Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Liquid (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x811ec65cda1c468398194731444c3e2346dfe124ab4d1feed2035b95dd691e7e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nigma Galaxyof Nigma Galaxy, Team Liquid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,378
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $70,356
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,378 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 10,737$5,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,435.85 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Nigma Galaxy | 39c | 7,692$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,692.31 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe705…f910backed Team Liquid | 61c | 5,000$3,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,069.99 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Liquid | 43c | 4,633$2,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,003.27 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4fd…748bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 54c | 4,188$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,908.36 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Team Liquid | 51c | 3,658$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,880.22 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked Nigma Galaxy | 38c | 2,796$1,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,733.22 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0c…a4f9backed Team Liquid | 30c | 2,504$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.44 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Team Liquid | 53c | 2,302$1,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,211.3 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Team Liquid | 59c | 1,750$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked Nigma Galaxy | 41c | 1,191$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.41 | 614 | 49.5%304 W · 310 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82cf…3d55backed Nigma Galaxy | 70c | 1,117$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.22 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Liquid | 49c | 1,024$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.56 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…22b9backed Team Liquid | 54c | 978.79$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.11 | 537 | 58.8%316 W · 221 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Nigma Galaxy | 70c | 860.48$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.15 | 251 | 50.2%126 W · 125 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Liquid | 46c | 750$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x631a…a80fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 40c | 745$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447 | 205 | 42.9%88 W · 117 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Team Liquid | 47c | 629.48$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.52 | 381 | 42%160 W · 221 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed Team Liquid | 50c | 587.51$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.76 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Nigma Galaxy | 68c | 559.94$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.67 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x115d…1691backed Team Liquid | 22c | 540.46$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.52 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Team Liquid | 48c | 528.2$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.99 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Nigma Galaxy | 41c | 474.54$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.98 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd3…3d7abacked Team Liquid | 61c | 456$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.16 | 290 | 47.9%139 W · 151 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7bf…7033backed Nigma Galaxy | 71c | 440.43$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.72 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Nigma Galaxy | 37c | 399.94$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.96 | 126 | 42.1%53 W · 73 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Team Liquid | 59c | 376.27$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed Nigma Galaxy | 75c | 373.3$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.69 | 414 | 55.6%230 W · 184 L | +41.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbd…c385backed Nigma Galaxy | 55c | 365.91$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.91 | 226 | 65%147 W · 79 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a0…ef1dbacked Team Liquid | 60c | 339.35$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5b…62c7backed Nigma Galaxy | 40c | 250.13$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.12 | 71 | 66.2%47 W · 24 L | +7.5wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…a8f5backed Nigma Galaxy | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc6f…958ebacked Team Liquid | 22c | 250$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae1…1e7ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 56c | 249.99$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked Team Liquid | 51c | 234.73$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.99 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Team Liquid | 61c | 226.36$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.08 | 656 | 47.3%310 W · 346 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Team Liquid | 58c | 220.38$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.82 | 117 | 33.3%39 W · 78 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…96b7backed Team Liquid | 63c | 211.76$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.41 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b39…1f68backed Nigma Galaxy | 31c | 200$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 103 | 53.4%55 W · 48 L | +11.3wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1d…2b19backed Nigma Galaxy | 31c | 200$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +11.3wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x029e…b19cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 31c | 200$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | +11.0wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +46%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0785…3540backed Nigma Galaxy | 31c | 200$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +10.3wins | +0.22per pick | 41cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7049…85a5backed Nigma Galaxy | 31c | 200$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 120 | 48.3%58 W · 62 L | +9.3wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3702…9b19backed Nigma Galaxy | 31c | 200$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +4.8wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…90a8backed Nigma Galaxy | 42c | 194.19$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.63 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Team Liquid | 44c | 183.42$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.25 | 438 | 60.5%265 W · 173 L | +44.