Fifa International · resolved market
Portugal leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4f3bc9afe03abf534ca4f1ce29a38a96c4ca8635e40dd21b75b3cba85cf38dce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,857
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,635
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,857 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 42c | 9,320$3,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,359.74 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 58c | 4,690$2,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,710.48 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 44c | 1,877$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.69 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67bf…f983backed Yes | 33c | 1,515$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 279 | 31.9%89 W · 190 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc62d…8fd8backed Yes | 52c | 1,256$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…e900backed No | 51c | 1,177$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.69 | 364 | 37.1%135 W · 229 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed No | 36c | 675.82$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.05 | 176 | 29%51 W · 125 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 36c | 547.81$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.87 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf703…541abacked Yes | 64c | 543.92$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 180 | 40%72 W · 108 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 63c | 402.87$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.51 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Yes | 63c | 400$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 452 | 48.9%221 W · 231 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2546…5155backed Yes | 63c | 365$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.33 | 224 | 49.6%111 W · 113 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84bc…4aadbacked Yes | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd5…feb0backed Yes | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 145 | 50.3%73 W · 72 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9de…b193backed Yes | 64c | 319.8$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.6 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Yes | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbff4…b609backed Yes | 63c | 316.91$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 151 | 40.4%61 W · 90 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…b1eebacked Yes | 58c | 312.66$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 161 | 31.7%51 W · 110 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Yes | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 140 | 61.4%86 W · 54 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0a…cbc9backed Yes | 64c | 231.16$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.94 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 65c | 220$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 199 | 39.7%79 W · 120 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe19b…4b86backed Yes | 61c | 213.11$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 66c | 180$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.6 | 376 | 44.9%169 W · 207 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d0…0736backed Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 315 | 43.5%137 W · 178 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 551 | 53%292 W · 259 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69b9…a5d5backed No | 64c | 143.77$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.41 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8f…d581backed Yes | 29c | 138.83$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.88 | 189 | 26.5%50 W · 139 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…caf2backed Yes | 60c | 133.33$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc046…f138backed Yes | 60c | 133$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.8 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 40c | 131.66$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71cc…9144backed Yes | 63c | 126.98$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 235 | 44.7%105 W · 130 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cd…2eedbacked Yes | 62c | 122.58$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06a0…5804backed Yes | 55c | 110$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.5 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…e9edbacked Yes | 55c | 105.62$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.78 | 249 | 35.3%88 W · 161 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4740…fa66backed Yes | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 203 | 25.6%52 W · 151 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b8d…6d3bbacked Yes | 61c | 98$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.78 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02e0…3741backed Yes | 61c | 96.56$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.9 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51d7…516dbacked Yes | 64c | 93.75$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 52 | 67.3%35 W · 17 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb502…9d8bbacked Yes | 55c | 91.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 239 | 51.9%124 W · 115 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5c…98eebacked No | 16c | 90.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.08 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2666…ade6backed Yes | 62c | 90.05$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.83 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd09d…b15dbacked Yes | 63c | 80$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 165 | 49.1%81 W · 84 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes | 55c | 80$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 504 | 50.2%253 W · 251 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Yes | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 432 | 46.8%202 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Yes | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 524 | 41.4%217 W · 307 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf05b…3c59backed Yes | 51c | 76.47$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 165 | 47.9%79 W · 86 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffe2…e750backed Yes | 64c | 73.72$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 63c | 72.85$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.23 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…4575backed Yes | 56c | 67.23$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.65 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a2…b646backed Yes | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 224 | 21.9%49 W · 175 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Yes | 62c | 62.24$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.73 | 697 | 44.9%313 W · 384 L | +18.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa636…dfe9backed Yes | 62c | 61.12$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 73c | 58.28$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.74 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 60c | 55$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.01 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…2719backed Yes | 44c | 52.65$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb160…58cebacked Yes | 64c | 50.98$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.63 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9f…b0d4backed Yes | 63c | 47.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.88 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0690…8821backed Yes | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce8b…738abacked Yes | 61c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed No | 38c | 36.37$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.7 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 35c | 34.48$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.41 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb078…289ebacked Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 207 | 56%116 W · 91 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 46c | 30.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8278…ad93backed Yes | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7885…1173backed Yes | 59c | 29.3$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.39 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x857f…96ecbacked No | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe36a…ae58backed Yes | 64c | 28.14$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.01 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0698…732bbacked Yes | 40c | 27.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.22per pick | 29cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb27b…5d6ebacked Yes | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -5.4wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29bf…08a1backed Yes | 63c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 296 | 45.6%135 W · 161 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ac…e7d7backed Yes | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…0986backed Yes | 45c | 23.31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac71…b3eabacked Yes | 64c | 22.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 62c | 21.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0813…db22backed Yes | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f17…b55dbacked No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 121 | 45.5%55 W · 66 L | +9.0wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x309b…cfe9backed Yes | 63c | 16.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xded8…f839backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Portugal leading at halftime?this page
- Chile leading at halftime?No won
- Portugal vs. Chile: Draw at halftime?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.