La Liga · resolved market
Will Sevilla vs. Real Betis end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x93035f20c113ec850b02f5f7a662103efc6ae4a15800542652de3b1f13e431b6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,336
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,584
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,336 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 71c | 7,914$5,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,289.38 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 30c | 4,631$1,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,393.08 | 280 | 55%154 W · 126 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 71c | 2,775$1,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.75 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 28c | 2,452$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.67 | 295 | 45.4%134 W · 161 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 67c | 2,238$1,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.05 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 28c | 1,927$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.66 | 261 | 47.9%125 W · 136 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9345…3869backed Yes | 2c | 1,250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 29c | 991.2$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.88 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 71c | 785.96$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.35 | 278 | 54.7%152 W · 126 L | +20.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…348dbacked Yes | 31c | 751.61$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x713f…7378backed Yes | 27c | 748.97$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf515…0805backed Yes | 29c | 684.05$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 27c | 619.46$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.29 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed No | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked Yes | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 71c | 500$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 112 | 60.7%68 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb545…6e0abacked Yes | 6c | 485.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +4.8wins | +0.15per pick | 26cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x277e…5cfcbacked No | 71c | 366.2$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ff…8f70backed Yes | 30c | 350$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 28c | 300.42$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.12 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0df…8f41backed No | 70c | 290.99$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.3 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 28c | 274.92$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.98 | 169 | 26%44 W · 125 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b3…6bfcbacked No | 62c | 215.81$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.01 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e20…1524backed Yes | 25c | 199.6$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.9 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d1…84a2backed Yes | 30c | 193.33$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…f25dbacked Yes | 30c | 170$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 75c | 164.37$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.78 | 746 | 57.4%428 W · 318 L | +22.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d9…d7f5backed Yes | 30c | 150$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1486…432cbacked Yes | 30c | 100.58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 26cpaid | +61.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeee2…035dbacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbd…d4b9backed No | 55c | 91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…9dc2backed Yes | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 93 | 38.7%36 W · 57 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 70c | 77.25$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.17 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 31c | 76.94$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 143 | 33.6%48 W · 95 L | +11.8wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 67c | 75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 141 | 66.7%94 W · 47 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 57c | 71.93$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.18 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 28c | 71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 489 | 34.4%168 W · 321 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…7adabacked Yes | 30c | 67.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 285 | 43.2%123 W · 162 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 266 | 45.5%121 W · 145 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7052…74aebacked Yes | 29c | 64.91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.82 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 29c | 58$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.05 | 306 | 34.6%106 W · 200 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…ca89backed Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes | 48c | 47.92$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +6.4wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked No | 72c | 47.63$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.49 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf0…4c25backed Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…9df2backed No | 71c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…fd87backed No | 71c | 24.65$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.15 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb15e…5111backed No | 70c | 22.85$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9f…0852backed No | 71c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 33 | 78.8%26 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 72cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed No | 73c | 20.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.59 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed No | 70c | 18.81$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 309 | 56%173 W · 136 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x068d…900cbacked No | 72c | 17.36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.86 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcad…0a68backed No | 71c | 14.1$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.09 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sevilla vs. Real Betis end in a draw?this page
- Will Real Betis win on 2025-11-30?Yes won
- Will Sevilla win on 2025-11-30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.