Us Politics · resolved market
Trump removed via 25th Amendment in 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1985caaa507a1de1c390b2c4957e5535cb530634bd7bb4c5c1e75fbd6cc22e64
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $403,085
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $414,242
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $403,085 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x304a…eacfbacked Yes | 3c | 34,953$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06ec…f845backed Yes | 4c | 22,801$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011.18 | 219 | 35.2%77 W · 142 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 1c | 10,993$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.12 | 333 | 13.2%44 W · 289 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed Yes | 4c | 10,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 169 | 43.2%73 W · 96 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc99c…f913backed Yes | 3c | 9,999$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.56 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c6e…5c3dbacked Yes | 4c | 8,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c80…a608backed Yes | 6c | 7,800$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.92 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a3…9e5cbacked Yes | 5c | 7,632$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.87 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d37…f4a4backed Yes | 2c | 6,955$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.08 | 82 | 8.5%7 W · 75 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb40…3612backed Yes | 3c | 6,666$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.98 | 48 | 14.6%7 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae4…273cbacked Yes | 5c | 6,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63c3…2783backed Yes | 5c | 5,781$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.68 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 8cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 4,064$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.03 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4d…25b5backed Yes | 2c | 3,368$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.04 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x846d…f32dbacked Yes | 7c | 3,164$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a3…8ef8backed Yes | 6c | 3,143$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2330…cb2cbacked Yes | 2c | 2,744$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf191…06e5backed Yes | 2c | 2,665$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.29 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc15e…ab86backed Yes | 2c | 2,630$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.94 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3419…58f3backed Yes | 2c | 2,474$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.39 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddbe…a4f8backed Yes | 2c | 2,462$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.46 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfe…c677backed Yes | 2c | 2,204$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.27 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b46…9940backed Yes | 2c | 2,125$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.96 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9779…9378backed Yes | 2c | 2,102$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.55 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bea…2ddabacked Yes | 4c | 2,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90dd…14e3backed Yes | 2c | 1,934$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.1 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1f…f886backed Yes | 5c | 1,711$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…a951backed Yes | 3c | 1,590$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 7c | 1,548$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.24 | 556 | 18.5%103 W · 453 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f62…8185backed Yes | 1c | 1,350$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…04c0backed Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1bf…9a7ebacked Yes | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked Yes | 7c | 999.93$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb81c…1ec4backed Yes | 2c | 990$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5fb…c3efbacked Yes | 5c | 987.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -45%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc238…d690backed Yes | 2c | 885.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x843a…8070backed Yes | 4c | 879.92$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.62 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a1…c98abacked Yes | 3c | 870.48$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.16 | 146 | 24.7%36 W · 110 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42a6…1b64backed Yes | 4c | 775$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.89 | 119 | 40.3%48 W · 71 L | +8.8wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 2c | 613.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 398 | 9.5%38 W · 360 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5226…b4f5backed Yes | 5c | 550$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4c…4bdbbacked Yes | 7c | 462.14$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.35 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c92…1322backed Yes | 4c | 400$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x714f…62d3backed Yes | 7c | 367.71$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63eb…b0a1backed Yes | 7c | 357.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…db3dbacked Yes | 5c | 350$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 146 | 6.2%9 W · 137 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9de…b193backed Yes | 7c | 323.38$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.82 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5838…3636backed Yes | 5c | 299.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…d21abacked Yes | 4c | 299$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 189 | 14.3%27 W · 162 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b33…7fd4backed Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Yes | 5c | 284.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 151 | 24.5%37 W · 114 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -42%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c5…dd5ebacked Yes | 8c | 262.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -76%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7b…d06fbacked Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 80 | 30%24 W · 56 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee49…8df9backed Yes | 7c | 205.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 193 | 28.5%55 W · 138 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc487…5a60backed Yes | 5c | 200$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…6a1cbacked Yes | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3db2…ec33backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.