Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7d055d8db3ee70c0781b1a263c29beefcbf83bc9790c06b67199221135e34029
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nigma Galaxyof Nigma Galaxy, Team Liquid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $706,580
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $824,150
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $706,580 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 395 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Nigma Galaxy | 38c | 89,517$34,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55,316.6 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Liquid | 38c | 24,646$9,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,417.72 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Team Liquid | 59c | 24,057$14,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,193.61 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Nigma Galaxy | 66c | 22,688$14,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,797.64 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Team Liquid | 31c | 20,257$6,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,244.21 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed Team Liquid | 62c | 20,000$12,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,400 | 265 | 40.8%108 W · 157 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Team Liquid | 31c | 19,963$6,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,196.72 | 325 | 49.8%162 W · 163 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…fe05backed Team Liquid | 62c | 15,660$9,709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,709.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed Team Liquid | 35c | 15,344$5,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,295.25 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Nigma Galaxy | 48c | 15,000$7,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,871.97 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed Nigma Galaxy | 66c | 14,464$9,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,875.97 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Team Liquid | 32c | 13,678$4,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,358.05 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7714…b814backed Team Liquid | 59c | 13,639$8,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,075.8 | 241 | 53.1%128 W · 113 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Nigma Galaxy | 68c | 12,777$8,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,038.63 | 281 | 59.8%168 W · 113 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b38…1dccbacked Team Liquid | 62c | 12,776$7,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,920.69 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfae1…fdc1backed Team Liquid | 62c | 10,800$6,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,696 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x60dd…40e5backed Nigma Galaxy | 67c | 10,743$7,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,573.66 | 334 | 53%177 W · 157 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Nigma Galaxy | 48c | 10,659$5,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,577.37 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe548…a9febacked Nigma Galaxy | 40c | 10,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,999.99 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Team Liquid | 57c | 9,061$5,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,193.06 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…6427backed Nigma Galaxy | 75c | 8,914$6,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,195.18 | 77 | 70.1%54 W · 23 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed Nigma Galaxy | 67c | 8,505$5,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,821.08 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Team Liquid | 55c | 8,000$4,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,379.97 | 271 | 53.5%145 W · 126 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Team Liquid | 60c | 6,844$4,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,093.99 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed Team Liquid | 25c | 6,574$1,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,612.12 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Team Liquid | 56c | 6,500$3,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,648.02 | 293 | 48.5%142 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked Team Liquid | 56c | 6,144$3,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,429.37 | 359 | 51.3%184 W · 175 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Nigma Galaxy | 75c | 6,130$4,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,543.24 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Nigma Galaxy | 60c | 6,118$3,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,447.19 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Nigma Galaxy | 74c | 5,888$4,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,557.17 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 71c | 5,588$3,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,616.19 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Nigma Galaxy | 67c | 5,270$3,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,739.65 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8a…f907backed Team Liquid | 62c | 5,130$3,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,180.6 | 141 | 36.9%52 W · 89 L | -13.3wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Nigma Galaxy | 65c | 5,000$3,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,749.98 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Nigma Galaxy | 75c | 4,827$3,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,219.91 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed Team Liquid | 21c | 4,691$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…b62abacked Nigma Galaxy | 41c | 4,555$1,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,687.28 | 393 | 43.3%170 W · 223 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Team Liquid | 60c | 4,351$2,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,628.67 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Nigma Galaxy | 38c | 4,342$1,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,705.1 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf991…3965backed Team Liquid | 60c | 4,149$2,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,479.32 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Team Liquid | 56c | 4,107$2,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,306.63 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Team Liquid | 1c | 4,010$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.71 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked Team Liquid | 25c | 3,649$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8400…274cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 79c | 3,168$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.03 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb2…5c04backed Team Liquid | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 71 | 2.8%2 W · 69 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -90.