Fifa International · resolved market
Will Lithuania vs. Georgia end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd2931c2ea7fb897111c670ab36f0cdc8936c3bd9f5dc6ed5b2037365213f8db9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $76,078
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $77,027
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,078 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 72c | 19,830$14,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,637.18 | 359 | 42.9%154 W · 205 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 28c | 9,790$2,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,771.81 | 293 | 43%126 W · 167 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf94f…9adabacked No | 51c | 4,470$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,170.45 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 24c | 3,777$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924.09 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 30c | 2,177$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.32 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Yes | 25c | 1,500$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 592 | 30.1%178 W · 414 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 25c | 1,294$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.37 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe79…8955backed No | 75c | 1,205$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7972…594fbacked No | 58c | 1,186$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.21 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5b…3772backed Yes | 2c | 1,133$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 38 | 5.3%2 W · 36 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Yes | 32c | 1,100$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.24 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 68c | 1,076$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.67 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 25c | 1,036$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.08 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Yes | 33c | 1,030$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.5 | 246 | 53.3%131 W · 115 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked Yes | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7fa…f6dfbacked Yes | 12c | 999.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 16c | 910.92$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.86 | 222 | 26.6%59 W · 163 L | -15.6wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc18a…7c09backed Yes | 27c | 814.81$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 781 | 0.5%4 W · 777 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Yes | 32c | 772.67$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.59 | 237 | 49.8%118 W · 119 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 25c | 750$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.5 | 105 | 58.1%61 W · 44 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Yes | 30c | 662.17$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.69 | 171 | 58.5%100 W · 71 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Yes | 30c | 658.97$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.69 | 255 | 54.5%139 W · 116 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 73c | 601.99$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.53 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Yes | 25c | 600$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Yes | 24c | 533.99$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.16 | 140 | 40.7%57 W · 83 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e88…df66backed Yes | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 110 | 29.1%32 W · 78 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…31c3backed Yes | 30c | 456.23$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.87 | 154 | 48.1%74 W · 80 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 26c | 410$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 78c | 406.49$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.09 | 740 | 34.1%252 W · 488 L | -36.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9c…1700backed Yes | 30c | 401.21$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.5 | 93 | 51.6%48 W · 45 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x810d…6080backed Yes | 30c | 400.91$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.5 | 175 | 53.7%94 W · 81 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 26c | 400$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 211 | 40.3%85 W · 126 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed9…bbd3backed No | 67c | 395$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.35 | 24 | 79.2%19 W · 5 L | +4.1wins | +0.17per pick | 62cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5104…a114backed Yes | 25c | 394.75$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 26c | 377.86$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.45 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 24c | 358.77$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.23 | 368 | 50.3%185 W · 183 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd708…b9d2backed Yes | 44c | 347.09$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.17 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7eb…615bbacked Yes | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c29…87dcbacked Yes | 40c | 325$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a02…a48dbacked Yes | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0004…80c7backed Yes | 14c | 299.92$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.99 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 74c | 288$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.04 | 173 | 38.2%66 W · 107 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a1…9fd5backed Yes | 41c | 285$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.85 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 77c | 274.62$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.49 | 459 | 47.7%219 W · 240 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56e0…1a3bbacked Yes | 37c | 259.46$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Yes | 40c | 251.45$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.58 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 25c | 249.05$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.26 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed No | 73c | 245$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.36 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 14c | 243.88$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.48 | 161 | 16.8%27 W · 134 L | -16.9wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 13c | 241.56$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.4 | 301 | 17.9%54 W · 247 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9410…9160backed Yes | 25c | 206$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -60%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff38…1d79backed Yes | 39c | 205.13$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc493…9200backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0453…463bbacked Yes | 44c | 194.32$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4c…f636backed Yes | 27c | 187.02$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.49 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 26c | 159.35$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 74c | 151.04$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.57 | 371 | 44.5%165 W · 206 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b77…1953backed No | 74c | 146.73$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.15 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes | 23c | 145.34$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.34 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 17c | 143.44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.26 | 163 | 41.1%67 W · 96 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7351…b857backed Yes | 14c | 142.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked No | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 81 | 63%51 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x447d…bd4abacked Yes | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +4.1wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Yes | 25c | 132$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.95 | 436 | 53.7%234 W · 202 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca4a…338abacked Yes | 39c | 129.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae02…7ed0backed Yes | 30c | 127.15$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed7c…0a62backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed Yes | 34c | 121.04$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.74 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a2b…c97cbacked No | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 159 | 45.3%72 W · 87 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe96…4a6dbacked No | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 73cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…c57abacked No | 73c | 83.03$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.31 | 108 | 63.9%69 W · 39 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fb…74f3backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 24cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 74c | 78$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.28 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x069b…e8afbacked Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…f8d8backed Yes | 22c | 75.87$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.82 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f3…80b3backed Yes | 27c | 74.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe36…9413backed No | 51c | 71.12$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.84 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 24c | 69.41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.94 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…eeb8backed No | 76c | 69$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.56 | 46 | 78.3%36 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 74cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b04…9f95backed Yes | 32c | 65.16$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.85 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2182…b2d0backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0772…b4eabacked Yes | 39c | 62.42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -43%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…abcbbacked No | 73c | 61.64$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabe0…5adbbacked Yes | 50c | 60.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 29c | 59.59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06c8…0016backed Yes | 25c | 56.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed No | 74c | 54.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 264 | 55.3%146 W · 118 L | -17.1wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 53c | 53.79$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.03 | 876 | 51.1%448 W · 428 L | +25.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a05…8573backed Yes | 33c | 53.42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked No | 63c | 53$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.84 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 26c | 52.31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 908 | 40.9%371 W · 537 L | -64.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa360…cc8ebacked Yes | 44c | 52.27$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49d…91a8backed No | 70c | 51.85$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.72 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f50…fc3fbacked Yes | 29c | 51.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…9d5cbacked Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf87…cc46backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 104 | 36.5%38 W · 66 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9595…1b16backed No | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 67cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2530…f178backed Yes | 21c | 48.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Lithuania vs. Georgia end in a draw?this page
- Will Georgia win on 2026-03-29?Yes won
- Will Lithuania win on 2026-03-29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.