TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Exact Score: Spain 0 - 1 Cabo Verde?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$113,519
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$116,640

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $113,519 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x374b…4a4cbacked Yes1c33,849$427 inLost-$427.094734%16 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick37cpaid+83.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes3c18,125$611 inLost-$611.398,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f63…f247backed Yes1c5,811$59 inLost-$58.6312325.2%31 W · 92 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x557a…3d56backed Yes3c4,000$100 inLost-$100756.7%5 W · 70 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick6cpaid-30.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb10a…7e93backed Yes1c2,565$24 inLost-$24140%0 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1a06…d62fbacked Yes1c2,053$25 inLost-$24.6345820.3%93 W · 365 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick20cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes2c1,831$41 inLost-$40.831,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf967…69ccbacked Yes6c1,639$100 inLost-$1003218.8%6 W · 26 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x725a…018abacked Yes7c1,514$100 inLost-$1002119%4 W · 17 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-36.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc88e…f3e1backed Yes1c1,250$16 inLost-$16.257114.1%10 W · 61 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick16cpaid+30.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x160d…6f25backed Yes5c1,123$54 inLost-$54.378317.4%136 W · 647 L-0.1wins0.00per pick17cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc31a…bfb2backed Yes1c1,071$15 inLost-$158320.5%17 W · 66 L0.0wins0.00per pick20cpaid-21.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x418b…3a98backed Yes4c1,001$40 inLost-$4016425.6%42 W · 122 L-10.6wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-30.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes1c893.76$12 inLost-$11.582,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes2c733.72$15 inLost-$14.671,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2217…1660backed Yes6c609.51$37 inLost-$37.1863544.4%282 W · 353 L-18.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x460a…b164backed Yes6c502.87$30 inLost-$301323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa7e…0332backed Yes2c500$12 inLost-$1253514.6%78 W · 457 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick13cpaid+19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91d7…0dfcbacked Yes3c449$16 inLost-$15.7158530.9%181 W · 404 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-28%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9de…b193backed Yes6c399.23$22 inLost-$222227.3%6 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick27cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1557…3e6cbacked Yes3c384.04$12 inLost-$11.853941%16 W · 23 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+45.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…dc80backed Yes5c368.13$20 inLost-$2023336.9%86 W · 147 L+10.2wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfedf…e045backed Yes7c300$20 inLost-$202360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x56ea…992ebacked Yes6c246.23$15 inLost-$152420.8%5 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick18cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd26b…b09fbacked Yes7c214.29$15 inLost-$1535714%50 W · 307 L-0.3wins0.00per pick14cpaid-14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.