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Team Liquid | 60c | 180$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.8 | 48 | 20.8%10 W · 38 L | -7.3wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2628…39cfbacked Team Liquid | 62c | 172.39$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.88 | 177 | 63.8%113 W · 64 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…0e78backed Nigma Galaxy | 40c | 165$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 412 | 48.8%201 W · 211 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Nigma Galaxy | 38c | 164.39$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.56 | 665 | 45.6%303 W · 362 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…e3a8backed Nigma Galaxy | 39c | 153$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.33 | 252 | 66.3%167 W · 85 L | +20.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Nigma Galaxy | 39c | 150.46$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.78 | 303 | 57.1%173 W · 130 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c9…1e01backed Nigma Galaxy | 72c | 144.67$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.51 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaac…9a49backed Nigma Galaxy | 75c | 131.52$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9d…9b0ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 39c | 130$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.4 | 311 | 26%81 W · 230 L | -17.5wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2614…4442backed Nigma Galaxy | 42c | 127.86$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.16 | 135 | 51.9%70 W · 65 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…f7f0backed Nigma Galaxy | 39c | 127.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.53 | 515 | 50.9%262 W · 253 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed Team Liquid | 39c | 120$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 813 | 45.1%367 W · 446 L | -26.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Nigma Galaxy | 39c | 115.38$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.38 | 222 | 60.4%134 W · 88 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3938…26d7backed Team Liquid | 62c | 105.96$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.7 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…bc8dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 54c | 101.85$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.85 | 374 | 41.2%154 W · 220 L | -17.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Team Liquid | 61c | 101.18$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.72 | 176 | 47.2%83 W · 93 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked Team Liquid | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 700 | 52.3%366 W · 334 L | +47.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x930e…38cfbacked Team Liquid | 28c | 97.19$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.21 | 370 | 18.9%70 W · 300 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe293…3344backed Nigma Galaxy | 62c | 93.71$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.61 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Team Liquid | 45c | 90.75$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.2 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e57…831dbacked Team Liquid | 29c | 90$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd2…87f4backed Nigma Galaxy | 31c | 86$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.34 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +13.0wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…7b4fbacked Team Liquid | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 354 | 61.3%217 W · 137 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…203abacked Team Liquid | 24c | 81.23$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Nigma Galaxy | 33c | 80$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.6 | 502 | 47.6%239 W · 263 L | +31.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8eb…9d25backed Nigma Galaxy | 40c | 75.9$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.9 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x260a…eb0fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 39c | 75.18$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.86 | 153 | 68%104 W · 49 L | +17.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…0eccbacked Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 73.47$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.47 | 172 | 51.2%88 W · 84 L | -11.0wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Team Liquid | 62c | 70$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.4 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc504…617bbacked Team Liquid | 30c | 65.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5f…6816backed Team Liquid | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed Nigma Galaxy | 39c | 64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.04 | 140 | 43.6%61 W · 79 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16c6…19e2backed Nigma Galaxy | 31c | 61.31$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.3 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +5.5wins | +0.18per pick | 37cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Nigma Galaxy | 40c | 59.32$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.84 | 713 | 42.5%303 W · 410 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21de…4608backed Nigma Galaxy | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce8…2686backed Nigma Galaxy | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 145 | 66.2%96 W · 49 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Team Liquid | 61c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 250 | 47.6%119 W · 131 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10ad…827cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 39c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 311 | 43.4%135 W · 176 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab1…638bbacked Team Liquid | 59c | 42.54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Nigma Galaxy | 67c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 444 | 74.8%332 W · 112 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cce…4b52backed Nigma Galaxy | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Nigma Galaxy | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 213 | 44.1%94 W · 119 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4358…3e76backed Team Liquid | 61c | 35.32$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.55 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -6.1wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9740…9b3abacked Team Liquid | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc769…d7f0backed Team Liquid | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x021e…1e56backed Nigma Galaxy | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 73cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaed2…c43ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76f…39fcbacked Nigma Galaxy | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0333…7d70backed Team Liquid | 58c | 23.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Team Liquid | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf70c…cae6backed Nigma Galaxy | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9d…de16backed Team Liquid | 62c | 16.51$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 89 | 65.2%58 W · 31 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Liquid (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group Bthis page
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Liquid - Game 1 WinnerNigma Galaxy won
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Liquid - Game 2 WinnerNigma Galaxy won
- Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.