Premier League · resolved market
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xed5d851851da9a40f719bf91b78e58315e2dd72dd75e47bd502eda167861c3a5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $303,188
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $373,654
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $303,188 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbddf…c684backed No | 6c | 59,658$3,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,579.48 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed No | 6c | 37,254$2,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,235.43 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed No | 6c | 23,700$1,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,422 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | +9.8wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +27%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed No | 6c | 8,859$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.55 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | +11.0wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd50f…4034backed No | 8c | 5,244$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.56 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 5c | 3,741$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…0a8dbacked No | 6c | 3,254$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.34 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +7.0wins | +0.26per pick | 30cpaid | +111.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 9c | 3,150$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.5 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ff…edfdbacked No | 7c | 2,202$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f7…c4e4backed No | 7c | 1,991$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.38 | 74 | 27%20 W · 54 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa9a…099fbacked No | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbbaa…cbeabacked No | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 7c | 1,117$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.53 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked No | 3c | 1,100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d3…f4f1backed No | 7c | 868.7$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd87c…42d4backed No | 7c | 699.43$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51af…8720backed No | 7c | 681$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.67 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5870…276ebacked No | 7c | 571.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce10…6f4cbacked No | 7c | 564.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1f…b134backed No | 4c | 527.08$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb1…fa48backed No | 9c | 388.89$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaf…064abacked No | 6c | 333.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf237…4989backed No | 6c | 333.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed No | 7c | 323$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.61 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefa5…b417backed No | 8c | 321.48$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.02 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3256…830cbacked No | 4c | 300$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 233 | 25.8%60 W · 173 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e78…ccd1backed No | 8c | 265.88$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.27 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1234…9bd1backed No | 6c | 240.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9261…9065backed No | 8c | 177.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62be…be7fbacked No | 8c | 168.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd320…d956backed No | 7c | 155.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b74…0facbacked No | 7c | 153.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 8c | 152.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 171 | 53.8%92 W · 79 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 7c | 150.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 11c | 150$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 331 | 24.2%80 W · 251 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 8c | 144.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 594 | 45.5%270 W · 324 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 8c | 134.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-04?this page
- Will Chelsea FC vs. Port Vale FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Port Vale FC win on 2026-04-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.