Token Launches · resolved market
Will Reppo launch a token by June 30, 2027?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x817c5c4909eaa385e116262e075fce574f12ee0c9446d92018a20291693a746b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,389
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,344
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,389 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xce0f…2e31backed Yes | 39c | 9,446$3,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,668.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ff…5b03backed No | 60c | 7,595$4,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,003.28 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +7.9wins | +0.24per pick | 37cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb26c…0eb0backed Yes | 53c | 2,021$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,069.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b7e…f80ebacked No | 64c | 1,763$1,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf01a…f231backed No | 47c | 1,165$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +106.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c65…3e45backed No | 26c | 1,063$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.33 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e1…e46fbacked No | 49c | 842.85$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.85 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d78…f923backed Yes | 34c | 461.73$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.06 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +68.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed Yes | 68c | 431.67$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.25 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked Yes | 64c | 225$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.25 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f2…6c8ebacked No | 57c | 182.99$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 59c | 182.76$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.12 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -48%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6e…7f53backed Yes | 39c | 156.63$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.98 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x929a…5ab4backed Yes | 41c | 137.39$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…7185backed No | 60c | 133.07$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed Yes | 72c | 128.33$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.99 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 39cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 58c | 124.68$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.92 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed Yes | 73c | 120$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.6 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 66c | 112.99$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.13 | 81 | 34.6%28 W · 53 L | -7.0wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb17d…59aebacked No | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.46 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | +104%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 36c | 97.25$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.06 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3659…0451backed Yes | 42c | 94.34$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03e1…e180backed No | 57c | 87.71$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9c…c182backed Yes | 36c | 84.87$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 73c | 70$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.1 | 212 | 40.6%86 W · 126 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…74f9backed No | 64c | 60.69$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.85 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 56c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.7 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 38c | 52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 357 | 12.9%46 W · 311 L | -29.9wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2184…d271backed No | 63c | 51.47$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0970…7889backed Yes | 43c | 44.92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked No | 70c | 42.84$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.06 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71d0…b8ddbacked No | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…56edbacked Yes | 47c | 38.43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 36c | 33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 766 | 3.3%25 W · 741 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 64c | 33$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.89 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82fb…bed6backed Yes | 48c | 30.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed Yes | 80c | 24.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b02…7939backed No | 59c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2773…045cbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed No | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked No | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 69c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.26 | 48 | 91.7%44 W · 4 L | +9.0wins | +0.19per pick | 73cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed Yes | 68c | 16.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 111 | 7.2%8 W · 103 L | -12.9wins | -0.12per pick | 19cpaid | -79.7%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Reppo launch a token by June 30, 2027?this page
- Will Reppo launch a token by December 31, 2026?No won
- Will Reppo launch a token by June 30, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.