Premier League · resolved market
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-03-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xba57613eb110982265a21a70f0bcf3821a1a8884e1b69f8b8487272515020a9d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,580
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,580 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 36c | 14,727$5,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,269.62 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 61c | 7,283$4,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,837.62 | 4,874 | 41.5%2,021 W · 2,853 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes | 65c | 3,999$2,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,399.7 | 207 | 46.4%96 W · 111 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 21c | 1,607$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.92 | 1,019 | 51.6%526 W · 493 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 51c | 1,200$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588 | 174 | 36.2%63 W · 111 L | -8.0wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…81e0backed Yes | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 89 | 38.2%34 W · 55 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 36c | 900$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 320 | 37.2%119 W · 201 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 79c | 872$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.12 | 155 | 34.2%53 W · 102 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 35c | 787.84$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.17 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Yes | 65c | 769.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.23 | 141 | 38.3%54 W · 87 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 41c | 702.95$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.95 | 6,217 | 45.6%2,834 W · 3,383 L | -33.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 79c | 654$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.24 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe49b…2943backed Yes | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed No | 22c | 455$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.1 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Yes | 79c | 420.25$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.25 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 79c | 334.28$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.53 | 1,080 | 45.2%488 W · 592 L | -19.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 52c | 324.26$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.34 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 50c | 299.8$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.79 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e52…00f5backed Yes | 44c | 284.09$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.09 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 78c | 256.4$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0aba…1910backed Yes | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 45 | 68.9%31 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 71cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x740d…9967backed Yes | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed No | 21c | 242.37$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.92 | 253 | 48.2%122 W · 131 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 21c | 197.07$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.07 | 331 | 24.2%80 W · 251 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…0a8dbacked No | 20c | 194.6$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.92 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +7.0wins | +0.26per pick | 30cpaid | +111.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…770cbacked Yes | 55c | 180$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 78c | 174.33$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.35 | 968 | 43.8%424 W · 544 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9de…b193backed Yes | 62c | 164.66$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.57 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9f3…0979backed Yes | 48c | 160.52$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.54 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 22c | 158.51$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.87 | 760 | 50%380 W · 380 L | +20.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8090…42c1backed Yes | 79c | 158.23$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.23 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11a2…0532backed Yes | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ff…8f70backed Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 86 | 26.7%23 W · 63 L | -9.7wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 78c | 123.38$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.14 | 866 | 48.7%422 W · 444 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 79c | 110.35$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.17 | 877 | 48.2%423 W · 454 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 78c | 102.5$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 1,305 | 42.4%553 W · 752 L | -28.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…251fbacked Yes | 76c | 100.08$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 96 | 71.9%69 W · 27 L | +17.4wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xaeed…074bbacked No | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 99 | 43.4%43 W · 56 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee26…9dcabacked Yes | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Yes | 79c | 94.7$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.89 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Yes | 61c | 89.49$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.9 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 20c | 83$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 1,176 | 57.4%675 W · 501 L | +40.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 32c | 72.86$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.23 | 419 | 56.3%236 W · 183 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab30…88dbbacked Yes | 53c | 71.7$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.7 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 78c | 67.74$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.61 | 595 | 50.4%300 W · 295 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Yes | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 290 | 50.7%147 W · 143 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c03…949bbacked Yes | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Yes | 79c | 58.99$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.39 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c89…526abacked Yes | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Yes | 74c | 51.22$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.32 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b98…aa35backed Yes | 79c | 50.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked No | 26c | 46.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 135 | 42.2%57 W · 78 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed No | 22c | 44.91$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3541…78debacked Yes | 46c | 42.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.91 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +4.4wins | +0.40per pick | 51cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9c87…7f4abacked No | 56c | 40.39$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.62 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -6.5wins | -0.28per pick | 54cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x788a…bff2backed Yes | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Yes | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 129 | 68.2%88 W · 41 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3160…e846backed No | 37c | 32.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6404…2a20backed Yes | 59c | 32.71$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.43 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…4469backed Yes | 77c | 31.85$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.21 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Yes | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x028d…dc79backed Yes | 67c | 16.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-03-14?this page
- Will Sheffield Wednesday FC vs. Ipswich Town FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Sheffield Wednesday FC win on 2026-03-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.