TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Sevilla win on 2025-11-30?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$56,844
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$56,620

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,844 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No70c10,417$7,286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,130.84,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No68c3,037$2,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$979.0328055%154 W · 126 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8452…cc80backed Yes32c2,861$924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$924.320%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Yes30c2,787$837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$837.3614067.1%94 W · 46 L+17.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+38.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No70c2,301$1,610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$691.4369142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed Yes32c2,233$706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705.896836.8%25 W · 43 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3102…187cbacked No66c2,000$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6806944.9%31 W · 38 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe76f…39fcbacked Yes34c1,856$631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631.182343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Yes32c1,665$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.928457.1%48 W · 36 L+7.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x330b…69f1backed Yes32c1,552$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010250%51 W · 51 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6401…198fbacked Yes34c1,471$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-58.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x27b2…865ebacked Yes34c1,471$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-39.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes18c1,200$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.4920255%111 W · 91 L-0.6wins0.00per pick55cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes31c1,061$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.1990843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb125…69ebbacked Yes8c1,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803633.3%12 W · 24 L+5.7wins+0.16per pick17cpaid+76.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes27c998.32$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.5383650.7%424 W · 412 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ee1…e2bbbacked Yes31c972.77$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3013036.7%11 W · 19 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-29.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc47f…94b4backed Yes31c970.59$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No68c923.31$628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.353246.1%245 W · 287 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed No65c900.86$586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.38957.3%51 W · 38 L+7.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4fd1…4ea6backed Yes29c848.21$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-36.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes32c622$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.5830634.6%106 W · 200 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda10…eeccbacked No66c603.52$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.671330.8%4 W · 9 L-3.7wins-0.29per pick60cpaid-53.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6f67…e109backed Yes32c572.09$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.07250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+28.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2885…486cbacked No68c569.71$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.311764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+18.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No67c520.58$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.793,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Yes32c500$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16011947.1%56 W · 63 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Yes33c500$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1656434.4%22 W · 42 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ad…6ed7backed Yes32c500$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1602623.1%6 W · 20 L-3.0wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-21.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x713f…7378backed Yes33c482.18$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.12933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-31.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes32c432.82$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.2353242.3%225 W · 307 L-1.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4537…491dbacked Yes34c417.65$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1421330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.7wins-0.20per pick51cpaid-45.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No67c404.41$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.4630743.6%134 W · 173 L-1.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35b9…1d44backed No67c399.97$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.992347.8%11 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No69c366.82$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.474457.5%428 W · 316 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes31c361.45$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.0527854.7%152 W · 126 L+20.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0d0a…0809backed Yes28c322$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.164235.7%15 W · 27 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76da…30a2backed Yes32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004845.8%22 W · 26 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1649…7d8abacked Yes33c304.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No66c300.78$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.2555941.1%230 W · 329 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6da…7e3ebacked Yes33c300.3$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002025%5 W · 15 L-3.7wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-55.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9024…a444backed Yes6c299.99$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18728.6%2 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.18per pick11cpaid+58.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes34c273.53$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9349447%232 W · 262 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed No67c272.55$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.9924047.9%115 W · 125 L+1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4781…336dbacked No66c253.03$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.0314759.2%87 W · 60 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No73c240$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.840033.5%134 W · 266 L-27.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-2.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes32c223$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.3650243.4%218 W · 284 L+2.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes29c206.9$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607632.9%25 W · 51 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xde17…68d2backed No71c200$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583964.1%25 W · 14 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick58cpaid-0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x06fc…4fb6backed Yes33c200$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x70b0…b71fbacked Yes8c170$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.36328.6%18 W · 45 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-37.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e20…1524backed Yes30c166$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.81729.4%5 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No78c156.84$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.681,01853.1%541 W · 477 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9345…3869backed No75c150.88$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.721136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-36.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5dc2…4837backed No68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.0612255.7%68 W · 54 L-6.8wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8c67…63fcbacked No68c139.19$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.199158.2%53 W · 38 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No68c129.38$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.6464046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No78c95.91$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.371,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fd2…f9aebacked Yes34c89.13$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305862.1%36 W · 22 L+6.1wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+15.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9698…de01backed Yes34c88.24$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302850%14 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb327…0fccbacked Yes36c82.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.77631.6%24 W · 52 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3ae…3898backed Yes34c79.47$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ad…fabcbacked No78c77$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.946575.4%49 W · 16 L+15.4wins+0.24per pick52cpaid+45.3%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0xf8d1…ad22backed Yes35c71.43$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251741.2%7 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick35cpaid-7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc22c…bfc7backed Yes29c68.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201136.4%4 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick24cpaid+71.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0909…91cabacked Yes35c62.86$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228858%51 W · 37 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fdb…6404backed Yes32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x110e…8b7cbacked Yes32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fb4…d481backed Yes32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202937.9%11 W · 18 L-3.9wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-27.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8aa7…a765backed Yes33c61.08$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20560%3 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.23per pick37cpaid+39.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c82…05cfbacked Yes33c60.39$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.936855.9%38 W · 30 L+6.1wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+20.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x522f…79c2backed Yes35c60$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cc4…bd5dbacked Yes34c58.94$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.81020%2 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-68.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd960…1adebacked Yes28c53.57$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1511249.1%55 W · 57 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb89…46f1backed No69c52.9$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.43855.3%21 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1947…94bcbacked No68c51.47$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.4712757.5%73 W · 54 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb6d…4e19backed Yes28c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1430%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3238…1521backed Yes33c50$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.51040%4 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid+5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9ac…64e1backed Yes32c46.88$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152055%11 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6be…fd87backed No67c44.63$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.73475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0277…0677backed No66c38.85$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.211450%7 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd817…ac33backed No70c38$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.4742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-35.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a5c…b3f2backed No69c35.06$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.8615051.3%77 W · 73 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f04…182abacked No69c31.88$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.881681.3%13 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.15per pick66cpaid+25.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe7f4…6eadbacked Yes32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108932.6%29 W · 60 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9a2…7f83backed Yes32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104746.8%22 W · 25 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x098f…47cdbacked No68c28.98$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.271154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick59cpaid+2.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9158…ba55backed No67c28.19$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.3518564.9%120 W · 65 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb15e…5111backed No67c25$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.312875%21 W · 7 L+3.1wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xddd7…1596backed No67c25$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.2530956%173 W · 136 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a24…3845backed No67c25$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.217660.2%106 W · 70 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaad7…5557backed No68c23.74$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.6728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No66c22.74$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.7329545.4%134 W · 161 L-0.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed No68c22$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.1528558.2%166 W · 119 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26ae…97b8backed No68c22$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.0414462.5%90 W · 54 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc436…76c9backed No67c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.6837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick57cpaid-28.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9e8f…6b61backed No68c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.498125.9%21 W · 60 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb5dd…4e1fbacked No68c19.12$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.12366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+17%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x068d…900cbacked No69c18.12$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.621050%5 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x28b3…767fbacked No70c15.7$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.7475%3 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick74cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.