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…21f5backed Team Liquid | 38c | 3,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 304 | 52.3%159 W · 145 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67ed…085abacked Nigma Galaxy | 80c | 2,900$2,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 69c | 2,810$1,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.22 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc714…d152backed Team Liquid | 31c | 2,803$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856.21 | 211 | 58.3%123 W · 88 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…2f08backed Nigma Galaxy | 42c | 2,750$1,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,605 | 344 | 42.2%145 W · 199 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Nigma Galaxy | 38c | 2,514$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,551.34 | 303 | 57.1%173 W · 130 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 69c | 2,475$1,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.12 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x024a…35a3backed Team Liquid | 61c | 2,457$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,498.77 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed Nigma Galaxy | 69c | 2,442$1,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.72 | 453 | 52.1%236 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2391…554fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 41c | 2,425$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,424.69 | 121 | 41.3%50 W · 71 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked Team Liquid | 42c | 2,324$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983 | 319 | 36.7%117 W · 202 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x070f…ed83backed Team Liquid | 27c | 2,200$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5952…8a5ebacked Team Liquid | 62c | 2,160$1,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,339.19 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a6…03abbacked Team Liquid | 25c | 2,159$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.96 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa14c…23a1backed Team Liquid | 59c | 2,138$1,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,271.62 | 351 | 51.3%180 W · 171 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…1e8abacked Nigma Galaxy | 77c | 2,000$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 150 | 50%75 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed Team Liquid | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 211 | 0.5%1 W · 210 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -99.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked Team Liquid | 28c | 2,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 365 | 47.7%174 W · 191 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe44…05d9backed Nigma Galaxy | 41c | 1,985$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,171.18 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a57…7b0abacked Team Liquid | 60c | 1,983$1,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,189.9 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed Nigma Galaxy | 51c | 1,966$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$958.78 | 283 | 41%116 W · 167 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c72…7e7ebacked Team Liquid | 62c | 1,960$1,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,215.2 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -5.4wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -31%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x73f4…158ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 63c | 1,912$1,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.56 | 235 | 61.7%145 W · 90 L | +19.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3741…517ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 51c | 1,875$961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.4 | 370 | 47%174 W · 196 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Nigma Galaxy | 64c | 1,789$1,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.3 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…bb53backed Nigma Galaxy | 62c | 1,771$1,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.28 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Nigma Galaxy | 53c | 1,730$909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.71 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb7…7028backed Team Liquid | 29c | 1,724$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…e3a8backed Nigma Galaxy | 39c | 1,664$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,023.43 | 252 | 66.3%167 W · 85 L | +20.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Nigma Galaxy | 47c | 1,655$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$877.15 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Team Liquid | 61c | 1,638$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.98 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb4…da4fbacked Team Liquid | 55c | 1,635$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 75 | 66.7%50 W · 25 L | +9.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9c…e006backed Nigma Galaxy | 60c | 1,620$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.75 | 226 | 63.3%143 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc92…5667backed Nigma Galaxy | 42c | 1,586$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.71 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x787f…d40cbacked Team Liquid | 62c | 1,575$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.49 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked Nigma Galaxy | 60c | 1,555$933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Nigma Galaxy | 63c | 1,520$959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.85 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed Team Liquid | 27c | 1,500$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 574 | 49%281 W · 293 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Team Liquid | 62c | 1,500$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Team Liquid | 26c | 1,495$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.06 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c52…1a59backed Nigma Galaxy | 40c | 1,494$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.4 | 63 | 74.6%47 W · 16 L | +9.6wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed Team Liquid | 19c | 1,450$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.5 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f63…f247backed Team Liquid | 36c | 1,440$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.24 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 46c | 1,337$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.69 | 552 | 51.6%285 W · 267 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x260a…eb0fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 39c | 1,327$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.85 | 153 | 68%104 W · 49 L | +17.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Team Liquid | 3c | 1,300$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.5 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa57e…ed54backed Team Liquid | 62c | 1,290$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc51f…5dc6backed Nigma Galaxy | 78c | 1,282$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.22 | 145 | 57.9%84 W · 61 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b5…54c4backed Team Liquid | 37c | 1,282$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Liquid | 16c | 1,256$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.8 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5789…6407backed Nigma Galaxy | 57c | 1,184$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.4 | 42 | 23.8%10 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Nigma Galaxy | 71c | 1,110$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.57 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60e…3f04backed Team Liquid | 28c | 1,100$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.9 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Nigma Galaxy | 68c | 1,072$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.32 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…72e7backed Nigma Galaxy | 46c | 1,030$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.2 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Liquid (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group BNigma Galaxy won
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Liquid - Game 2 WinnerNigma Galaxy won
- Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.