | 1,600$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | -12.6wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked Team Resilience | 40c | 1,564$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.75 | 223 | 40.4%90 W · 133 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd206…bd2abacked Team Resilience | 45c | 1,483$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.59 | 159 | 57.2%91 W · 68 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Xtreme Gaming | 26c | 1,281$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.36 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0a…07c7backed Team Resilience | 74c | 1,141$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.35 | 90 | 63.3%57 W · 33 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed Xtreme Gaming | 55c | 1,100$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Xtreme Gaming | 64c | 1,045$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.14 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62a9…3bb6backed Xtreme Gaming | 49c | 1,011$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 996$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498 | 379 | 45.9%174 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Team Resilience | 38c | 940$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.8 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked Team Resilience | 50c | 900$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 326 | 52.1%170 W · 156 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Team Resilience | 62c | 864.88$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.34 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Xtreme Gaming | 30c | 800$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed Team Resilience | 65c | 791.24$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.42 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9120…ae70backed Team Resilience | 38c | 753.91$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.91 | 210 | 62.4%131 W · 79 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Team Resilience | 46c | 733.8$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.25 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9d…f409backed Team Resilience | 79c | 706.05$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.75 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd537…0f7cbacked Team Resilience | 39c | 687.8$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.06 | 204 | 52.9%108 W · 96 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed Xtreme Gaming | 12c | 673.11$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.36 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…eec6backed Xtreme Gaming | 49c | 670.35$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.79 | 554 | 57.8%320 W · 234 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc646…e394backed Xtreme Gaming | 62c | 600$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.85 | 376 | 55.1%207 W · 169 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Xtreme Gaming | 35c | 570$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.68 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 31c | 564.24$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.91 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f30…3aeebacked Xtreme Gaming | 64c | 546.88$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 141 | 57.4%81 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Xtreme Gaming | 30c | 528.18$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.2 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee8…dbb1backed Team Resilience | 48c | 513.02$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.02 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b8…61dcbacked Xtreme Gaming | 58c | 499.99$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291 | 180 | 65.6%118 W · 62 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…0084backed Xtreme Gaming | 60c | 499.5$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.54 | 876 | 45.7%400 W · 476 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Xtreme Gaming | 61c | 461.54$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.54 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd4f…6407backed Team Resilience | 69c | 436.7$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.7 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56f0…3068backed Xtreme Gaming | 8c | 434.88$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.79 | 80 | 31.3%25 W · 55 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x810b…0848backed Team Resilience | 49c | 406.24$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.24 | 131 | 44.3%58 W · 73 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked Team Resilience | 41c | 400$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236 | 462 | 40.7%188 W · 274 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Xtreme Gaming | 7c | 383.33$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 256 | 39.5%101 W · 155 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Xtreme Gaming | 39c | 377.29$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.22 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1b…de56backed Team Resilience | 41c | 373.17$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.17 | 153 | 38.6%59 W · 94 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79f7…ef5bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 57c | 367.04$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.53 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 8c | 324.08$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.45 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 500 | 53%265 W · 235 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Xtreme Gaming | 62c | 298$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.24 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25c5…0031backed Team Resilience | 38c | 295$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.38 | 89 | 18%16 W · 73 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Xtreme Gaming | 14c | 278.75$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93fd…a5edbacked Xtreme Gaming | 35c | 270$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 406 | 44.6%181 W · 225 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Xtreme Gaming | 55c | 269.49$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.22 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed Team Resilience | 38c | 261.54$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.54 | 305 | 34.4%105 W · 200 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3304…8313backed Team Resilience | 58c | 254.62$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.79 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Team Resilience | 41c | 246.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.62 | 366 | 54.1%198 W · 168 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Xtreme Gaming | 16c | 245$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.69 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Resilience | 70c | 240.32$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.89 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 239.4$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.7 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…c7b2backed Xtreme Gaming | 25c | 221$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.25 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Team Resilience | 74c | 217.89$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed Xtreme Gaming | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 480 | 54%259 W · 221 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82ef…840bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefee…d2b3backed Xtreme Gaming | 29c | 171$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 122 | 56.6%69 W · 53 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x009b…26dabacked Xtreme Gaming | 47c | 170.34$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 211 | 44.1%93 W · 118 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbb…75a1backed Xtreme Gaming | 27c | 167.64$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…eb73backed Xtreme Gaming | 44c | 158.44$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Team Resilience | 73c | 136.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Team Resilience | 67c | 135.5$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.22 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b41…2c02backed Xtreme Gaming | 22c | 132.86$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 726 | 37.5%272 W · 454 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Xtreme Gaming | 24c | 121.35$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85b2…0ab9backed Xtreme Gaming | 29c | 115.3$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed Team Resilience | 45c | 110.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.99 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb3e…9120backed Xtreme Gaming | 22c | 104.55$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2957…b26abacked Team Resilience | 70c | 101.43$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.43 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce7a…fef0backed Team Resilience | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 191 | 45.5%87 W · 104 L | +13.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Xtreme Gaming | 62c | 99.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0050…5271backed Xtreme Gaming | 33c | 91.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48ba…d81dbacked Team Resilience | 71c | 80.17$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 563 | 43.9%247 W · 316 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Xtreme Gaming | 31c | 76.96$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.13 | 735 | 54.7%402 W · 333 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 20c | 75.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 377 | 54.9%207 W · 170 L | +20.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c2…a16ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 45c | 65.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 381 | 67.2%256 W · 125 L | +13.5wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed Xtreme Gaming | 25c | 63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 252 | 53.2%134 W · 118 L | +20.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Team Resilience | 64c | 61.69$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.47 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Team Resilience | 68c | 58$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.63 | 430 | 67%288 W · 142 L | +31.9wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Xtreme Gaming | 31c | 57.62$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b5…a0d7backed Team Resilience | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 180 | 42.8%77 W · 103 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Team Resilience | 73c | 55$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.9 | 360 | 44.2%159 W · 201 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe996…3836backed Team Resilience | 80c | 53.2$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 16 | 87.5%14 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.21per pick | 66cpaid | +33%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked Team Resilience | 68c | 52$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 393 | 51.1%201 W · 192 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3066…693abacked Xtreme Gaming | 35c | 51.28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.95 | 546 | 48.5%265 W · 281 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…25bdbacked Team Resilience | 45c | 51.11$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.11 | 102 | 58.8%60 W · 42 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb11…66cbbacked Xtreme Gaming | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 147 | 44.9%66 W · 81 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81fe…4089backed Team Resilience | 66c | 49.7$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.9 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c67…a479backed Xtreme Gaming | 66c | 49.1$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.41 | 99 | 56.6%56 W · 43 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…e041backed Xtreme Gaming | 55c | 49.03$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.86 | 555 | 61.8%343 W · 212 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3c…fc78backed Team Resilience | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 35 | 77.1%27 W · 8 L | +6.1wins | +0.17per pick | 60cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…b216backed Xtreme Gaming | 33c | 42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 59 | 23.7%14 W · 45 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Resilience - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Resilience (BO3) - ACL X ESL Challenger China PlayoffsTeam Resilience won
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Resilience - Game 1 WinnerTeam Resilience won
- Game Handicap: Xtreme (-1.5) vs Team Resilience (+1.5)Team Resilience won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.