TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Real Betis win on 2025-11-30?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$105,855
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$120,343

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $105,855 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes38c40,000$15,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,80017248.8%84 W · 88 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No49c22,497$11,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,012.784,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No62c12,662$7,848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,847.881,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc16b…8404backed No62c10,000$6,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,2001154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+21.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No40c6,152$2,457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,457.3869142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No64c4,571$2,908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,908.2628055%154 W · 126 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Yes44c3,331$1,468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,863.5214067.1%94 W · 46 L+17.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+38.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Yes37c2,500$925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5758457.1%48 W · 36 L+7.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed No71c1,070$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76022335%78 W · 145 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick40cpaid+5.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes36c1,017$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$649.743,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed No63c1,000$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.93531.4%11 W · 24 L-4.3wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-9.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x03bc…530cbacked Yes37c968.25$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61011153.2%59 W · 52 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f67…e109backed Yes39c956.61$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$585.29250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+28.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Yes37c947.1$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$596.5817252.3%90 W · 82 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Yes39c930.72$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567.7425648.4%124 W · 132 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed No59c864.12$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.446836.8%25 W · 43 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x253d…348dbacked Yes36c762.77$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.77250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+37.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e73…c4ecbacked No2c761.37$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.234621.7%10 W · 36 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick20cpaid-46.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No62c654.75$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.0753246.1%245 W · 287 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes38c630.12$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.4253242.3%225 W · 307 L-1.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe360…7d01backed No63c506.35$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes37c497.99$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.7414540.7%59 W · 86 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c2a…c9c8backed Yes40c492.57$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.9366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+42.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde17…68d2backed No62c470.89$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.953964.1%25 W · 14 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick58cpaid-0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe930…b44dbacked Yes31c456.03$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.663650%18 W · 18 L+4.7wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+30.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xee04…9612backed Yes30c400$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2801435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01a8…aec0backed No63c311.11$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed No66c303.03$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003756.8%21 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb86…1dc5backed Yes34c294.12$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.121625%4 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-35.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes39c275$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.9930634.6%106 W · 200 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9678…b4bfbacked Yes37c273.46$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.462254.5%12 W · 10 L+4.9wins+0.22per pick32cpaid+44.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes36c270$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.827854.7%152 W · 126 L+20.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa4a1…4799backed Yes38c263.16$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.166550.8%33 W · 32 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x26be…d699backed Yes38c253.95$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.451526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-45.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb545…6e0abacked Yes28c212.01$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.013141.9%13 W · 18 L+4.8wins+0.15per pick26cpaid+100.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No61c200.64$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.3864046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3067…b8e5backed Yes37c200$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1263100%3 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+185%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes30c200$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1407632.9%25 W · 51 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ad…fabcbacked Yes30c197.24$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.186575.4%49 W · 16 L+15.4wins+0.24per pick52cpaid+45.3%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes38c179$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.8650243.4%218 W · 284 L+2.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19bc…7d78backed No63c174.33$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.067851.3%40 W · 38 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1708…bffebacked No64c171.88$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11020%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8993…222dbacked Yes30c166.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.673043.3%13 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb97e…4d9abacked Yes31c161.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.29955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+51.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No10c158.77$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3383650.7%424 W · 412 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb04…3ce1backed No63c158.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008159.3%48 W · 33 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2b2…d101backed No65c153.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-57.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x98e0…bf01backed No69c144.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.767363%46 W · 27 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No14c142.3$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.629946.5%139 W · 160 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No65c133.9$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.5290843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9827…e5ffbacked No61c119.99$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.19862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+26.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1166…a8e1backed Yes42c119.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.175442.6%23 W · 31 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4e9…8f51backed Yes38c105.26$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.263246.9%15 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e4b…82c2backed Yes38c105.26$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.263348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No73c100$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$731,01853.1%541 W · 477 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0180…b8cdbacked Yes29c96.55$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.5511547%54 W · 61 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+16%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0277…0677backed No64c90.69$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.411450%7 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97e4…2d33backed No63c89.83$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x79df…1661backed Yes41c85.61$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.6117036.5%62 W · 108 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes39c85.26$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.0155941.1%230 W · 329 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f1a…de99backed No63c79.37$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf37…8b49backed No60c77.5$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.54740.4%19 W · 28 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8992…4c76backed Yes39c76.15$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.45250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+28.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f39…5bc5backed Yes31c64.52$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.52875%6 W · 2 L+2.7wins+0.34per pick41cpaid+87.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes30c63.07$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.1515646.2%72 W · 84 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed No28c60.79$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7521842.7%93 W · 125 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-23.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb230…ca89backed Yes40c55$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332540%10 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6653…4f3dbacked Yes38c52.63$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.635232.7%17 W · 35 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe994…4527backed Yes39c51.28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No58c51$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.5822552.4%118 W · 107 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcfac…a4febacked Yes40c50.02$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.02966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+22.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3238…1521backed Yes39c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.51040%4 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid+5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c82…05cfbacked Yes38c49.4$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.726855.9%38 W · 30 L+6.1wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+20.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xeb89…46f1backed Yes37c49.36$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.13855.3%21 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6cb6…ac6abacked Yes41c48.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.784850%24 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+15.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9a2…7f83backed Yes32c46.88$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.884746.8%22 W · 25 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xddd7…1596backed Yes38c44.68$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.7930956%173 W · 136 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1473…a1abbacked Yes69c43.48$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.48650%3 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-30.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f19…b9ffbacked No61c42$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.623557.1%20 W · 15 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+33.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed No60c40.5$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.415250%76 W · 76 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes35c39.45$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.6550149.5%248 W · 253 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf405…9df2backed No63c37.69$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.74875%6 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+28.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xec25…dec6backed Yes69c37.68$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.683655.6%20 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e7e…425ebacked Yes40c37.5$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.54353.5%23 W · 20 L+4.5wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+28.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa89e…4ab4backed Yes34c37$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.428653.5%46 W · 40 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3304…7048backed Yes68c36.76$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.76475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+19.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes60c34.48$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.7925872.9%188 W · 70 L+23.2wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+12.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6a24…3845backed Yes38c33.42$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.7917660.2%106 W · 70 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed No63c31.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2017856.2%100 W · 78 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x068d…900cbacked Yes40c31.25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.751050%5 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4bdf…9652backed No63c30$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.95554.5%30 W · 25 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5263…52ccbacked Yes36c30$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea2e…d695backed No60c30$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.910045%45 W · 55 L-9.9wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-18.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1b90…710fbacked Yes34c29.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.473040%12 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a5c…b3f2backed No36c28.64$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4515051.3%77 W · 73 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x100e…cc8fbacked Yes74c27.03$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.032100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x322e…a2cebacked Yes38c27$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.744847.9%23 W · 25 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfcad…0a68backed No67c15.13$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.163253.1%17 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaad7…5557backed No68c15$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.25728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31eb…ba4bbacked Yes70c14.3$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.294100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+86.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.