CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Nemiga - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9bf4c95dd3089b57ac0e4554ceae6d7cc16a1f925cf8663d6858115ec3658b18
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nemigaof 1WIN, Nemiga
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,360
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,122
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,360 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 11 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked 1WIN | 31c | 732.7$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.59 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfda5…53d7backed Nemiga | 68c | 483.67$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.16 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafa3…0915backed 1WIN | 33c | 287.88$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x663b…6a3ebacked Nemiga | 62c | 242.87$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.29 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19a0…ac39backed Nemiga | 68c | 219.1$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.81 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb963…3fa0backed Nemiga | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 500 | 43%215 W · 285 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf81…e1b7backed 1WIN | 12c | 149.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed 1WIN | 39c | 57$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.14 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd7…6c52backed 1WIN | 31c | 45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked 1WIN | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 700 | 36.1%253 W · 447 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0333…7d70backed Nemiga | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.28 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -9.0wins | -0.39per pick | 61cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 29-0.19 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Nemiga - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Nemiga (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #13 Group StageNemiga won
- Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Nemiga - Map 1 WinnerNemiga won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.