Premier League · resolved market
Manchester City vs. Sunderland AFC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd2ccab46335f7299e74194c8328aa87c7dae4bb952da8b19160b9a01062f49e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,830
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,202
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,830 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d0f…a318backed Yes | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,900 | 110 | 29.1%32 W · 78 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 51c | 9,455$4,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,632.95 | 277 | 50.9%141 W · 136 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 50c | 7,526$3,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,730.49 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Yes | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Yes | 53c | 1,894$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 240 | 47.5%114 W · 126 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed No | 51c | 1,323$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.97 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 51c | 1,160$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.45 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 49c | 1,020$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.48 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa645…0be6backed Yes | 50c | 1,001$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.29 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Yes | 48c | 816.85$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.92 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed No | 47c | 582$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.64 | 130 | 54.6%71 W · 59 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 50c | 456.1$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.5 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Yes | 49c | 455$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.95 | 370 | 36.2%134 W · 236 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…ec91backed No | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 50c | 353.68$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.42 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 46c | 246.93$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.76 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf78e…0956backed Yes | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d1…ad22backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf70a…541dbacked Yes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f07…4518backed Yes | 49c | 156.54$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Yes | 51c | 140$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 428 | 62.4%267 W · 161 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked Yes | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 180 | 52.2%94 W · 86 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e3…aa78backed Yes | 40c | 117.43$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x164c…3e39backed No | 62c | 105.38$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.88 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7082backed Yes | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 142 | 52.8%75 W · 67 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb32e…a46abacked Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac3…2ab9backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 517 | 50.1%259 W · 258 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa19…fb67backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed68…236cbacked Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a6…c0fabacked Yes | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf845…f3a8backed Yes | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked Yes | 52c | 88.27$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.9 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 44c | 85.75$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.34 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c25…606ebacked Yes | 52c | 82$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.64 | 95 | 42.1%40 W · 55 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d69…beecbacked Yes | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 45c | 75$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 614 | 41.2%253 W · 361 L | -27.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x486e…62c7backed Yes | 45c | 75$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd3…8254backed No | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a92…5a5ebacked Yes | 51c | 61.18$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x359c…f17ebacked Yes | 49c | 60.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Yes | 49c | 60.27$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.53 | 215 | 48.8%105 W · 110 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c83…0f34backed Yes | 49c | 60.04$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.42 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48fd…45e6backed Yes | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad17…efabbacked Yes | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 50c | 53.25$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…770cbacked Yes | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a40…afaabacked Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -7.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Yes | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 92 | 35.9%33 W · 59 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 52c | 47.63$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.86 | 318 | 49.1%156 W · 162 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 52c | 46.29$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.24 | 401 | 50.1%201 W · 200 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4341…6451backed Yes | 50c | 44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3659…1c2dbacked No | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2909…c95cbacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x725a…c06cbacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -4.4wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe333…cf5fbacked Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad87…f9a1backed Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 127 | 48.8%62 W · 65 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0811…c7a7backed Yes | 36c | 36.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 50c | 33.8$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 353 | 47.6%168 W · 185 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 34c | 32.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 577 | 44.4%256 W · 321 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Yes | 49c | 30.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 217 | 47.9%104 W · 113 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4234…6b87backed Yes | 65c | 30.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c46…2d02backed Yes | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71f6…e115backed Yes | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Yes | 53c | 20.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 243 | 40.7%99 W · 144 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 178 | 49.4%88 W · 90 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x855b…8dd0backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb0…e72abacked Yes | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Manchester City vs. Sunderland AFC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Manchester City vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Manchester City vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Manchester City vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Manchester City (-2.5)Manchester City won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.