Premier League · resolved market
Will Port Vale FC win on 2026-04-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf208664593184a3bf77a4fb317656095974049d029efa021ca91e4983812c62e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $92,467
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $83,677
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,467 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 3c | 10,784$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.17 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed Yes | 2c | 10,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1847…d94abacked Yes | 1c | 8,100$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 3c | 7,050$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.86 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x203b…acd1backed Yes | 2c | 5,010$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.2 | 60 | 23.3%14 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96e9…4ff7backed Yes | 3c | 4,119$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 2c | 3,071$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.67 | 162 | 32.1%52 W · 110 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd66b…1220backed Yes | 2c | 3,029$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7432…794bbacked Yes | 3c | 2,520$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.89 | 119 | 37%44 W · 75 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes | 2c | 2,500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 107 | 26.2%28 W · 79 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9de…b193backed Yes | 1c | 1,830$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.99 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4043…05e9backed Yes | 2c | 1,500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Yes | 3c | 1,387$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.05 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +74%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3256…830cbacked Yes | 3c | 1,200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 233 | 25.8%60 W · 173 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed Yes | 2c | 1,125$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Yes | 3c | 984.46$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 984.28$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.62 | 206 | 7.3%15 W · 191 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9e…10bebacked Yes | 3c | 925.93$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccdf…946bbacked Yes | 2c | 872.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb593…2c9dbacked Yes | 3c | 832.59$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9386…b2b7backed Yes | 1c | 827.01$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4414…c9ffbacked Yes | 2c | 770$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Port Vale FC win on 2026-04-04?this page
- Will Chelsea FC vs. Port Vale FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-04?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.