Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Cabo Verde?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd39b7f41fbeb0fd9cf05dd6c14a26bc03b18ca8c5b70fe82f447d5bd1d0a0748
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $224,142
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $216,448
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $224,142 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 7c | 111,640$7,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,518.56 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9106…afcbbacked Yes | 5c | 9,999$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.95 | 86 | 60.5%52 W · 34 L | +7.5wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 7c | 7,110$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.62 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 5c | 5,554$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.69 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 6c | 5,071$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.26 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde0a…f102backed Yes | 6c | 4,500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 564 | 10.5%59 W · 505 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7655…2b5ebacked Yes | 11c | 4,288$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.15 | 38 | 7.9%3 W · 35 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 18cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc54…4582backed Yes | 7c | 4,286$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 163 | 19.6%32 W · 131 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb465…0d8dbacked Yes | 6c | 3,410$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.1 | 49 | 8.2%4 W · 45 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5123…2f31backed Yes | 5c | 3,068$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.76 | 174 | 14.4%25 W · 149 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 7c | 3,036$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.22 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed Yes | 5c | 2,322$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.14 | 783 | 17.4%136 W · 647 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…0dfcbacked Yes | 6c | 1,797$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.82 | 585 | 30.9%181 W · 404 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 5c | 1,368$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.93 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…a9fabacked Yes | 1c | 1,250$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48ee…ca73backed Yes | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3f…50bcbacked Yes | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 71 | 9.9%7 W · 64 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89cd…4d7dbacked Yes | 3c | 1,029$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.87 | 302 | 14.6%44 W · 258 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Yes | 6c | 990.79$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.26 | 352 | 29.3%103 W · 249 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf69…04a0backed Yes | 6c | 833.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 125 | 14.4%18 W · 107 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -29%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf51a…7e42backed Yes | 7c | 736.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.55 | 50 | 12%6 W · 44 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe991…48b1backed Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 336 | 41.7%140 W · 196 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd8c…b750backed Yes | 7c | 694.71$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.63 | 80 | 10%8 W · 72 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a06…d62fbacked Yes | 7c | 599.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 458 | 20.3%93 W · 365 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3df8…88cfbacked Yes | 7c | 429.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f7…a524backed Yes | 7c | 428.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba1…8eeebacked Yes | 8c | 375$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 41 | 22%9 W · 32 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a6…37b9backed Yes | 7c | 357.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 114 | 14.9%17 W · 97 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51f4…238abacked Yes | 6c | 334$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.04 | 178 | 20.8%37 W · 141 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b25…39b2backed Yes | 8c | 299.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebf…4b6cbacked Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 6c | 254.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5f…b380backed Yes | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 147 | 19.7%29 W · 118 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…dc80backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 233 | 36.9%86 W · 147 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c12…748fbacked Yes | 8c | 234.62$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.77 | 324 | 22.5%73 W · 251 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed Yes | 6c | 224.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 920 | 38.5%354 W · 566 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x501d…52e2backed Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 9.4%3 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd29a…71b6backed Yes | 9c | 220$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Yes | 7c | 203$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 630 | 35.7%225 W · 405 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea5…4d18backed Yes | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2958…007dbacked Yes | 7c | 192.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +223.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5605…83e2backed Yes | 7c | 184$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 351 | 10.8%38 W · 313 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35c7…6021backed Yes | 9c | 172.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 186 | 25.3%47 W · 139 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4346…f897backed Yes | 7c | 159.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 180 | 56.1%101 W · 79 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f0…3a6dbacked Yes | 8c | 144.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e83…3bb7backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,206 | 32.7%394 W · 812 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4812…d20dbacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf547…4facbacked Yes | 10c | 120.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 32 | 9.4%3 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd26b…b09fbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 357 | 14%50 W · 307 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Cabo Verde?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Cabo Verde?Yes won
- Exact Score: Spain 0 - 1 Cabo Verde?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 0 - 2 Cabo Verde?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 0 - 3 Cabo Verde?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Cabo Verde?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Cabo Verde?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Cabo Verde?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 1 - 3 Cabo Verde?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Cabo Verde?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Cabo Verde?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Cabo Verde?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Cabo Verde?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Cabo Verde?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Cabo Verde?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Cabo Verde?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.