Premier League · resolved market
Manchester City vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa5647c68b2ca1871fd48c6170088aef2a5eb571f16f327af34cc36ea370d81cf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,589
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,541
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,589 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 27c | 6,902$1,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,886.43 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae5…8342backed Over | 80c | 5,850$4,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170.02 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 35c | 4,105$1,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,435.56 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef5…325ebacked Over | 68c | 2,000$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11cf…2674backed Over | 78c | 1,898$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.56 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 29c | 1,714$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.84 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17cb…3ab8backed Over | 65c | 1,527$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.89 | 138 | 34.1%47 W · 91 L | -11.9wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 34c | 1,499$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.79 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa19…fb67backed Under | 1c | 1,111$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 34c | 802.42$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.19 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed46…1badbacked Over | 66c | 760.95$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.95 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 66c | 757.58$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.58 | 200 | 54.5%109 W · 91 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Over | 66c | 504.55$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.55 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Under | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 294 | 27.9%82 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf70a…541dbacked Under | 22c | 455.36$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 34c | 444$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.96 | 215 | 48.8%105 W · 110 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 46c | 440.13$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.15 | 457 | 51.2%234 W · 223 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b3…0476backed Over | 59c | 423.73$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.73 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 35c | 300.89$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.49 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 35c | 281.59$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.91 | 370 | 36.2%134 W · 236 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 46c | 225$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.75 | 614 | 41.2%253 W · 361 L | -27.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…30a0backed Over | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…0419backed Over | 65c | 149.23$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.23 | 48 | 70.8%34 W · 14 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 328 | 22.3%73 W · 255 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72a2…e265backed Over | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.6wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x454f…bb79backed Over | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…22cfbacked Over | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 114 | 48.2%55 W · 59 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Over | 66c | 93.94$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.94 | 495 | 44.2%219 W · 276 L | -20.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…8f36backed Over | 64c | 93.75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 35c | 91.28$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.62 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5833…4893backed Over | 54c | 90$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.4 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x024e…2e48backed Over | 68c | 90$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f1…4bd9backed Under | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Over | 64c | 76.56$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.56 | 127 | 53.5%68 W · 59 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6881…525dbacked Under | 40c | 74.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.8 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb58…4acebacked Over | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 140 | 45%63 W · 77 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 66c | 73.14$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.05 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 21c | 68.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…3105backed Over | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Over | 46c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 282 | 46.1%130 W · 152 L | -12.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…5c00backed Over | 65c | 57.75$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.21 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 556 | 54.9%305 W · 251 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccc2…501bbacked Over | 66c | 45.53$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.53 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…79cbbacked Over | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 55c | 41.6$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 180 | 59.4%107 W · 73 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeabf…97e5backed Over | 67c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.4 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed Over | 64c | 38.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.82 | 177 | 59.9%106 W · 71 L | -16.7wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x71f6…e115backed Over | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 66c | 30.38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.38 | 113 | 48.7%55 W · 58 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…a78fbacked Over | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 83 | 62.7%52 W · 31 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc436…76c9backed Over | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…f21cbacked Over | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 68c | 25.13$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.04 | 158 | 66.5%105 W · 53 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37a1…c13bbacked Over | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb5…9846backed Over | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x433a…e3d9backed Over | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 65 | 66.2%43 W · 22 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a49…a53bbacked Over | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5d…b99abacked Over | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 71cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08de…a0fdbacked Over | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Manchester City vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5this page
- Manchester City vs. Sunderland AFC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Manchester City vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Manchester City vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Manchester City (-2.5)Manchester City won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.