Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x505172de5bac8418b37aa57476f3842d886d46fb344a86eff33ddb8967171df9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,559
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,374
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,559 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8fc…88e1backed Yes | 39c | 2,786$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,706.28 | 1,298 | 33.1%430 W · 868 L | +39.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Yes | 37c | 1,523$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$962.8 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 16c | 1,401$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,171.22 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked Yes | 36c | 1,277$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.66 | 771 | 51%393 W · 378 L | +23.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked No | 63c | 1,090$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.07 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 64c | 770.28$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.52 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 27c | 756.67$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.59 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x094a…a9d2backed Yes | 5c | 687.42$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.45 | 292 | 19.5%57 W · 235 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed No | 59c | 534$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.14 | 559 | 54.7%306 W · 253 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 68c | 491.2$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.37 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 8c | 415.52$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.33 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc92…27c9backed No | 58c | 402.31$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.91 | 632 | 55.7%352 W · 280 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 62c | 358.37$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.97 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 59c | 320.01$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.19 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked No | 67c | 312.37$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.41 | 1,420 | 58.7%833 W · 587 L | +69.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 56c | 304.28$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.43 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 52c | 286.3$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.48 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…557ebacked No | 60c | 277$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.69 | 1,169 | 59.4%694 W · 475 L | +30.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 71c | 250.1$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.7 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 76c | 248.7$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.18 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x82f3…9f82backed Yes | 21c | 225.81$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.64 | 1,455 | 24.7%359 W · 1,096 L | -33.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca07…6269backed No | 58c | 208$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.64 | 716 | 49.4%354 W · 362 L | -18.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3b…957bbacked Yes | 12c | 206.36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.61 | 370 | 56.5%209 W · 161 L | +31.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd115…4906backed Yes | 54c | 205.47$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.39 | 135 | 88.1%119 W · 16 L | +26.4wins | +0.20per pick | 69cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xea5e…a678backed Yes | 17c | 204$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.02 | 1,218 | 42%512 W · 706 L | +31.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 26c | 198.75$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.28 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 57c | 166.7$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.74 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked No | 39c | 163.76$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.68 | 1,089 | 59.4%647 W · 442 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b33…9f80backed Yes | 16c | 159.36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.47 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 57c | 153.23$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.37 | 538 | 55%296 W · 242 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 64c | 152.18$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.79 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 65c | 150.12$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.86 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 60c | 132.07$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.89 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd514…bbdfbacked Yes | 22c | 131.36$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.22 | 579 | 48.4%280 W · 299 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5787…1f86backed Yes | 41c | 121$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.39 | 235 | 60%141 W · 94 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 9c | 119.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.65 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 54c | 117.05$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.21 | 1,280 | 51.2%655 W · 625 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb7…a11abacked No | 73c | 114$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.22 | 1,196 | 57.9%693 W · 503 L | +47.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e8d2backed Yes | 32c | 111.94$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.12 | 565 | 43.5%246 W · 319 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8edc…80d8backed Yes | 40c | 109.71$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.35 | 1,179 | 56.4%665 W · 514 L | +19.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf83e…4663backed No | 70c | 104.91$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.95 | 281 | 63.7%179 W · 102 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8827…5d62backed Yes | 43c | 101.74$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.2 | 1,772 | 50.5%895 W · 877 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eda…6e19backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 775 | 55.2%428 W · 347 L | -13.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 62c | 99.8$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.88 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 57c | 80$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 39c | 77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.72 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked Yes | 30c | 76.37$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.44 | 971 | 52.2%507 W · 464 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 75c | 75$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.2 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed No | 59c | 68$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.12 | 1,126 | 51.2%577 W · 549 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed No | 59c | 67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.78 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e6…7a4dbacked Yes | 21c | 62.85$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.65 | 1,699 | 60.6%1,029 W · 670 L | -24.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb5…9400backed No | 46c | 62$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 527 | 58.8%310 W · 217 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5219…7f31backed Yes | 33c | 60$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 353 | 44.5%157 W · 196 L | -18.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…40c0backed No | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.46 | 800 | 50.1%401 W · 399 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8471…5566backed Yes | 18c | 59.21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.39 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +7.3wins | +0.19per pick | 40cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 77c | 57.8$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.54 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…ca1bbacked Yes | 32c | 55.14$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.56 | 1,274 | 34%433 W · 841 L | +46.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbc…85c6backed No | 71c | 55$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 75c | 50.24$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.7 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf01e…51cbbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfff1…5e20backed No | 78c | 49.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.74 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6659…b7cabacked No | 47c | 49.37$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.98 | 938 | 37.6%353 W · 585 L | -14.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36ff…f2a6backed Yes | 36c | 48.11$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.79 | 621 | 37.7%234 W · 387 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 57c | 48$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.19 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…0927backed No | 64c | 42.63$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.44 | 1,190 | 57.9%689 W · 501 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacac…50fbbacked No | 47c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 283 | 60.4%171 W · 112 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc436…76c9backed Yes | 52c | 39.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc196…4af6backed No | 61c | 37$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.57 | 270 | 56.7%153 W · 117 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 52c | 36.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 805 | 60.6%488 W · 317 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed Yes | 35c | 35.16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.69 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb7…df91backed Yes | 36c | 35.14$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.6 | 945 | 52.5%496 W · 449 L | +27.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6282…aaabbacked No | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 421 | 51.8%218 W · 203 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5edc…bbadbacked No | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 443 | 66.1%293 W · 150 L | +19.8wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63f9…f085backed No | 66c | 28.86$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 65cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5f…a235backed No | 72c | 28.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.34 | 111 | 48.6%54 W · 57 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0db3…547dbacked No | 65c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 173 | 52%90 W · 83 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f2…9bf5backed No | 45c | 23.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ec…710abacked No | 70c | 22.63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 135 | 45.9%62 W · 73 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbaf…61a7backed No | 66c | 21.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +48%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8144…8472backed No | 65c | 21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 239 | 58.2%139 W · 100 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea83…7393backed No | 56c | 20.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 1,445 | 60.1%868 W · 577 L | +5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 67c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb53…fde7backed No | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 259 | 54.1%140 W · 119 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Yes | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 293 | 54.3%159 W · 134 L | -25.6wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x43fd…59d3backed No | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 159 | 61.6%98 W · 61 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2c…0a2cbacked No | 67c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 1,550 | 56.7%879 W · 671 L | -83.2wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 67c | 17.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 1,901 | 55.6%1,057 W · 844 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e90…6303backed No | 68c | 15.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 63cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ece…1949backed No | 65c | 15.85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 173 | 61.8%107 W · 66 L | -9.8wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3904…539bbacked No | 77c | 13.07$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 427 | 62.8%268 W · 159 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 29?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on June 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on June 29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.