Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Eintracht Frankfurt finish in the top 4 of the Bundesliga 2025–26 standings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4a28dc186e64c7f5b08a78d8935f47de7ce8807bd484d9d9fbeaad82bbad3df5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,051
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,051 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5207…686bbacked No | 50c | 1,450$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 63c | 1,060$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.16 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e33…1482backed Yes | 50c | 969.47$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Yes | 55c | 400$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 18cpaid | -89.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed No | 59c | 300$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2af6…b030backed Yes | 47c | 240$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.9 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x977d…5fb8backed Yes | 20c | 232$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +5.1wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +815.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…8a58backed No | 65c | 115.01$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.55 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 23c | 112.93$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1248…8db1backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf33…63b2backed Yes | 63c | 84.07$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c9…bb9ebacked No | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x832b…5c91backed Yes | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.09 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd453…75ebbacked No | 64c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +38%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 65c | 35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 36cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9896…274ebacked No | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 75c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.54 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Eintracht Frankfurt finish in the top 4 of the Bundesliga 2025–26 standings?this page
- Will Bayern Munich finish in the top 4 of the Bundesliga 2025–26 standings?Yes won
- Will Dortmund finish in the top 4 of the Bundesliga 2025–26 standings?Yes won
- Will FC Augsburg finish in the top 4 of the Bundesliga 2025–26 standings?No won
- Will FC Koln finish in the top 4 of the Bundesliga 2025–26 standings?No won
- Will Freiburg finish in the top 4 of the Bundesliga 2025–26 standings?No won
- Will Hoffenheim finish in the top 4 of the Bundesliga 2025–26 standings?No won
- Will Leverkusen finish in the top 4 of the Bundesliga 2025–26 standings?No won
- Will RB Leipzig finish in the top 4 of the Bundesliga 2025–26 standings?Yes won
- Will Union Berlin finish in the top 4 of the Bundesliga 2025–26 standings?No won
- Will VfL Wolfsburg finish in the top 4 of the Bundesliga 2025–26 standings?No won
- Will Werder Bremen finish in the top 4 of the Bundesliga 2025–26 standings?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.