TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0333…7d70

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
73
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Tweets, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Tweets at 52 out of 100; worst CS2 at 29.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT2524%6 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick21cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.39
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$10.8
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$11.1
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$20.5
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$12.2
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$23.2
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 29 to January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$56
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+33.3%+$5
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 24 to January 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+482.5%+$49.7
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 24 to January 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$22.54
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 24 to January 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$31.3
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 22 to January 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+76.5%+$13
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from January 22 to January 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$54.19
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from January 22 to January 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$27.94
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$13.85
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$17.5
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$21.2
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+1,092.5%+$146.58
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$108.96
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$48.43
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$27
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$24.45
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+55.9%+$25.1
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+83%+$40.03
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$22.05
All 25 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT2321.7%5 W · 18 L-9.0wins-0.39per pick61cpaid-69.8%equal weight29-0.19 edge/pick
CS2 — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs K27 (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffsbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.8
Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs Benched gods (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #5 Group Dbacked ex-MANA eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.69
Counter-Strike: Rooster vs Mindfreak (BO3) - HyperX & Intel Nationals Group Abacked Rooster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs Bounty Hunters Esports (BO3) - BetBoom RUSH B! Summit Playoffsbacked ShindeN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.7
Counter-Strike: paiN vs 3DMAX (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffsbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.53
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Wildcard (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffsbacked Wildcard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.74
Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffsbacked Wildcard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.67
Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs ENJOY (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Group Bbacked ENJOY · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.12
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Just Players (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Group Abacked Lavked · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.74
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Brute (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1 Playoffsbacked fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$7.28
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Prospect vs LEO (BO3) - United21 Playoffsbacked Inner Circle Prospect · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.39
Counter-Strike: Just Players vs Entropy (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1 Group Cbacked Just Players · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.71
Counter-Strike: Atreides vs SPARTA (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Group Cbacked SPARTA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.24
Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs ShindeN (BO3) - RES Showdown South America Playoffsbacked ShindeN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.8
Counter-Strike: Isurus vs Fake do Biru (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #2 Group Abacked Fake do Biru · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.92
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs 33 - Map 2 Winnerbacked 33 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+40.8%+$11.6
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs 33 (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #13 Playoffsbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$13.4
Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #14 Group Stagebacked ex-RUBY · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+29.9%+$4.14
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Favbet (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #13 Group Stagebacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+61.8%+$11.46
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Nemiga - Map 2 Winnerbacked Nemiga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+27.2%+$4.28
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FURIA - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$50.6
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$77.5
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$72.19
All 23 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT80%0 W · 8 L-5.1wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
Lol — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: University of Mississippi vs Winthrop University (BO3) - North American Challengers League Group Stagebacked Winthrop University · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.5
LoL: G2 NORD vs BIG (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.4
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.85
LoL: Maryville University vs Dorado Gaming (BO3) - North American Challengers League Group Stagebacked Maryville University · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.56
LoL: Kaufland Hangry Knights vs ROSSMANN Centaurs (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked Kaufland Hangry Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.14
LoL: AG.AL vs Dplus KIA (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.74
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Team Heretics Academy (BO3) - LES Regular Seasonbacked Team Heretics Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.46
LoL: VfB eSports vs Eintracht Frankfurt (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked Eintracht Frankfurt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.55
All 8 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-3.3wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
Valorant — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-3.9wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weatherlast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Liquid (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.