Fifa International · resolved market
Will Lithuania win on 2026-03-29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8c015a7edba8dca86fac1d9ce9a566918d2012f333e509ddbdeb2066341510fe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $93,119
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $103,587
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $93,119 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 15c | 12,152$1,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,769.6 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Yes | 18c | 9,752$1,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,794.31 | 592 | 30.1%178 W · 414 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…f904backed Yes | 20c | 5,010$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,024.27 | 53 | 18.9%10 W · 43 L | -6.2wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…5068backed Yes | 19c | 4,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 241 | 44.8%108 W · 133 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5919…95acbacked Yes | 20c | 2,495$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.56 | 102 | 34.3%35 W · 67 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Yes | 15c | 2,066$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.44 | 140 | 40.7%57 W · 83 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 17c | 1,184$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.67 | 368 | 50.3%185 W · 183 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 79c | 1,183$935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.5 | 211 | 40.3%85 W · 126 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5b…3772backed Yes | 2c | 1,026$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 5.3%2 W · 36 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked Yes | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 80c | 750$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3f…5a9fbacked Yes | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 85 | 61.2%52 W · 33 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x058e…a2acbacked Yes | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 31cpaid | -79%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 16c | 655.37$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.78 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 19c | 623$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.35 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ceb…814fbacked Yes | 17c | 537.65$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.4 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 80c | 432$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.4 | 105 | 58.1%61 W · 44 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 18c | 367.45$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.14 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700a…58a5backed Yes | 15c | 363$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.45 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9de…b193backed Yes | 17c | 360.7$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 16c | 335.32$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.09 | 740 | 34.1%252 W · 488 L | -36.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x099e…4ad4backed Yes | 15c | 299.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 42 | 9.5%4 W · 38 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b87…12bbbacked Yes | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed Yes | 17c | 247.06$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…6592backed Yes | 15c | 237$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.15 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…22d0backed No | 78c | 218.33$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.03 | 291 | 54%157 W · 134 L | +21.1wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9410…9160backed Yes | 18c | 206$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.08 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -60%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 17c | 203.57$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.84 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa262…c8babacked Yes | 17c | 202.82$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2718…780bbacked Yes | 18c | 200.56$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.1 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb96d…defebacked Yes | 15c | 199.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Yes | 20c | 198$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.22 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 17c | 191.72$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.2 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb941…b56bbacked Yes | 16c | 187.87$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 16c | 187.49$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.81 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 80c | 181.49$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.21 | 371 | 44.5%165 W · 206 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f3…80b3backed Yes | 17c | 164.71$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f8…ead6backed Yes | 16c | 156.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef1…352ebacked Yes | 16c | 156.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89a5…58c9backed Yes | 21c | 124$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Yes | 16c | 121.47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…09f5backed Yes | 21c | 121$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x701f…7c38backed Yes | 21c | 117$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.57 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes | 19c | 116$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.18 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 16c | 106.94$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.11 | 64 | 18.8%12 W · 52 L | -6.5wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 17c | 105.52$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.77 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x76aa…58cebacked Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 97 | 60.8%59 W · 38 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8730…d68bbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb148…1684backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…3170backed Yes | 20c | 98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x512e…9db5backed Yes | 21c | 97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ab9…361dbacked Yes | 19c | 95.89$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.22 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -50%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8a…9803backed Yes | 17c | 95.76$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b35…768ebacked Yes | 17c | 94.45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.06 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf7d…0f5bbacked Yes | 21c | 88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27d9…c0f1backed Yes | 20c | 87$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes | 20c | 86$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.78 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 22c | 80.12$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 396 | 21%83 W · 313 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 79c | 79.51$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.85 | 184 | 52.7%97 W · 87 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9c…1700backed Yes | 16c | 75.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 93 | 51.6%48 W · 45 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x810d…6080backed Yes | 16c | 75.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 175 | 53.7%94 W · 81 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c38…291fbacked Yes | 19c | 75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb17…32b2backed Yes | 16c | 74.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb165…fbecbacked Yes | 17c | 70.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f12…1937backed Yes | 20c | 65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4024…4f45backed Yes | 16c | 63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Yes | 16c | 61.35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 255 | 54.5%139 W · 116 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3e…b82ebacked Yes | 18c | 61.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed No | 80c | 60.88$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 116 | 58.6%68 W · 48 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…f8d8backed Yes | 28c | 60.64$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x629e…2575backed No | 80c | 58$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 18c | 57$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 908 | 40.9%371 W · 537 L | -64.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f29…fd8bbacked No | 80c | 55$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed No | 80c | 51.46$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 110 | 60%66 W · 44 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f50…fc3fbacked Yes | 25c | 51.12$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83e3…8973backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 68c | 49.17$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.49 | 109 | 54.1%59 W · 50 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61e2…d4e6backed No | 80c | 44$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +106.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06b4…e67dbacked No | 80c | 43$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +56%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f4…ecc4backed No | 79c | 42$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked No | 59c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9628…ed6bbacked No | 79c | 38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ede…12c4backed No | 80c | 37$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefe1…59d6backed No | 80c | 37$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc9d…df08backed No | 79c | 34$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.14 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd056…9323backed No | 80c | 33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd563…e225backed No | 80c | 32$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e02…2d15backed Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.29per pick | 46cpaid | -63%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9981…a620backed No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x400e…1a0dbacked No | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e50…9275backed No | 80c | 21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 74cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…c57abacked No | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 108 | 63.9%69 W · 39 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b7…849dbacked No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x723d…aab6backed No | 79c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 79cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6753…b37dbacked No | 80c | 16.86$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 79c | 16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Lithuania win on 2026-03-29?this page
- Will Georgia win on 2026-03-29?Yes won
- Will Lithuania vs. Georgia end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.