Tennis · resolved market
ITF San Salvador De Jujuy: Juan Estevez vs Carlos Maria Zarate
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb35d7d3a65ba0ee593ddbaf601abcffbd5a791d1c2a91a795cc4798099acfbc0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Carlos Maria Zarateof Juan Estevez, Carlos Maria Zarate
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,310
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,525
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,310 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa0d3…5b5ebacked Juan Estevez | 0c | 47,129$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.13 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b0…23a1backed Juan Estevez | 74c | 8,116$6,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,010 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 72cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Carlos Maria Zarate | 78c | 3,895$3,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.79 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Juan Estevez | 21c | 3,415$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.34 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Carlos Maria Zarate | 25c | 2,859$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,143.26 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Carlos Maria Zarate | 27c | 1,558$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,138.22 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Carlos Maria Zarate | 25c | 1,051$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.51 | 1,149 | 41.3%474 W · 675 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Carlos Maria Zarate | 32c | 763.24$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.43 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Carlos Maria Zarate | 30c | 755.38$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.6 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Carlos Maria Zarate | 27c | 600$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Juan Estevez | 5c | 367.6$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.38 | 1,678 | 50.8%852 W · 826 L | +30.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Carlos Maria Zarate | 27c | 174.74$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.43 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Carlos Maria Zarate | 25c | 174.31$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.73 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Juan Estevez | 54c | 172.09$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 1,023 | 41.3%422 W · 601 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Carlos Maria Zarate | 26c | 150$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 264 | 41.7%110 W · 154 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74fc…492cbacked Juan Estevez | 74c | 136.05$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.68 | 179 | 72.6%130 W · 49 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 76cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc19…31c4backed Carlos Maria Zarate | 28c | 114.82$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.64 | 325 | 46.2%150 W · 175 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Juan Estevez | 72c | 72.81$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.42 | 901 | 52.3%471 W · 430 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…400bbacked Carlos Maria Zarate | 29c | 66$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.86 | 346 | 27.7%96 W · 250 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Carlos Maria Zarate | 26c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 1,240 | 41.2%511 W · 729 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0467…fb2ebacked Carlos Maria Zarate | 28c | 47.3$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.06 | 130 | 25.4%33 W · 97 L | -13.6wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -28%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4b89…9183backed Juan Estevez | 72c | 41.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 205 | 66.8%137 W · 68 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Carlos Maria Zarate | 27c | 36.38$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.38 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Juan Estevez | 72c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0333…7d70backed Juan Estevez | 72c | 28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.9wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd13c…98a7backed Juan Estevez | 72c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 172 | 42.4%73 W · 99 L | -17.5wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.